Applications of machine learning for corporate bond yield spread forecasting

Author(s):  
Jong-Min Kim ◽  
Dong H. Kim ◽  
Hojin Jung
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (23) ◽  
pp. 13123
Author(s):  
Hong Zhao ◽  
Wei Du ◽  
Hao Shen ◽  
Xinting Zhen

Bondholders are arm’s-length lenders with limited insider information. In this paper, we explore whether corporate social responsibility (CSR) activities could work as an information channel for bondholders to better understand the riskiness of bond-issuing firms. We find a significant negative relation between CSR scores and corporate bond yield spread, especially for firms which invest heavily in diversity and community relations, suggesting that CSR firms are less risky. The result is robust to different model specifications and endogeneity issues. In addition, the negative relation between the CSR score and bond yield spread is significant only if a firm has a strong internal governance mechanism.


Author(s):  
Kenneth R. Vetzal ◽  
Alan V. S. Douglas ◽  
Alan Guoming Huang

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