scholarly journals Can a regulatory risk measure induce profit-maximizing risk capital allocations? The case of conditional tail expectation

Author(s):  
Nawaf Mohammed ◽  
Edward Furman ◽  
Jianxi Su
2009 ◽  
Vol 39 (2) ◽  
pp. 591-613 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andreas Kull

AbstractWe revisit the relative retention problem originally introduced by de Finetti using concepts recently developed in risk theory and quantitative risk management. Instead of using the Variance as a risk measure we consider the Expected Shortfall (Tail-Value-at-Risk) and include capital costs and take constraints on risk capital into account. Starting from a risk-based capital allocation, the paper presents an optimization scheme for sharing risk in a multi-risk class environment. Risk sharing takes place between two portfolios and the pricing of risktransfer reflects both portfolio structures. This allows us to shed more light on the question of how optimal risk sharing is characterized in a situation where risk transfer takes place between parties employing similar risk and performance measures. Recent developments in the regulatory domain (‘risk-based supervision’) pushing for common, insurance industry-wide risk measures underline the importance of this question. The paper includes a simple non-life insurance example illustrating optimal risk transfer in terms of retentions of common reinsurance structures.


2017 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 130-146
Author(s):  
Amir T. Payandeh Najafabadi ◽  
Ali Panahi Bazaz

AbstractAn usual reinsurance policy for insurance companies admits one or two layers of the payment deductions. Under optimality criterion of minimising the Conditional Tail Expectation (CTE) risk measure of the insurer’s total risk, this article generalises an optimal stop-loss reinsurance policy to an optimal multi-layer reinsurance policy. To achieve such optimal multi-layer reinsurance policy, this article starts from a given optimal stop-loss reinsurance policy f(⋅). In the first step, it cuts down the interval [0, ∞) into intervals [0, M1) and [M1, ∞). By shifting the origin of Cartesian coordinate system to (M1, f(M1)), and showing that under the CTE criteria $$f\left( x \right)I_{{[0,M_{{\rm 1}} )}} \left( x \right){\plus}\left( {f\left( {M_{{\rm 1}} } \right){\plus}f\left( {x{\minus}M_{{\rm 1}} } \right)} \right)I_{{[M_{{\rm 1}} ,{\rm }\infty)}} \left( x \right)$$ is, again, an optimal policy. This extension procedure can be repeated to obtain an optimal k-layer reinsurance policy. Finally, unknown parameters of the optimal multi-layer reinsurance policy are estimated using some additional appropriate criteria. Three simulation-based studies have been conducted to demonstrate: (1) the practical applications of our findings and (2) how one may employ other appropriate criteria to estimate unknown parameters of an optimal multi-layer contract. The multi-layer reinsurance policy, similar to the original stop-loss reinsurance policy is optimal, in a same sense. Moreover, it has some other optimal criteria which the original policy does not have. Under optimality criterion of minimising a general translative and monotone risk measure ρ(⋅) of either the insurer’s total risk or both the insurer’s and the reinsurer’s total risks, this article (in its discussion) also extends a given optimal reinsurance contract f(⋅) to a multi-layer and continuous reinsurance policy.


2019 ◽  
Vol 14 (1) ◽  
pp. 170-187
Author(s):  
Nicole Bäuerle ◽  
Tomer Shushi

AbstractWe generalise Quasi-Linear Means by restricting to the tail of the risk distribution and show that this can be a useful quantity in risk management since it comprises in its general form the Value at Risk, the Conditional Tail Expectation and the Entropic Risk Measure in a unified way. We then investigate the fundamental properties of the proposed measure and show its unique features and implications in the risk measurement process. Furthermore, we derive formulas for truncated elliptical models of losses and provide formulas for selected members of such models.


Accounting ◽  
2021 ◽  
pp. 1-12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Agus Setiawan ◽  
Sugiarto Sugiarto ◽  
Grace Shinta S. Ugut ◽  
Edison Hulu

This research aims to fill the gap in sustainable insurance product study. The central research question of this research is how to develop a fair pricing framework in order to design a sustainable financial product. Current profit testing method is arguably lack of policyholder considerations. The profitability decision under current method only considers profit margin for company. There is no profitability measurement for policyholder. To improve fairness under current pricing, the proposed study proposes a concept of equity in risk between company and policyholder. In order to establish equity in risk, profitability for policyholder needs to be defined and risk measure Conditional Tail Expectation (CTE) for company and policyholder is proposed as a solution. Fairness is achieved if CTE between company and policyholder falls within certain range. CTE generated under new framework could be used as a reference point to all stakeholders to assess the fairness of Unit Linked price. The target population for the study was any regular premium Unit Link product. This research used simple random sampling. From the population consisting of 34 companies 20 samples were drawn. Data is taken from the Indonesian Financial Service Authority. The data used is from the time period between 1 January 2015 and 30 June 2019. Using the CTE, this study finds that most of the Unit Linked pricing are far from fair. It is recommended that companies could be more efficient in their operating and distribution cost in order to be fairer to policyholder and therefore will make the product more sustainable.


