scholarly journals Neural Network Prediction of Daily Relativistic Electrons Fluence in the Outer Radiation Belt of the Earth: Selection of Delay Embedding Method ⁎ ⁎This study has been conducted at the expense of Russian Science Foundation, grant no. 16-17-00098.

2018 ◽  
Vol 123 ◽  
pp. 86-91
Author(s):  
Roman Batusov ◽  
Sergey Dolenko ◽  
Irina Myagkova
2021 ◽  
Vol 3 ◽  
pp. 47-57
Author(s):  
I. N. Myagkova ◽  
◽  
V. R. Shirokii ◽  
Yu. S. Shugai ◽  
O. G. Barinov ◽  
...  

The ways are studied to improve the quality of prediction of the time series of hourly mean fluxes and daily total fluxes (fluences) of relativistic electrons in the outer radiation belt of the Earth 1 to 24 hours ahead and 1 to 4 days ahead, respectively. The prediction uses an approximation approach based on various machine learning methods, namely, artificial neural networks (ANNs), decision tree (random forest), and gradient boosting. A comparison of the skill scores of short-range forecasts with the lead time of 1 to 24 hours showed that the best results were demonstrated by ANNs. For medium-range forecasting, the accuracy of prediction of the fluences of relativistic electrons in the Earth’s outer radiation belt three to four days ahead increases significantly when the predicted values of the solar wind velocity near the Earth obtained from the UV images of the Sun of the AIA (Atmospheric Imaging Assembly) instrument of the SDO (Solar Dynamics Observatory) are included to the list of the input parameters.


Author(s):  
S. N. Kuznetsov ◽  
I. N. Myagkova ◽  
E. A. Muravieva ◽  
B. Yu. Yushkov ◽  
L. I. Starostin ◽  
...  

Author(s):  
Naohisa NISHIDA ◽  
Tatsumi OBA ◽  
Yuji UNAGAMI ◽  
Jason PAUL CRUZ ◽  
Naoto YANAI ◽  
...  

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