Normal transformation for correlated random variables based on L-moments and its application in reliability engineering

2021 ◽  
Vol 207 ◽  
pp. 107334
Author(s):  
Ming-Na Tong ◽  
Yan-Gang Zhao ◽  
Zhao-Hui Lu
2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Jinsheng Wang ◽  
Muhannad Aldosary ◽  
Song Cen ◽  
Chenfeng Li

Purpose Normal transformation is often required in structural reliability analysis to convert the non-normal random variables into independent standard normal variables. The existing normal transformation techniques, for example, Rosenblatt transformation and Nataf transformation, usually require the joint probability density function (PDF) and/or marginal PDFs of non-normal random variables. In practical problems, however, the joint PDF and marginal PDFs are often unknown due to the lack of data while the statistical information is much easier to be expressed in terms of statistical moments and correlation coefficients. This study aims to address this issue, by presenting an alternative normal transformation method that does not require PDFs of the input random variables. Design/methodology/approach The new approach, namely, the Hermite polynomial normal transformation, expresses the normal transformation function in terms of Hermite polynomials and it works with both uncorrelated and correlated random variables. Its application in structural reliability analysis using different methods is thoroughly investigated via a number of carefully designed comparison studies. Findings Comprehensive comparisons are conducted to examine the performance of the proposed Hermite polynomial normal transformation scheme. The results show that the presented approach has comparable accuracy to previous methods and can be obtained in closed-form. Moreover, the new scheme only requires the first four statistical moments and/or the correlation coefficients between random variables, which greatly widen the applicability of normal transformations in practical problems. Originality/value This study interprets the classical polynomial normal transformation method in terms of Hermite polynomials, namely, Hermite polynomial normal transformation, to convert uncorrelated/correlated random variables into standard normal random variables. The new scheme only requires the first four statistical moments to operate, making it particularly suitable for problems that are constraint by limited data. Besides, the extension to correlated cases can easily be achieved with the introducing of the Hermite polynomials. Compared to existing methods, the new scheme is cheap to compute and delivers comparable accuracy.


2011 ◽  
Vol 261-263 ◽  
pp. 873-877
Author(s):  
Wei Li

Normal transformation technique is often used in practical probabilistic analysis in structural or civil engineering especially when multivariate random variables with the probabilistic characteristics expressed using only statistical moments are involved. In this paper, a modified high-order moment method(MHOM) is given based on the polynomial coefficients of a third-order normal transformation polynomial (NTP) using the first four central moments of random variables having unknown distributions. The present high-order moment method is introduced into several typical test problems having unknown distributions are available. Since it needs neither the computation of derivatives nor iteration, and since it is unnecessary to know the probability distribution of the basic random variables, the present method should be practical in actual reliability problems. Applications to several typical examples have helped to elucidate the successful working of the present MHOM.


2020 ◽  
Vol 146 (7) ◽  
pp. 06020003
Author(s):  
Yan-Gang Zhao ◽  
Ming-Na Tong ◽  
Zhao-Hui Lu ◽  
Jun Xu

1986 ◽  
Vol 23 (04) ◽  
pp. 1013-1018
Author(s):  
B. G. Quinn ◽  
H. L. MacGillivray

Sufficient conditions are presented for the limiting normality of sequences of discrete random variables possessing unimodal distributions. The conditions are applied to obtain normal approximations directly for the hypergeometric distribution and the stationary distribution of a special birth-death process.


1985 ◽  
Vol 24 (03) ◽  
pp. 120-130 ◽  
Author(s):  
E. Brunner ◽  
N. Neumann

SummaryThe mathematical basis of Zelen’s suggestion [4] of pre randomizing patients in a clinical trial and then asking them for their consent is investigated. The first problem is to estimate the therapy and selection effects. In the simple prerandomized design (PRD) this is possible without any problems. Similar observations have been made by Anbar [1] and McHugh [3]. However, for the double PRD additional assumptions are needed in order to render therapy and selection effects estimable. The second problem is to determine the distribution of the statistics. It has to be taken into consideration that the sample sizes are random variables in the PRDs. This is why the distribution of the statistics can only be determined asymptotically, even under the assumption of normal distribution. The behaviour of the statistics for small samples is investigated by means of simulations, where the statistics considered in the present paper are compared with the statistics suggested by Ihm [2]. It turns out that the statistics suggested in [2] may lead to anticonservative decisions, whereas the “canonical statistics” suggested by Zelen [4] and considered in the present paper keep the level quite well or may lead to slightly conservative decisions, if there are considerable selection effects.


2020 ◽  
pp. 9-13
Author(s):  
A. V. Lapko ◽  
V. A. Lapko

An original technique has been justified for the fast bandwidths selection of kernel functions in a nonparametric estimate of the multidimensional probability density of the Rosenblatt–Parzen type. The proposed method makes it possible to significantly increase the computational efficiency of the optimization procedure for kernel probability density estimates in the conditions of large-volume statistical data in comparison with traditional approaches. The basis of the proposed approach is the analysis of the optimal parameter formula for the bandwidths of a multidimensional kernel probability density estimate. Dependencies between the nonlinear functional on the probability density and its derivatives up to the second order inclusive of the antikurtosis coefficients of random variables are found. The bandwidths for each random variable are represented as the product of an undefined parameter and their mean square deviation. The influence of the error in restoring the established functional dependencies on the approximation properties of the kernel probability density estimation is determined. The obtained results are implemented as a method of synthesis and analysis of a fast bandwidths selection of the kernel estimation of the two-dimensional probability density of independent random variables. This method uses data on the quantitative characteristics of a family of lognormal distribution laws.


1998 ◽  
Vol 47 (12) ◽  
pp. 1270-1275 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kazuo KITAGAWA ◽  
Takeshi SEMBA ◽  
Hiroyuki HAMADA

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