scholarly journals Abrupt climate change as an important agent of ecological change in the Northeast U.S. throughout the past 15,000 years

2009 ◽  
Vol 28 (17-18) ◽  
pp. 1693-1709 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bryan N. Shuman ◽  
Paige Newby ◽  
Jeffrey P. Donnelly
2016 ◽  
Vol 23 (3) ◽  
pp. 115-126 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pengcheng Yan ◽  
Wei Hou ◽  
Guolin Feng

Abstract. A new detection method has been proposed to study the transition process of abrupt climate change. With this method, the climate system transiting from one stable state to another can be verified clearly. By applying this method to the global sea surface temperature over the past century, several climate changes and their processes are detected, including the start state (moment), persist time, and end state (moment). According to the spatial distribution, the locations of climate changes mainly have occurred in the Indian Ocean and western Pacific before the middle twentieth century, in the 1970s in the equatorial middle-eastern Pacific, and in the middle and southern Pacific since the end of the twentieth century. In addition, the quantitative relationship between the transition process parameters is verified in theory and practice: (1) the relationship between the rate and stability parameters is linear, and (2) the relationship between the rate and change amplitude parameters is quadratic.


2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pengcheng Yan ◽  
Wei Hou ◽  
Guolin Feng

Abstract. We propose a new concept of abrupt climate change transition and create a novel detection method to identify the transition process. With this method, how the climate system transits from one stable state to another could be verified clearly. By applying this method to the global sea surface temperature data over the past century, several climate change processes are detected, including their starting state (moment), persist time, and ending state (moment) etc. According to the spatial distributions, the locations of climate changes mainly occurred in Indian ocean and western Pacific before the middle twentieth century, while the climate changes in 1970s located in equatorial middle-eastern Pacific, and the climate changes happened in the middle and southern Pacific since the end twentieth century. In addition, an quantitative relationship among the transition process parameters has been exposed in theory and practice, which the relationship between the rate and stability parameters is linear, and the relationship between the rate and change amplitude parameters is quadratic.


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