Author(s):  
Joachim Paulusch

The core of risk aggregation in the Solvency II Standard Formula is the so-called square root formula. We argue that it should be seen as a means for the aggregation of different risks to an overall risk rather than being associated with variance-covariance based risk analysis. Considering the Solvency II Standard Formula from the viewpoint of linear geometry, we immediately find that it defines a norm and therefore provides a homogeneous and sub-additive tool for risk aggregation. Hence Euler's Principle for the reallocation of risk capital applies and yields explicit formulas for capital allocation in the framework given by the Solvency II Standard Formula. This gives rise to the definition of  diversification functions, which we define as monotone, subadditive, and homogeneous functions on a convex cone. Diversification functions constitute a class of models for the study of the aggregation of risk, and diversification. The aggregation of risk measures using a diversification function preserves the respective properties of these risk measures. Examples of diversification functions are given by seminorms, which are monotone on the convex cone of non-negative vectors. Each Lp norm has this property, and any scalar product given by a non-negative positive semidefinite matrix does as well. In particular, the Standard Formula is a diversification function and hence a risk measure that preserves homogeneity, subadditivity, and convexity.


2006 ◽  
Vol 36 (2) ◽  
pp. 433-462 ◽  
Author(s):  
Edward Furman ◽  
Zinoviy Landsman

In this paper we consider the important circumstances involved when risk managers are concerned with risks that exceed a certain threshold. Such conditions are well-known to insurance professionals, for instance in the context of policies involving deductibles and reinsurance contracts. We propose a new premium called tail variance premium (TVP) which answers the demands of these circumstances. In addition, we suggest a number of risk measures associated with TVP. While the well-known tail conditional expectation risk measure provides a risk manager with information about the average of the tail of the loss distribution, tail variance risk measure (TV) estimates the variability along such a tail. Furthermore, given a multivariate setup, we offer a number of allocation techniques which preserve different desirable properties (sub-additivity and fulladditivity, for instance). We are able to derive explicit expressions for TV and TVP, and risk capital decomposition rules based on them, in the general framework of multivariate elliptical distributions. This class is very popular among actuaries and risk managers because it contains distributions with marginals whose tails are heavier than those of normal distributions. This distinctive feature is desirable when modeling financial datasets. Moreover, according to our results, in some cases there exists an optimal threshold, such that by choosing it, an insurance company minimizes its risk.


2011 ◽  
Vol 49 (3) ◽  
pp. 310-324 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alexandru V. Asimit ◽  
Edward Furman ◽  
Qihe Tang ◽  
Raluca Vernic

2020 ◽  
Vol 14 (1) ◽  
pp. 21
Author(s):  
Nadya Pratiwi ◽  
Aprida Siska Lestia ◽  
Nur Salam

In the case of nonlife insurance, insurance companies are very potential to get losses if claims submitted by customers (policyholders) exceeds the reserves of budgeted claims. It is the risk that have to managed properly by insurance companies . One possible disadvantage is the aggregate loss model. The aggregate loss model is a random variable that states the total of all losses incurred in an insurance policy block. This kind of loss can be modeled using a collective risk approach where the number of claims is a discrete random variable and the size of claim is a continuous random variable. The purpose of this study is to determine risk measure of standard deviation premium principle, value at risk (VaR), and conditional tail expectation (CTE) of the aggregate loss model. Standard deviation premium principle risk measure of aggregate loss model is determined analytically by substituted it expected value and varians. Meanwhile, VaR risk measure is determined using numerical method by Monte Carlo method, then the quantile value and it confidence interval for the actual value will estimate. In the CTE calculation, based on the loss data obtained in the Monte Carlo method, the CTE value is estimated by calculating the average loss that exceeds the VaR value. If the data size is large enough, the CTE value estimation will converge to the actual value.Keywords: Aggregate Loss Model, Standard Deviation Premium Principle, Value at Risk (VaR), Conditional Tail Expectation (CTE).


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