Order effects in belief updating: The belief-adjustment model

1992 ◽  
Vol 24 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-55 ◽  
Author(s):  
Robin M Hogarth ◽  
Hillel J Einhorn
2014 ◽  
Vol 148 ◽  
pp. 115-122 ◽  
Author(s):  
John D. Jasper ◽  
J. Scott Kunzler ◽  
Eric C. Prichard ◽  
Stephen D. Christman

2017 ◽  
Vol 29 (2) ◽  
pp. 51-71 ◽  
Author(s):  
Christian P. R. Pietsch ◽  
William F. Messier

ABSTRACT This study advances several propositions about the effects of time pressure on individuals' belief revisions within a pressure-arousal-effort-performance framework. There is a significant body of research that documents the importance of both time pressure and order effects in an accounting environment. However, prior research has not investigated how the order of information affects individuals' belief revision processes under varying levels of time pressure, even though the inclusion of a time pressure variable has been noted as relevant in belief revision research, both in general (Hogarth and Einhorn 1992) and in accounting (Kahle, Pinsker, and Pennington 2005; Trotman and Wright 2000). In this review, we extend prior belief revision research in accounting by describing how time pressure interacts with personal and task variables and the subprocesses described in the belief-adjustment model (Hogarth and Einhorn 1992). Propositions are advanced on the effects of time pressure on individuals' belief revisions. A better understanding of such interactive effects helps to explain the mixed results identified in prior studies.


1993 ◽  
Vol 6 (4) ◽  
pp. 257-269 ◽  
Author(s):  
Richard M. Tubbs ◽  
Gary J. Gaeth ◽  
Irwin P. Levin ◽  
Laura A. Van Osdol

2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 78-83
Author(s):  
Monica Rahardian Ary Helmina ◽  
Imam Ghozali ◽  
Jaka Isgiyarta ◽  
Ibnu Sutomo

This research focuses on investor decision making on information provided by the company. Belief-adjustment models emphasize the order of presentation of information. Order effects occur when decisions made by individuals differ after receiving evidence in a different order. In order of evidence, the characteristics of the evidence are mixed between confirmative (positive) information and unconfirmed (negative) information.The participants of this study are investors who have investment accounts. The design of the 2x4 experimental method is divided into analysis of factor 2 (presentation pattern) x 4 (information value), which aims to test that the presentation of information in step by step (SBS) will have a better impact than end of sequence (EOS). There are 8 combinations of instruments contain patterns and information values that are used as a source of stock valuation. ANOVA analysis is used for this study. The results showed that there was an effect of the pattern of information delivery in investment decision making when the SBS and EOS disclosure patterns in hypothesis 1 and hypothesis 2. The results of hypothesis 3 did not support the belief adjustment model theory.


2017 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 15
Author(s):  
Aulida Kholifatun Nisa

The aims of this study are examine the difference judgement given by investor using belief adjustment model to consider the pattern of presentation, the order of information and the tpye of information. This study using experimental design 2x2x2 mixed design, include: the pattern of presentation (Step by Step and End of Sequence), the order of information good news followed by bad news (++--) and bad news followed by good news (--++), and  the type of information (accounting and non accounting). The hypothesis in this study were tested  with Independence Sample T-test and Mann Whitney U. The participants were students STIE Perbanas Surabaya bachelor degree majoring in Accounting and Management who have knowlegde related to investment management and capital market or investment portfolio management and financial statements analysis. The result of this study showed that occurs recency effect while the pattern of information of Step by Step (SbS) and the type of information accounting and non accounting. This also occurs while the pattern of presentation of End of Sequence (EoS) and the type of acounting information occurs recency effect, wheares there was no order effect on the type of non accounting information.


2011 ◽  
Vol 30 (1) ◽  
pp. 173-190 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andre´s Guiral ◽  
Emiliano Ruiz ◽  
Waymond Rodgers

SUMMARY: We examined whether auditors’ attitudes toward the evidence in the going concern setting may be driven by their expectations of the self-fulfilling prophecy effect. Following previous research on motivated reasoning, we assumed that the self-fulfilling prophecy effect could be interpreted as a potential motivational/incentive factor supporting auditors’ reluctance to issue going concern opinions. The belief-adjustment model of Hogarth and Einhorn (1992) was used to estimate auditors’ attitudes toward confirming and disconfirming evidence by manipulating, in a laboratory experiment, order of evidence and framing (viability versus failure), and capturing auditors’ expectations of the self-fulfilling prophecy effect. Our results indicate that auditors’ expectations of the self-fulfilling prophecy affected their attitudes toward confirming and disconfirming evidence. Further, we specifically find that auditors with higher expectations of the self-fulfilling prophecy had a greater sensitivity to mitigating evidence and, at the same time, a lower tendency to favor contrary evidence.


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