Integrated resource planning for Iran: Development of reference energy system, forecast, and long-term energy-environment plan

Energy ◽  
2012 ◽  
Vol 46 (1) ◽  
pp. 374-385 ◽  
Author(s):  
K. Amirnekooei ◽  
M.M. Ardehali ◽  
A. Sadri
Author(s):  
Silvia Regina Santos da Silva ◽  
Gokul C Iyer ◽  
Thomas Bernard Wild ◽  
Mohamad I. Hejazi ◽  
Chris R. Vernon ◽  
...  

Abstract Studies exploring long-term energy system transitions rely on resource cost-supply curves derived from estimates of renewable energy (RE) potentials to generate wind and solar power projections. However, estimates of RE potentials are characterized by large uncertainties stemming from methodological assumptions that vary across studies, including factors such as the suitability of land and the performance and configuration of technology. Based on a synthesis of modeling approaches and parameter values used in prior studies, we explore the implications of these uncertain assumptions for onshore wind and solar PV electricity generation projections globally using the Global Change Analysis Model (GCAM). We show that variability in parametric assumptions related to land use (e.g., land suitability) are responsible for the most substantial uncertainty in both wind and solar generation projections. Additionally, assumptions about the average turbine installation density and turbine technology are responsible for substantial uncertainty in wind generation projections. Under scenarios that account for climate impacts on wind and solar energy, we find that these parametric uncertainties are far more significant than those emerging from differences in climate models and scenarios in a global assessment, but uncertainty surrounding climate impacts (across models and scenarios) have significant effects regionally, especially for wind. Our analysis suggests the need for studies focusing on long-term energy system transitions to account for this uncertainty.


2014 ◽  
Vol 39 (3) ◽  
pp. 377-396 ◽  
Author(s):  
Manuel Welsch ◽  
Mark Howells ◽  
Mohammad Reza Hesamzadeh ◽  
Brian Ó Gallachóir ◽  
Paul Deane ◽  
...  

1995 ◽  
Vol 29 ◽  
pp. 71-78 ◽  
Author(s):  
K.N Chae ◽  
D.G Lee ◽  
C.Y Lim ◽  
B.W Lee

Author(s):  
Wei-Ming Chen ◽  
Young-Doo Wang ◽  
Jong Chul Huh ◽  
Youn Cheol Park

Augmenting recent coverage of the topic of regional energy planning, this chapter introduces an Integrated Regional Energy Policy and Planning Framework (IREPP), which is conceptually comprehensive and also enhances feasibility of implementation. This framework contains important concepts of sustainable energy planning, including integrated resource planning, soft energy path, distributed generation using decentralized energy technologies, and energy-environment-economy-equity balance (E4). The IREPP also includes implementation feasibility analysis and highlights the importance of monitoring and evaluation. In the second part of this chapter, the IREPP is applied to the case of Jeju. Jeju's “Mid- and Long-Term Roadmap of Renewable Energy Planning” intends to promote renewable energy applications in order to build a carbon free energy system. This chapter evaluates Jeju's overall Roadmap via the lens of IREPP, assesses the rationale and feasibility of achieving its individual renewable target set for 2050, and, additionally, reviews progress made in some individual targets as of 2014.


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