scholarly journals Price formation and optimal trading in intraday electricity markets

Author(s):  
Olivier Féron ◽  
Peter Tankov ◽  
Laura Tinsi
Risks ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (4) ◽  
pp. 133
Author(s):  
Olivier Féron ◽  
Peter Tankov ◽  
Laura Tinsi

We study price formation in intraday electricity markets in the presence of intermittent renewable generation. We consider the setting where a major producer may interact strategically with a large number of small producers. Using stochastic control theory, we identify the optimal strategies of agents with market impact and exhibit the Nash equilibrium in a closed form in the asymptotic framework of mean field games with a major player.


2021 ◽  
pp. 294-305
Author(s):  
Olivier Féron ◽  
Peter Tankov ◽  
Laura Tinsi

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mihály Dolányi ◽  
Kenneth Bruninx ◽  
Jean-François Toubeau ◽  
Erik Delarue

In competitive electricity markets the optimal trading problem of an electricity market agent is commonly formulated as a bi-level program, and solved as mathematical program with equilibrium constraints (MPEC). In this paper, an alternative paradigm, labeled as mathematical program with neural network constraint (MPNNC), is developed to incorporate complex market dynamics in the optimal bidding strategy. This method uses input-convex neural networks (ICNNs) to represent the mapping between the upper-level (agent) decisions and the lower-level (market) outcomes, i.e., to replace the lower-level problem by a neural network. In a comparative analysis, the optimal bidding problem of a load agent is formulated via the proposed MPNNC and via the classical bi-level programming method, and compared against each other.


Author(s):  
Marcel Kremer ◽  
Rüdiger Kiesel ◽  
Florentina Paraschiv

This paper develops an econometric price model with fundamental impacts for intraday electricity markets of 15-min contracts. A unique dataset of intradaily updated forecasts of renewable power generation is analysed. We use a threshold regression model to examine how 15-min intraday trading depends on the slope of the merit order curve. Our estimation results reveal strong evidence of mean reversion in the price formation mechanism of 15-min contracts. Additionally, prices of neighbouring contracts exhibit strong explanatory power and a positive impact on prices of a given contract. We observe an asymmetric effect of renewable forecast changes on intraday prices depending on the merit-order-curve slope. In general, renewable forecasts have a higher explanatory power at noon than in the morning and evening, but price information is the main driver of 15-min intraday trading. This article is part of the theme issue ‘The mathematics of energy systems’.


2015 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 49-85 ◽  
Author(s):  
René Aïd ◽  
Pierre Gruet ◽  
Huyên Pham

2006 ◽  
Vol 126 (3) ◽  
pp. 327-335 ◽  
Author(s):  
Toshihisa Kadoya ◽  
Tetsuo Sasaki ◽  
Akihiko Yokoyama ◽  
Satoru Ihara

Author(s):  
Jacob Mays

Summary of Contribution This article was inspired by price formation changes recently proposed and implemented in several U.S. wholesale electricity markets. The analysis draws from and contributes to three lines of literature. First, the paper specifies two mechanisms that lead to inefficient and inconsistent prices in real-world markets. Second, the article illustrates the importance of considering uncertainty in evaluating policies for pricing in nonconvex markets and observes that convex hull pricing, sometimes described as an ?ideal? due to its uplift-minimizing property in deterministic analyses, can perform poorly in settings with uncertainty. Lastly, the paper strengthens the theoretical basis for operating reserve demand curves by connecting their parameterization to outcomes expected in efficient stochastic markets.


Author(s):  
Tianbo Zhu ◽  
Zhongkang Wei ◽  
Bo Ning ◽  
Jiaqiang Niu ◽  
Jun Liu ◽  
...  

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