The relationship between demographic change and house price: Chinese evidence

Author(s):  
Yihua Wang ◽  
Tomoko Kinugasa
2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Daniel Lo ◽  
Michael James McCord ◽  
John McCord ◽  
Peadar Thomas Davis ◽  
Martin Haran

Purpose The price-to-rent ratio is often regarded as an important indicator for measuring housing market imbalance and inefficiency. A central question is the extent to which house prices and rents form part of the same market and thus whether they respond similarly to parallel stimulus. If they are close proxies dynamically, then this provides valuable market intelligence, particularly where causal relationships are evident. Therefore, this paper aims to examine the relationship between market and rental pricing to uncover the price switching dynamics of residential real estate property types and whether the deviation between market rents and prices are integrated over both the long- and short-term. Design/methodology/approach This paper uses cointegration, Wald exogeneity tests and Granger causality models to determine the existence, if any, of cointegration and lead-lag relationships between prices and rents within the Belfast property market, as well as the price-to-rent ratios amongst its five main property sub-markets over the time period M4, 2014 to M12 2018. Findings The findings provide some novel insights in relation to the pricing dynamics within Belfast. Housing and rental prices are cointegrated suggesting that they tend to move in tandem in the long run. It is further evident that in the short-run, the price series Granger-causes that of rents inferring that sales price information unidirectionally diffuse to the rental market. Further, the findings on price-to-rent ratios reveal that the detached sector appears to Granger-cause those of other property types except apartments in both the short- and long-term, suggesting possible spill-over of pricing signals from the top-end to the lower strata of the market. Originality/value The importance of understanding the relationship between house prices and rental market performance has gathered momentum. Although the house price-rent ratio is widely used as an indicator of over and undervaluation in the housing market, surprisingly little is known about the theoretical relationship between the price-rent ratio across property types and their respective inter-relationships.


2017 ◽  
Vol 15 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ema Izati Zull ◽  
Tajul Ariffin Masron

In Malaysia, house price has increased drastically. Problem arises in areas that received relatively lower number of FDI. The house price in these areas accelerated at growth which are somewhat equivalent to areas which benefit from FDI spillover. As the relationship between FDI and locals’ well-being is becoming crucial due to the escalating high price, this paper intends to examine the long-term impact of FDI on house price in Malaysia. Our long-run estimation results showed that FDI inflows have affected house price in Malaysia negatively between the period of 1999 and 2015. The effect however reversed when liberalization policy is included. With the presence of liberalization policy, FDI inflows have actually caused house price in KL and Penang (highly dynamic states) to increase in the long-run. The positive effect of FDI inflows on house price are also found in relatively slow-progressive states like Pahang and Kedah confirming the nationwide effect of liberalization policy regardless of economy level of a state. Other than FDI inflows, this study also examined house supply, gross domestic per capita and interest rate as independent variables.


2017 ◽  
Vol 15 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohamed Noordeen Mohamed Imtiyaz ◽  
Salina Kassim ◽  
Nor Zalina Harun

While many see housing sector as a commodity, there are still many people in Malaysia who fail to own homes and many are forced to rent or stay away from urban areas. This paper aims to provide information and disclosure of available loan opportunities for house purchases in Malaysia. Apart from the importance among buyers, it is also seen as important from the perspective of property valuers and professionals involved in housing industry. This study compares the perceive fairness between three types of home financing that are available in Malaysia, namely conventional home loan, al-bay’ bithaman ajil, and musharakah mutanaqisah partnership (MMP) contracts among the customers in Malaysia. The study conducts a survey among 100 respondents to examine the relationship between customer intentions to use Islamic home financing based of MMP. The study concludes that the MMP has several advantages and cheaper over the BBA for the customer. Apart from being unanimity Shari’ah-compliant, it can be made to keep away from interest completely by means of practicing rental or house price index at the same time as reducing the cost of homes and the duration of financing. This paper concludes by suggesting recommendations for the appropriate actions to address the issues and challenges facing the MMP home finance products and deregulate BBA in Malaysia.


