scholarly journals Survival analysis of productive life in Brazilian holstein using a piecewise Weibull proportional hazard model

2016 ◽  
Vol 185 ◽  
pp. 89-96 ◽  
Author(s):  
Elisandra Lurdes Kern ◽  
Jaime Araujo Cobuci ◽  
Claudio Napolis Costa ◽  
Vincent Ducrocq
2018 ◽  
Vol 75 (6) ◽  
pp. 470-478 ◽  
Author(s):  
Elisandra Lurdes Kern ◽  
Jaime Araujo Cobuci ◽  
Cláudio Napolis Costa ◽  
Vincent Ducrocq

Author(s):  
Eva Strapáková ◽  
Peter Strapák ◽  
Juraj Candrák ◽  
Ivan Pavlík ◽  
Katarína Dočkalová

The goal of the work was to discover the influence of conformation traits evaluated by the Fleckscore system on the length of productive life of Slovak Simmental dairy cows. Evaluation of body conformation traits according to the Fleckscore system was performed on 3 452 cows. The relationship of individual traits to longevity was analysed using the Weibull proportional hazard model. The results confirmed that smaller and longer cows, which were well muscular and with a deeper body, had a lower risk of early culling than cows in the reference group. Hock angularity, pastern and hoof height scored with low or high marks were associated with an early culling of cows. In terms of the length of productive life, a slightly more elastic pattern is required. Cows with a deeper udder and a stronger and tighter fore udder attachment, which were also average in notching and height central ligament and centrally placed teats, reached a longer productive life.  


2019 ◽  
Vol 59 (8) ◽  
pp. 1546
Author(s):  
Elisandra Lurdes Kern ◽  
Jaime Araujo Cobuci ◽  
José Braccini Neto ◽  
Darlene dos Santos Daltro

The objective of the present work was to evaluate the effect of somatic cell score on the longevity of Holstein cows raised all over Brazil, using a piecewise Weibull proportional-hazard model. The following two longevity traits were defined: true longevity, number of days from first calving to culling; and functional longevity, approximated by correcting true longevity to within-herd-year production. Records on productive life of 131330 cows were used. The model included the time-independent effect of age at first calving. The other effects were time-dependent, and included the following: region by year of calving, variation in herd-size class, milk-production class by year of calving within herd, within-herd milk-production class by number of lactations, within-herd fat content, within-herd protein content, and somatic cell score (SCS). The overall mean of the somatic cell counts (SCC) was 322000 cells/mL. The highest SCC mean was found between 130 to 290 days of lactation. The SCC mean decreased over the years. Cows from Region 5 (Rio Grande do Sul) showed higher SCC means. The risk of culling was slightly higher for functional longevity than for true longevity. The impact of longevity was high in cows from first to fourth lactation with a high SCS, with the risk of culling varying from 0.90 (true longevity: second lactation and Class 2) to 1.2 (functional longevity: fourth lactation and Class 5). Cows at the fifth lactation with a lower SCS had a higher risk of culling (1.4). Including the effect of SCS class by stage of lactation in the models was not beneficial. The decrease in SCS, especially from the first to fourth lactation, can be used for indirect selection to improve the longevity of Holstein cows in Brazil.


2011 ◽  
Vol 83 (2) ◽  
pp. 95-102 ◽  
Author(s):  
Osamu SASAKI ◽  
Mitsuo AIHARA ◽  
Koichi HAGIYA ◽  
Akiko NISHIURA ◽  
Kazuo ISHII ◽  
...  

Blood ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 124 (21) ◽  
pp. 3257-3257
Author(s):  
Seong-Ho Kang ◽  
Dae-Soo Moon ◽  
Myung-Hyun Nam ◽  
Soo-Young Yoon ◽  
Ji-Seon Choi

