An asset residual life prediction model based on expert judgments

2008 ◽  
Vol 188 (2) ◽  
pp. 496-505 ◽  
Author(s):  
W. Wang ◽  
W. Zhang
2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-13
Author(s):  
Baoli Wei ◽  
Chengchao Guo ◽  
Fuming Wang

Existing runway residual life prediction models need to be modified using the historical data of evaluated airports during evaluation and management for civil airports in China. If the data measured in the field and the historical data used for model calibration do not represent the actual historical performance of the evaluated airport, the predicted performance of the revised model might be poor. This study used measured pavement performance data for local civil airports in Henan Province from 2007 to 2017. The joint-estimation method was used to establish a functional residual life prediction model for local civil airport pavement with another dataset. A functional residual life prediction model for airport pavement was proposed in consideration of the influence of aircraft traffic and the thickness of the pavement surface layer. Taking into account the differences between samples in the two datasets, nonlinear regression with random-effect analysis and joint estimation were used to explain unobserved heterogeneity at the sample level and heteroscedasticity in the dataset. Based on the results of the established residual life prediction model, the marginal effect of the model parameters and the prediction performance of the entire model were analyzed with the measured data from the local airport pavement. Finally, the engineering applicability of the calibrated prediction model for pavement residual life was further evaluated.


Metals ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 180 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jialiang Wang ◽  
Dasheng Wei ◽  
Yanrong Wang ◽  
Xianghua Jiang

In this paper, the viewpoint that maximum resolved shear stress corresponding to the two slip systems in a nickel-based single crystal high-temperature fatigue experiment works together was put forward. A nickel-based single crystal fatigue life prediction model based on modified resolved shear stress amplitude was proposed. For the four groups of fatigue data, eight classical fatigue life prediction models were compared with the model proposed in this paper. Strain parameter is poor in fatigue life prediction as a damage parameter. The life prediction results of the fatigue life prediction model with stress amplitude as the damage parameter, the fatigue life prediction model with maximum resolved shear stress in 30 slip directions as the damage parameter, and the McDiarmid (McD) model, are better. The model proposed in this paper has higher life prediction accuracy.


1994 ◽  
Author(s):  
J.C.R. Plácido ◽  
J.J. Azar ◽  
J.R. Sorem ◽  
Franz Kessler ◽  
S.M. Tipton

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document