Effect of the UK Psychoactive Substances Act 2016 on episodes of toxicity related to new psychoactive substances as reported to the National Poisons Information Service. A time series analysis

2020 ◽  
Vol 77 ◽  
pp. 102672 ◽  
Author(s):  
I. Al-Banaa ◽  
L. Hawkins ◽  
S.L. Hill ◽  
D.J. Lupton ◽  
G. Jackson ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Time Series Analysis ◽  
Information Service ◽  
New Psychoactive Substances ◽  
Psychoactive Substances ◽  
Series Analysis ◽  
The Uk ◽  
Poisons Information

scholarly journals Impact of Crude Prices on Retail Prices – A Time Series Analysis

2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (2S7) ◽  
pp. 606-612
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Time Series Analysis ◽  
Crude Oil ◽  
Energy Demand ◽  
Multivariate Time Series ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Series Analysis ◽  
Long Run ◽  
The Uk ◽  
The Impact

The UK has emerged as one of the largest producers of petroleum in the world. A significant amount of petroleum is used for fulfilling the energy demand within the country. However, the country witnessed a different trend from 2015. This is mainly due to the increase in imports of petroleum in order to meet domestic needs. To this, there is a need to identify the impact of changes exist in petrol and crude oil prices in the UK. In this context, the researcher has undertaken primary research to derive conclusions which are case specific and can comply with the research aim. The study used secondary data for the year 2015-2018 and conducted multivariate time series analysis. A series of tests including unit root, ARIMA, and co-integration tests were used to derive the results. The study found that there was an asymmetric relationship between the movements of prices of crude oil with respect to retail fuel prices in the long run. However, the study is not without limitations which are represented at the end of the study following with its future scope

scholarly journals Empty streets, busy Internet. A time series analysis of cybercrime and fraud trends during COVID-19

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Steven Kemp ◽  
David Buil-Gil ◽  
Asier Moneva ◽  
Fernando Miró-Llinares ◽  
Nacho Díaz-Castaño
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Time Series Analysis ◽  
Internet Use ◽  
Historical Data ◽  
Routine Activities ◽  
Policy Practice ◽  
Series Analysis ◽  
Analysis Methods ◽  
The Uk ◽  
Academic Debate

There have been many warnings about the rising threat of cybercrime and fraud resulting from the COVID-19 lockdown measures and the associated increase in Internet use. However, there is still relatively little data with which to support the alerts and any changes may be nuanced. The present paper applies time series analysis methods to historical data on cybercrime and fraud reported to Action Fraud in the UK to examine whether any potential increases are beyond normal crime variability. Furthermore, the discrepancies between fraud types and individual and organisation victims are also analysed. The results show that while both total cybercrime and total fraud did increase beyond predicted levels, the changes in victimisation were not homogenous across fraud types and victims. The implications of these findings on how changes in routine activities in the UK have influenced cybercrime and fraud opportunities are discussed in relation to policy, practice and academic debate.

scholarly journals Economic Scar Tissue of COVID-19 Puzzle: An Analysis, Evidence and Suggestion on Global Perspective

2021 ◽  
pp. 097215092110559
Author(s):  
Mohammed Sawkat Hossain
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Time Series Analysis ◽  
Scar Tissue ◽  
Global Perspective ◽  
Economic Downturn ◽  
Foreign Reserve ◽  
Cascading Effect ◽  
Series Analysis ◽  
The Usa ◽  
The Uk

The COVID-19 pandemic has instigated tremendous human and economic hardship around the world. Using meta-literature and time series analysis, we conduct both synthesis and empirical analysis to investigate particularly the economic perspectives of COVID-19 across several financial systems: (a) Asian market, (b) European market, (c) American market and (d) Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) and Middle East and North Africa’s (MENA) market. The critical review of the leading business and finance journals of ISI-WOS summarizes that the outburst of COVID-19 mercilessly affects global economies; however, the end phase of the systematic cascading effect has not clearly folded yet. The probable reasons of economic downturn are productivity reduction, labour immobility, undue job loss, scarcity of employment opportunities, discontinuation of supply chain, declining foreign exports, investment uncertainty, adverse clientele effect, etc. However, after analysing the pre- and during COVID effect on foreign reserve and remittance, we identify an inconclusive finding: (a) bullish trend, (e.g., the USA, Canada, Mexico, Japan, India, Bangladesh and Singapore); (b) bearish trend, (e.g., the UK, Sri-Lanka, Saudi Arabia, Malaysia, Nigeria, Italy and Brazil). Our time series analysis between pre- and during COVID-19 also documents the economic mystery that although the overall economic growth has gone down, foreign reserve and remittance have increased gradually across several economies. Overall, the current global situation demands systematic, well-targeted and aggressive fiscal-monetary stimulus initiatives. Therefore, this study offers theoretical, empirical and policy-oriented academic novelty with the possible suggestions and dynamic strategies to circumvent COVID-19 adverse effects.

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