scholarly journals COVID-19 pandemic and economic policy uncertainty: The first test on the hedging and safe haven properties of cryptocurrencies

2022 ◽  
Vol 60 ◽  
pp. 101573
Author(s):  
Khaled Mokni ◽  
Manel Youssef ◽  
Ahdi Noomen Ajmi
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (3) ◽  
pp. 40
Author(s):  
Inzamam Ul Haq ◽  
Supat Chupradit ◽  
Chunhui Huo

Economic policy uncertainty and particularly COVID-19 has stimulated the need to investigate alternative avenues for policy risk management. In this context, this study examines the dynamic association among economic policy uncertainty, green bonds, clean energy stocks, and global rare earth elements. A dynamic conditional correlation-multivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (DCC-MGARCH) model was used to gauge the time-varying co-movements among these indices. The analysis finds that green bonds act more as a hedge than a safe haven against economic policy uncertainty (EPU). In the case of diversification, green bonds work as diversifiers with clean energy stocks and rare earth elements during COVID-19 and in the whole sample period. Additionally, clean energy stocks and rare earth elements show safe haven properties against EPUs. This study contributes to the hedging and safe haven literature with some new insight considering the role of green bonds and clean energy stocks. Additionally, the outcomes of the research contribute toward the literature of portfolio diversification theory. These findings pave the way for not only US investors to hedge long-term economic policy risk by investing in green bonds, but also for China and the UK, as these financial assets (green bonds, clean energy stocks, and rare earth metals) and EPU are long-term financial and economic variables.


2020 ◽  
Vol 29 (3) ◽  
pp. 347-363 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jessica Paule-Vianez ◽  
Camilo Prado-Román ◽  
Raúl Gómez-Martínez

PurposeThe goal of this work is to determine whether Bitcoin behaves as a safe-haven asset. In order to do so, the influence of Economic Policy Uncertainty (EPU) on Bitcoin returns and volatility was studied.Design/methodology/approachIt is evaluated whether, when compared with the evolution of EPU, Bitcoin's returns and volatility show behaviours typical of safe havens or rather, those of conventional speculative assets. When faced with an increase in EPU, safe havens – such as gold – can be expected to increase their returns and volatility, while conventional speculative assets will increase their volatility and reduce their returns. This study uses simple linear regression and quantile regression models on a daily data sample from 19 July 2010 to 11 April 2019, to analyse the influence of EPU on the returns and volatility of Bitcoin and gold.FindingsBitcoin's returns and volatility increase during more uncertain times, just like gold, showing that Bitcoin acts not only as a means of exchange but also shows characteristics of investment assets, specifically of safe havens. These findings provide useful information to investors by allowing Bitcoin to be considered as a tool to protect savings in times of economic uncertainty and to diversify portfolios.Originality/valueThis study complements and expands current research by aiming to answer the question of whether Bitcoin is a simple speculative asset or a safe haven. The most significant contribution is to show that Bitcoin is not a mere speculative asset but behaves like a safe haven.


SAGE Open ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 215824402110163
Author(s):  
Khaled Mokni ◽  
Elie Bouri ◽  
Ahdi Noomen Ajmi ◽  
Xuan Vinh Vo

This paper examines the hedge and safe-haven abilities of Bitcoin against U.S. aggregate and categorical economic policy uncertainty (EPU) via the application of quantile regression model augmented with a dummy and some control variables. Using monthly data from September 2011 to December 2019, empirical results indicate that Bitcoin does not act as a strong hedge against the aggregate U.S. EPU. However, it acts as a strong safe-haven for this aggregate measure of uncertainty when the Bitcoin market is bearish. Looking deeper into the disaggregated level of the U.S. EPU data, the analyses involving categorical EPU data indicate the ability of Bitcoin to act as a strong hedge and safe-haven against specific uncertainties related to fiscal policy, taxes, national security, and trade policy.


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