scholarly journals Pricing participating longevity-linked life annuities: a Bayesian Model Ensemble approach

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jorge Miguel Bravo
Keyword(s):  
Bayesian Model ◽  
Model Ensemble ◽  
Ensemble Approach ◽  
Life Annuities

Similarity-based multi-model ensemble approach for 1–15-day advance prediction of monsoon rainfall over India

2017 ◽  
Vol 132 (1-2) ◽  
pp. 639-645 ◽  
Author(s):  
Neeru Jaiswal ◽  
C. M. Kishtawal ◽  
Swati Bhomia
Keyword(s):  
Monsoon Rainfall ◽  
Model Ensemble ◽  
Ensemble Approach

Improving the quality of simulated soil moisture with a multi-model ensemble approach

10.1002/qj.48 ◽  
2007 ◽  
Vol 133 (624) ◽  
pp. 731-747 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhichang Guo ◽  
Paul A. Dirmeyer ◽  
Xiang Gao ◽  
Mei Zhao
Keyword(s):  
Soil Moisture ◽  
Model Ensemble ◽  
Ensemble Approach

scholarly journals Future life expectancy in 35 industrialised countries: projections with a Bayesian model ensemble

The Lancet ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 389 (10076) ◽  
pp. 1323-1335 ◽  
Author(s):  
Vasilis Kontis ◽  
James E Bennett ◽  
Colin D Mathers ◽  
Guangquan Li ◽  
Kyle Foreman ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Life Expectancy ◽  
Bayesian Model ◽  
Model Ensemble ◽  
Industrialised Countries

Estimates of surface drifter trajectories in the equatorial Atlantic: a multi-model ensemble approach

2012 ◽  
Vol 62 (7) ◽  
pp. 1091-1109 ◽  
Author(s):  
Robert Bruce Scott ◽  
Nicolas Ferry ◽  
Marie Drévillon ◽  
Charlie N. Barron ◽  
Nicolas C. Jourdain ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Model Ensemble ◽  
Equatorial Atlantic ◽  
Ensemble Approach ◽  
Surface Drifter

scholarly journals Global warming impact on climate change in Serbia for the period 1961-2100

2018 ◽  
Vol 22 (6 Part A) ◽  
pp. 2267-2280 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ana Vukovic ◽  
Mirjam Vujadinovic ◽  
Sonja Rendulic ◽  
Vladimir Djurdjevic ◽  
Mirjana Ruml ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
High Resolution ◽  
Human Health ◽  
Temperature Increase ◽  
Model Ensemble ◽  
Change Analysis ◽  
Humid Climate ◽  
Intergovernmental Panel ◽  
Climate Type ◽  
Ensemble Approach

Serbia is situated at Balkan Peninsula, and currently majority of the territory is under warm temperate ? fully humid climate type with warm summers (Cfb type, according to Koppen-Geiger Climate Classification). Observed changes in climate conditions since 1961 until present time show significant increase in temperature change and change in precipitation patterns. Disturbances in heat conditions, which are recorded to affect human health, agricultural production and forest eco?system, are priority in climate change analysis and application in adaptation plan?ning. Future change analysis show accelerated increase of temperature by the end of the 21st century, which proves the needs for immediate measures for mitigation of negative impacts. Temperature increase averaged over the territory of Serbia is 1.2?C for the period 1996-2015 with respect to the period 1961-1980, with highest increase of maximum daily temperature during the summer season, 2.2?C. Using high resolution multi-model ensemble approach for analysis of the future changes with respect to the base period 1986-2005, in compliance with Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) fifth assessment report (AR5), it is estimated that temperature may increase by 1.9?C according to Representative Concentration Pathway 4.5 (RCP4.5) scenario and by 4.4?C according to RCP8.5 by the end of the century. Spatial distribution of temperature increase, intensification of high pre?cipitation events and decrease of summer precipitation, show intrusion of subtropi?cal climate over the Serbia and increase of high temperature and high precipitation risks. Results presented in this paper, using high-resolution multi-model ensemble approach, provide climate change information for short term to long term planning in different sectors of economy and preservation of human health and environment.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document