The dynamics of real asset prices, the real exchange rate, trade reforms and foreign capital inflows

1992 ◽  
Vol 39 (1) ◽  
pp. 111-139 ◽  
Author(s):  
Felipe G. Morandé
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Real Exchange Rate ◽  
Asset Prices ◽  
Foreign Capital ◽  
Capital Inflows ◽  
Trade Reforms ◽  
The Real ◽  
Foreign Capital Inflows

scholarly journals Financial Liberalization, Economic Growth and Investment Strategy: Lessons from Taiwan for New Industrial Countries

2015 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 188 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yu-Wei Lan ◽  
Dan Lin ◽  
Lu Lin
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Institutional Investors ◽  
Foreign Capital ◽  
Investment Strategy ◽  
Capital Inflows ◽  
Investment Efficiency ◽  
The Real ◽  
Foreign Capital Inflows ◽  
Foreign Institutional Investors ◽  
The Impact

<p><em>To examine the impact of foreign capital inflows on Taiwan’s economy after internet bubbles of 2000, this study adopts data from the first quarter of 2001 to the second quarter 2015 to test if foreign capital inflows have positive impacts on Taiwan’s economic growth. This study also uses program trading and aims to prove that with financial liberalizations, the investment efficiency of foreign institutional investors is better than domestic institutional investors.</em></p><p><em>The results from the error correction model shows that capital formation, domestic savings and foreign direct investment all have positive relationships with the real economic growth. However, the rate of financing and foreign debt and depreciation all have negative relationships with the real economic growth. The results are all statistically significant. Hence, they do not completely support the hypothesis that foreign capital inflows are beneficial for economic growth.</em></p><p><em>Moreover, this study proves that the futures market in Taiwan is not strong-form market efficient. This result provides support for the hypothesis that the investment efficiency of foreign institutional investors is higher than that of domestic institutional investors. Investors can therefore raise their investment performance by following the investment strategies of foreign institutional investors.</em></p>

scholarly journals Net capital flows to and the real exchange rate of Western Balkan countries

2015 ◽  
Vol 60 (205) ◽  
pp. 31-52 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hubert Gabrisch
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Real Exchange Rate ◽  
Capital Flows ◽  
Unit Labour Cost ◽  
Labour Cost ◽  
Capital Inflows ◽  
The Real ◽  
Relative Unit ◽  
Inflation Differential ◽  
Balkan Countries

This paper uses Granger causality tests to assess the linkages between changes in the real exchange rate and net capital inflows using the example of Western Balkan countries, which have suffered from low competitiveness and external imbalances for many years. The real exchange rate is a measure of a country?s price competitiveness, and the paper uses two concepts: relative unit labour cost and relative inflation differential. The sample consists of six Western Balkan countries for the period 1996-2012, relative to the European Union (EU). The main finding is that changes in the net capital flows precede changes in relative unit labour costs and not vice versa. Also, there is evidence that net capital flows affect the inflation differential of countries, although to a less discernible extent. This suggests that the increasing divergence in the unit labour cost between the EU and Western Balkan countries up to the global financial crisis was at least partly the result of net capital inflows. The paper adds to the ongoing debate on improving cost competitiveness through wage restrictions as the main vehicle to avert the accumulation of current account imbalances. It shows the importance of changes in the exchange rate regime, reform of the interaction between the financial and the real sector, and financial supervision and structural change.

scholarly journals The impact of foreign capital shifts on economic activities and asset prices: a threshold VAR approach

2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (3) ◽  
pp. 87-104
Author(s):  
Boubekeur Baba ◽  
Güven Sevil
Keyword(s):  
South Korea ◽  
Emerging Markets ◽  
Asset Prices ◽  
Foreign Capital ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Capital Inflows ◽  
Economic Activities ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Foreign Capital Inflows ◽  
The Impact

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to investigate the impact of foreign capital shifts on economic activities and asset prices in South Korea. Design/methodology/approach The authors in this paper apply the Bayesian threshold vector autoregressive (TVAR) model to estimate the regimes of large and low inflows of foreign capital. Then, structural impulse-response analysis is used to check whether the responses of the variables differ across the estimated regimes. The model is estimated using quarterly data of foreign capital inflows, gross domestic product (GDP), consumer price index, credit to the private non-financial sector, real effective exchange rate (REER), stock returns and house prices. Findings The main findings suggest that large inflows of gross foreign capital, foreign direct investments (FDI) and foreign portfolio investments (FPI) are ineffective to boost economic growth, but large inflows of other foreign investments (OFIs) significantly contribute to GDP. The decreases in the foreign capital inflows are associated with larger depreciation of REER. The large inflows of gross foreign capital, FDI and OFIs are associated with further expansion of credit supply to private non-financial sectors. Research limitations/implications The policy implications of foreign capital inflows are of particular importance to all the emerging markets alike. However, the empirical analysis is limited to the case of South Korea due to various reasons. The experience with international capital inflows among emerging markets is heterogeneous. Therefore, it would be better to take each case of emerging market individually. In addition, TVAR analysis requires a long data sample, which unfortunately is not available for most of the emerging markets. Originality/value The foreign capital inflows are shown to be procyclical and notoriously volatile in many studies. Nevertheless, this topic has commonly been studied using linear VAR models, which do not properly deal with the cyclical characteristics of foreign capital inflows. This study attempts to resolve these methodological limitations by examining a non-linear VAR model that is capable of capturing the structural breaks associated with the cyclical behaviors of foreign capital inflows.

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