A state space framework for the residual income valuation model of stock prices

2021 ◽  
Vol 1 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Faisal M. Awwal ◽  
Prasad V. Bidarkota
2016 ◽  
Vol 32 (4) ◽  
pp. 561-575 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kung-Cheng Ho ◽  
Shih-Cheng Lee ◽  
Chien-Ting Lin ◽  
Min-Teh Yu

We empirically compare the reliability of the dividend (DIV) model, the residual income valuation (CT, GLS) model, and the abnormal earnings growth (OJ) model. We find that valuation estimates from the OJ model are generally more reliable than those from the other three models, because the residual income valuation model anchored by book value gets off to a poor start when compared with the OJ model led by capitalized next-year earnings. We adopt a 34-year sample covering from 1985 to 2013 to compare the reliability of valuation estimates via their means of absolute pricing errors ( MAPE) and corresponding t statistics. We further use the switching regression of Barrios and Blanco to show that the average probability of OJ valuation estimates is greater in explaining stock prices than the DIV, CT, and GLS models. In addition, our finding that the OJ model yields more reliable estimates is robust to analysts-based and model-based earnings measures.


2012 ◽  
Vol 15 (04) ◽  
pp. 1250016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Keshin Tswei ◽  
Chen-Yin Kuo

This study adopts the methodology introduced by Lee (2006) to analyze stock prices in response to information shocks in six of Taiwan's stock market sectors and present market anomalies utilizing behavioral finance theory. Using the Residual Income Model (RIM) of equity valuation, we specified our empirical model to identify structural fundamental and nonfundamental shocks from reduced-form tangible and intangible news, and we obtained three major results. First, fundamental shock is primarily induced by tangible news and nonfundamental shock by intangible news, suggesting that tangible-oriented RIM can capture the information content of stock prices. Second, impulse response analyses show that investors generally underreact to fundamental shocks and consistently overreact to nonfundamental shocks in the short-run. This finding is compatible with the overconfidence theory of Daniel et al. (1998) in behavioral finance literature. Third, information diffusion efficiency in a market appears to depend on the value relevance quality of its tangible information. This is based on our finding that when tangible information constitutes a higher share of a market's fundamental shock, its price converges faster to the long-run equilibrium associated with the shock.


2007 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
pp. 23-41 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mark Kohlbeck ◽  
Terry D. Warfield

We use the unique banking industry setting to demonstrate the impact of unrecorded intangible assets on abnormal earnings and equity valuation in the context of the residual income valuation model. We show that the persistence of bank abnormal earnings and, consequently, the pricing multiples on bank abnormal earnings, vary with the level of unrecorded intangible assets. Our evidence suggests that unrecorded intangible assets are important in understanding the persistence and valuation of abnormal earnings in the banking industry. The analysis framework introduced in this paper could also be used to examine the valuation impacts of intangible assets in other industries.


2014 ◽  
Vol 30 (3) ◽  
pp. 895 ◽  
Author(s):  
Francois Toerien ◽  
Matthew Marcus

<p>We examine the effect of South African taxes, specifically the secondary tax on companies (STC) and the dividends tax (DT) that replaced it, as well as capital gains tax (CGT), on investor measures of expected return and firm value. The discussion, findings, and models presented in this study are entirely original in the field of South African corporate finance research. We model the relationship between STC, CGT, and expected return and use this relationship to formulate an hypothesis of the expected behaviour of ex-ante measures of implied cost of capital for a sample of listed South African companies. We calculate these measures by formulating a unique South African version of the residual income valuation model (RIVM) and then regress derived measures of the implied equity premium on historical measures of dividend yield, ultimately concluding that investors appear to recognise the net tax benefit of dividends and capitalise this benefit into stock prices. Finally, we examine the expected position of each of these areas in light of the proposed shareholder dividend tax regime.</p>


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