Effect of climate change on potential distribution of Cedrus libani A. Rich in the twenty-first century: an Ecological Niche Modeling assessment

New Forests ◽  
2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Javier López-Tirado ◽  
Federico Vessella ◽  
Jean Stephan ◽  
Sezgin Ayan ◽  
Bartolomeo Schirone ◽  
...  
2013 ◽  
Vol 19 (8) ◽  
pp. 2524-2535 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gabriela Mendoza-González ◽  
M. Luisa Martínez ◽  
Octavio R. Rojas-Soto ◽  
Gabriela Vázquez ◽  
Juan B. Gallego-Fernández

The Condor ◽  
2006 ◽  
Vol 108 (4) ◽  
pp. 778-791 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marina Anciães ◽  
A. Townsend Peterson

Abstract Abstract Assessing the nature and magnitude of potentialeffects of climate change on populations isimportant to anticipating effects on speciesdiversity for conservation planning. We usedecological niche modeling to predict present andfuture distributions of 49 species of manakins(Pipridae) and allies. Predictions forpresent-day distributions were highly coincidentwith independent test data, suggesting goodpredictive ability. Assuming no dispersal,projections of potential distributions underfour scenarios of climate change predicted that20% of manakin species would likely goextinct from their current ranges, and thatdistributions would in general be reduced andfragmented, regardless of the area ofpresent-day potential distribution or rarity.Predicted changes in potential distributions,spatial configuration of suitable habitats, andgeographic position of species ranges were moredramatic for species inhabiting flatlands thanfor montane species. These results are anexample of how ecological niche modelingtechniques can anticipate the nature andmagnitude of changes in biodiversity in responseto climate change.


2016 ◽  
Vol 6 (6) ◽  
pp. 1712-1724 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alexander Jueterbock ◽  
Irina Smolina ◽  
James A. Coyer ◽  
Galice Hoarau

2015 ◽  
Vol 105 (2) ◽  
pp. 235-241 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stefan V. de Oliveira ◽  
Luiz L. C. Corrêa ◽  
Felipe B. Peters ◽  
Fábio D. Mazim ◽  
Felipe M. Garcias ◽  
...  

ABSTRACT Cabossous tatouay Desmarest, 1804 is considered a rare species in southern South America, and Rio Grande do Sul State, Brazil, records of the species are scarce and inaccurate. This study reports 40 localities for C. tatouay, and provides a map of the species' potential distribution using ecological niche modeling (ENM). The ENM indicated that in this region C. tatouay is associated with open grasslands, including the areas of "Pampas" and the open fields in the highlands of the Atlantic Forest. This study contributes to the information about the greater naked-tailed armadillo in southern Brazil, and provides data key to its future conservation.


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