Risk mechanisms of large group emergency decision-making based on multi-agent simulation

2020 ◽  
Vol 103 (1) ◽  
pp. 1009-1034
Author(s):  
Xuanpeng Yin ◽  
Xuanhua Xu ◽  
Xiaohong Chen
2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xue-Feng Ding ◽  
Li-Xia Zhu ◽  
Mei-Shun Lu ◽  
Qi Wang ◽  
Yi-Qi Feng

After an unconventional emergency event occurs, a reasonable and effective emergency decision should be made within a short time period. In the emergency decision making process, decision makers’ opinions are often uncertain and imprecise, and determining the optimal solution to respond to an emergency event is a complex group decision making problem. In this study, a novel large group emergency decision making method, called the linguistic Z-QUALIFLEX method, is developed by extending the QUALIFLEX method using linguistic Z-numbers. The evaluations of decision makers on the alternative solutions are first expressed as linguistic Z-numbers, and the group decision matrix is then constructed by aggregating the evaluations of all subgroups. The QUALIFLEX method is used to rank the alternative solutions for the unconventional emergency event. Besides, a real-life example of emergency decision making is presented, and a comparison with existing methods is performed to validate the effectiveness and practicability of the proposed method. The results show that the proposed linguistic Z-QUALIFLEX can accurately express the evaluations of the decision makers and obtain a more reasonable ranking result of solutions for emergency decision making.


2013 ◽  
Vol 411-414 ◽  
pp. 2684-2693
Author(s):  
Yue E ◽  
Ye Ping Zhu

Based on the occurrence and evolution of the natural disaster is characteristic of uncertainty and complexity, in this article, Agent theory and technology is applied to emergency decision-making of natural disaster in China, built the disaster emergency collaborative decision-making framework based on multi-agent, design the collaborative decision-making model, discuss the emergency decision-making mechanism based on scenario-response, through effective collaboration based on multi-agent, achieve natural disaster dynamic emergency decision-making process.


2019 ◽  
Vol 182 ◽  
pp. 104849 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xuanhua Xu ◽  
Linlin Wang ◽  
Xiaohong Chen ◽  
Bingsheng Liu

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