Abstract Background: Trisomy 8 is the most frequent chromosomal abnormality in Korean patients with myelodysplastic syndrome (MDS). MicroRNA (miRNA) deregulation contributes to hematological malignancies, including MDS, and cancer-associated genomic regions are known to encode miRNAs. The aim of the present study was to investigate whether expression of miRNAs encoded by chromosome 8, which is the most frequent abnormal chromosome in MDS in Korean patients, is upregulated. Further, we analyzed the association of the upregulated miRNAs with clinical outcome. Methods: Sixty-five MDS patients and 11 controls were enrolled in the study. miRNAs were extracted from archived unstained bone marrow aspirate slides of the subjects. The TaqMan microRNA assay was used to detect 13 miRNAs encoded by chromosome 8 (miR-30b-5p, miR-30d-5p, miR-124-3p, miR-151a-5p, miR-320a, miR-383-5p, miR-486-5p, miR-596, miR-597-5p, miR-598-5p, miR-599, miR-661, and miR-875-5p) and an endogenous control RNU48. The Ct value of each miRNA and RNU48 was obtained and the 2-deltaCt (deltaCt = CtmiRNA – CtRNU48) for each miRNA was calculated. Clinical data and laboratory data (complete blood cell counts, bone marrow blasts, and karyotyping data) were obtained from patients' medical records. The Mann–Whitney test was used to compare the miRNA expression profile of the patients with that of the controls. Overall survival was analyzed by the Kaplan-Meier Method and Cox's proportional hazard model. Results: The expression of miR-320a and miR-661 was significantly higher in MDS patients than in the controls. Other miRNAs were not significantly upregulated. The expression of miR-320a was 22.30±110.15 (mean±SD) in patients and 4.96±9.56 in controls (P = 0.016). The expression of miR-661 was 0.39±1.72 in patients and 0.05±0.08 in controls (P = 0.021). The patients were divided into 2 groups—patients with high miR-661 expression and patients with low miR-661 expression—using an arbitrary cut-off of miR-661 expression of 0.1. The patients with high miR-661 expression showed significantly decreased overall survival (P = 0.048) (Fig. 1). Blast counts and poor cytogenetics were also significantly associated with the significantly decreased overall survival (all P < 0.001) Hemoglobin and platelet counts showed borderline significance in overall survival (P = 0.068 and P = 0.066, respectively). Multivariate analyses using Cox's proportional hazard model revealed that high miR-661 expression was an independent prognostic variable (P = 0.024) with a hazard ratio of 3.613 (CI; 1.189-11.0). Poor cytogenetics was also found to be an independent prognostic variable (P = 0.047). Conclusion: This is the first report of the association between upregulation of miR-661 and MDS. Although these findings need to be validated by studies on a large number of patients, high expression of miR-661 may have the potential for use as an adverse prognostic marker for Korean patients with MDS. Fig 1. Overall survival analysis of patients with according to miR-661 expression Fig 1. Overall survival analysis of patients with according to miR-661 expression Disclosures No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.


2019 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 88
Author(s):  
Firda Anisa Fajarini ◽  
Mohamat Fatekurohman

<p>Cox proportional hazard model is a regression model that is used to see the factors that cause an event. The survival analysis used in this research is the period of time the client is able to pay the life insurance premium using Cox proportional hazard model with Breslow method.The purpose of this research is to know how sex, age, insured money, job, method of payment of premium, premium, and type of product can influence the level of ability of client to make payment of life insurance premium based on customer data from PT. BRI Life Insurance Branch of Jember in 2007.The result of this research is the final model of Cox proportional hazard obtained from several variables which have significant influence with simultaneous and partial significance test is the variable of insured money (<em>X<sub>3</sub></em>), variable of payment method of premium (<em>X<sub>5</sub></em>), premium variable (<em>X<sub>6</sub></em>) , and insurance product variable (<em>X<sub>7</sub></em>) . The four variables are said to have a significant effect on the model, so that the final model of Cox proportional hazard is obtained that consists of the parameter estimation (<em>β</em>) value of each variable</p><p> </p><p><strong>Keywords</strong><strong> : </strong>survival analysis; cox proportional hazard model; breslow method; life insurance.</p>


1984 ◽  
Vol 23 (03) ◽  
pp. 157-162 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. Kay

SummaryThe extension of the proportional hazard model of Cox for survival data allows the consideration of transition times between events of interest (e.g., response, relapse, progression, etc.) and of competing risks. This paper applies these new models to a breast cancer study and gives some general remarks for the proceeding.


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