2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
pp. 149-159
Author(s):  
Trond-Arne Borgersen

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to highlight the relation between the loan-to-value (LTV) ratio and the price-rent (PR) ratio. The paper intends to relate the PR-ratio to housing return and the potential for a leverage gain in housing investments by considering the funding structure of housing investments. Design/methodology/approach Combining a PR-ratio approach with the housing return in the case of mortgage-financed housing, as presented by Borgersen and Greibrokk (2012), this paper relates LTV to the PR-ratio. Findings When formalising the relationship between leverage and housing return, as given by Muellbauer and Murphy (1997), the paper finds the effect of a higher LTV on the user cost of housing as the net effect of a higher borrowing cost and the associated leverage gain. The latter depends on the relationship between house price growth and the mortgage rate and, because the leverage gain has an ambiguous effect on the user cost of housing, the relation between the LTV-ratio and the PR-ratio is context-specific. Originality/value The paper aims to contribute to the literature on PR ratios in two ways. First, by explicitly including the LTV-ratio in the user cost of mortgage financed housing and, correspondingly, in the PR-ratio derived from the user cost. Second, by including the funding structure of housing investments the expression for the capital gain, which often is discussed in the PR-ratio literature, is related to the funding structure and includes both a price gain and a leverage gain.


2017 ◽  
Vol 15 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohamed Noordeen Mohamed Imtiyaz ◽  
Salina Kassim ◽  
Nor Zalina Harun

While many see housing sector as a commodity, there are still many people in Malaysia who fail to own homes and many are forced to rent or stay away from urban areas. This paper aims to provide information and disclosure of available loan opportunities for house purchases in Malaysia. Apart from the importance among buyers, it is also seen as important from the perspective of property valuers and professionals involved in housing industry. This study compares the perceive fairness between three types of home financing that are available in Malaysia, namely conventional home loan, al-bay’ bithaman ajil, and musharakah mutanaqisah partnership (MMP) contracts among the customers in Malaysia. The study conducts a survey among 100 respondents to examine the relationship between customer intentions to use Islamic home financing based of MMP. The study concludes that the MMP has several advantages and cheaper over the BBA for the customer. Apart from being unanimity Shari’ah-compliant, it can be made to keep away from interest completely by means of practicing rental or house price index at the same time as reducing the cost of homes and the duration of financing. This paper concludes by suggesting recommendations for the appropriate actions to address the issues and challenges facing the MMP home finance products and deregulate BBA in Malaysia.


2018 ◽  
Vol 16 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Zainora Asmawi ◽  
Mohammad Abdul Mohit ◽  
Noorzailawati Mohd Noor ◽  
Alias Abdullah ◽  
Tuminah Paiman

Open spaces near residential area often labelled as development constraint since each residential development must provide 10 percent of open space from the total acreage according to Malaysia planning guidelines. Kuala Lumpur has noticeable lost in open space in residential area and this issue might happen with other neighbourhood states such as Negeri Sembilan and Melaka. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to find the resident perspective on the importance of open space while purchasing their housing property. As such, the aim of the research is to study and examine the characteristics of relationship between public openspaces and residential property value using GIS-Hedonic pricing modelling in the selected residential area in Seremban and Melaka. To find the gist of this study, factor analysis has been used to sum the hedonic pricing model output. Seremban and Melaka respondents have chosen the Importance of the House attributes in influencing the house price and Importance of open space following factors in influencing the house price. The research examined the relationship between the open space and house price at selected area in Seremban and Ayer Keroh. As found in the literature reviews, it validates that the relationship established in a positive pattern.


2021 ◽  
Vol 19 (17) ◽  
Author(s):  
Najihah Azmi ◽  
Ahmad Ariffian Bujang

Much of the literature defines housing affordability as the relationship between household income and housing expenditure (housing costs). Affordable housing refers to the affordability of the household to own or rent the housing. Housing becomes unaffordable if the housing costs exceed the income of the household. Thus, the objective of this paper is to define the difference between housing affordability and an affordable house and to identify the factors influencing the gap between housing affordability and an affordable house. To achieve the objectives of this paper, 28 variables or factors have been identified. These variables or factors are then analysed by using the descriptive method of analysis. After analysing 28 identified variables or factors, the findings show that a high house price, a high monthly repayment, the type of property ownership and the land area either extremely or moderately influenced the gap between housing affordability and an affordable house.


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