System reliability of a gravity dam-foundation system using Bayesian networks

Author(s):  
Liang Pei ◽  
Chen Chen ◽  
Kun He ◽  
Xiang Lu
2016 ◽  
Vol 2016 ◽  
pp. 1-9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hao Zhang ◽  
Liyu Zhu ◽  
Shensi Xu

Under the increasingly uncertain economic environment, the research on the reliability of urban distribution system has great practical significance for the integration of logistics and supply chain resources. This paper summarizes the factors that affect the city logistics distribution system. Starting from the research of factors that influence the reliability of city distribution system, further construction of city distribution system reliability influence model is built based on Bayesian networks. The complex problem is simplified by using the sub-Bayesian network, and an example is analyzed. In the calculation process, we combined the traditional Bayesian algorithm and the Expectation Maximization (EM) algorithm, which made the Bayesian model able to lay a more accurate foundation. The results show that the Bayesian network can accurately reflect the dynamic relationship among the factors affecting the reliability of urban distribution system. Moreover, by changing the prior probability of the node of the cause, the correlation degree between the variables that affect the successful distribution can be calculated. The results have significant practical significance on improving the quality of distribution, the level of distribution, and the efficiency of enterprises.


2014 ◽  
Vol 08 (01) ◽  
pp. 1450004 ◽  
Author(s):  
LIAOJUN ZHANG ◽  
HANYUN ZHANG ◽  
SHAOWEI HU

In order to thoroughly study the seismic resistance of gravity dams with longitudinal joints, a contact model based on constraint function method is used to simulate the shear keys within the joints and a concrete smeared crack model is selected to present the cracking characteristics of concrete materials. Because of the great size difference between the shear keys and the dam body, a glue mesh is proposed to implement multi-scale modeling. A dam-foundation-reservoir interaction system with longitudinal joints considering the various shear keys is developed and analyzed by nonlinear time-history method. On the basis of actual construction, arrangement and loading features of shear keys, a gravity dam is taken as a test case and a finite element model of the dam is established with triangular or trapezoidal shear keys. The working behaviors and failure patterns of various shear keys under earthquakes are explored. Moreover, the effects of various shear keys on the seismic resistance of the gravity dam are discussed. The results show that the seismic responses of shear keys are resulted in designed forms. The occlusion and dislocation of the shear keys within the longitudinal joints have an impact on seismic resistance of the gravity dams.


2016 ◽  
Vol 2016 ◽  
pp. 1-12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gang Wang ◽  
Zhenyue Ma

The current challenge to the engineering profession is to carry out probabilistic methods in practice. The design point method in generalized random space (DPG method) associated with the method of divided difference can be utilized to deal with the complex problem of probability calculation of implicit performance function with nonnormal and correlated variables. For a practical concrete gravity dam, the suggested method is performed to calculate the instability probability of the dam foundation over multiple sliding places. The general conclusions drawn in the paper are identical to those in other research and the method is proved to be feasible, accurate, and efficient. As the same analysis principle, the method can also be used in other similar fields, such as in fields of slopes, earth-rock dams, levees, and embankments.


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