In this study, we used convolutional neural networks (CNNs)—which are well-known deep learning models suitable for image data processing—to estimate the temporal and spatial distribution of chlorophyll-a in a bay. The training data required the construction of a deep learning model acquired from the satellite ocean color and hydrodynamic model. Chlorophyll-a, total suspended sediment (TSS), visibility, and colored dissolved organic matter (CDOM) were extracted from the satellite ocean color data, and water level, currents, temperature, and salinity were generated from the hydrodynamic model. We developed CNN Model I—which estimates the concentration of chlorophyll-a using a 48 × 27 sized overall image—and CNN Model II—which uses a 7 × 7 segmented image. Because the CNN Model II conducts estimation using only data around the points of interest, the quantity of training data is more than 300 times larger than that of CNN Model I. Consequently, it was possible to extract and analyze the inherent patterns in the training data, improving the predictive ability of the deep learning model. The average root mean square error (RMSE), calculated by applying CNN Model II, was 0.191, and when the prediction was good, the coefficient of determination (R2) exceeded 0.91. Finally, we performed a sensitivity analysis, which revealed that CDOM is the most influential variable in estimating the spatiotemporal distribution of chlorophyll-a.
Effects of Spring–Neap Tidal Cycle on Spatial and Temporal Variability of Satellite Chlorophyll-A in a Macrotidal Embayment, Ariake Sea, Japan
