scholarly journals Predicting coastal urban floods using artificial neural network: The case study of Macau, China

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (10) ◽  
Author(s):  
Weijun Dai ◽  
Zhiming Cai

AbstractUsing data-driven models to predict floods in advance is one of the current effective methods and hot researches to reduce urban flood disasters. In order to improve the prediction accuracy, it is necessary to select the appropriate flood hazard factors and the number of training samples to construct the prediction model. In our current research, an artificial neural network (i.e., the back-propagation neural network, BPNN) model was developed to predict the flood depth in the next hour. A case study of the urban flood during six typhoons in Macau of China was conducted to prove the performance of the proposed model. The flood depth was collected as output; after analyzing their correlation to the flood typhoon optimum track, urban weather, tides, geographic height and water depth increment of the submerged area were used as input. As a result, four models trained with different sample numbers were developed for training and testing. The model performances were examined using average absolute error, root mean square error and the coefficient of determination. The results show that in this case study, the 30-min scale model provides reliable predictions and can provide useful decision support for the prevention and mitigation of flood disasters in coastal urban.

2018 ◽  
Vol 141 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Hari P. N. Nagarajan ◽  
Hossein Mokhtarian ◽  
Hesam Jafarian ◽  
Saoussen Dimassi ◽  
Shahriar Bakrani-Balani ◽  
...  

Additive manufacturing (AM) continues to rise in popularity due to its various advantages over traditional manufacturing processes. AM interests industry, but achieving repeatable production quality remains problematic for many AM technologies. Thus, modeling different process variables in AM using machine learning can be highly beneficial in creating useful knowledge of the process. Such developed artificial neural network (ANN) models would aid designers and manufacturers to make informed decisions about their products and processes. However, it is challenging to define an appropriate ANN topology that captures the AM system behavior. Toward that goal, an approach combining dimensional analysis conceptual modeling (DACM) and classical ANNs is proposed to create a new type of knowledge-based ANN (KB-ANN). This approach integrates existing literature and expert knowledge of the AM process to define a topology for the KB-ANN model. The proposed KB-ANN is a hybrid learning network that encompasses topological zones derived from knowledge of the process and other zones where missing knowledge is modeled using classical ANNs. The usefulness of the method is demonstrated using a case study to model wall thickness, part height, and total part mass in a fused deposition modeling (FDM) process. The KB-ANN-based model for FDM has the same performance with better generalization capabilities using fewer weights trained, when compared to a classical ANN.


2018 ◽  
Vol 35 (4) ◽  
pp. 1774-1787 ◽  
Author(s):  
Katayoun Behzadafshar ◽  
Fahimeh Mohebbi ◽  
Mehran Soltani Tehrani ◽  
Mahdi Hasanipanah ◽  
Omid Tabrizi

PurposeThe purpose of this paper is to propose three imperialist competitive algorithm (ICA)-based models for predicting the blast-induced ground vibrations in Shur River dam region, Iran.Design/methodology/approachFor this aim, 76 data sets were used to establish the ICA-linear, ICA-power and ICA-quadratic models. For comparison aims, artificial neural network and empirical models were also developed. Burden to spacing ratio, distance between shot points and installed seismograph, stemming, powder factor and max charge per delay were used as the models’ input, and the peak particle velocity (PPV) parameter was used as the models’ output.FindingsAfter modeling, the various statistical evaluation criteria such as coefficient of determination (R2) were applied to choose the most precise model in predicting the PPV. The results indicate the ICA-based models proposed in the present study were more acceptable and reliable than the artificial neural network and empirical models. Moreover, ICA linear model with theR2 of 0.939 was the most precise model for predicting the PPV in the present study.Originality/valueIn the present paper, the authors have proposed three novel prediction methods based on ICA to predict the PPV. In the next step, we compared the performance of the proposed ICA-based models with the artificial neural network and empirical models. The results indicated that the ICA-based models proposed in the present paper were superior in terms of high accuracy and have the capacity to generalize.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document