The temporal characteristics of the lag-response relationship and related key time points between ambient temperature and hand, foot and mouth disease: A multicity study from mainland China

Abstract Background Foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) is a highly contagious viral disease of cloven-hoofed animals. As a transboundary animal disease, the prevention and control of FMD are important. This study was based on spatial multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA) to assess FMD risk areas in mainland China. Ten risk factors were identified for constructing risk maps by scoring, and the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) was used to calculate the criteria weights of all factors. Different risk factors had different units and attributes, and fuzzy membership was used to standardize the risk factors. The weighted linear combination (WLC) and one-at-a-time (OAT) were used to obtain risk and uncertainty maps as well as to perform sensitivity analysis. Results Four major risk areas were identified in mainland China, including western (Xinjiang and Tibet), southern (Yunnan, Guizhou, Guangxi and Guangdong), northern (Gansu, Ningxia and Inner Mongolia), and eastern (Hebei, Henan, Anhui, Jiangsu and Shandong). We found spring as the main season for FMD outbreaks. Risk areas were associated with the distance to previous outbreak points, grazing areas and cattle density. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis indicated that the risk map had good predictive power (AUC = 0.8532). Conclusions These results can be used to delineate FMD risk areas in mainland China, and provinces can adopt the targeted preventive measures and control strategies.

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The modification effect of the diurnal temperature range on the exposure-response relationship between temperature and pediatric hand, foot and mouth disease

The Science of The Total Environment ◽

10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.137921 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 722 ◽

pp. 137921

Author(s):

Yifan Hu ◽

Fengfeng Liu ◽

Xing Zhao ◽

Yue Ma ◽

Tianjiao Lan ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Diurnal Temperature Range ◽

Foot And Mouth Disease ◽

Mouth Disease ◽

Response Relationship ◽

Diurnal Temperature ◽

Temperature Range ◽

Exposure Response ◽

Modification Effect ◽

Foot And Mouth

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Hand, foot, and mouth disease in mainland China

The Lancet Infectious Diseases ◽

10.1016/s1473-3099(14)70972-7 ◽

2014 ◽

Vol 14 (11) ◽

pp. 1041 ◽

Cited By ~ 4

Author(s):

Qunying Mao ◽

Yiping Wang ◽

Zhenglun Liang

Keyword(s):

Mainland China ◽

Foot And Mouth Disease ◽

Mouth Disease ◽

Foot And Mouth

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Hand, foot, and mouth disease in mainland China–Authors' reply

The Lancet Infectious Diseases ◽

10.1016/s1473-3099(14)70975-2 ◽

2014 ◽

Vol 14 (11) ◽

pp. 1042 ◽

Cited By ~ 1

Author(s):

Gabriel M Leung ◽

Weijia Xing ◽

Joseph T Wu ◽

Hongjie Yu

Keyword(s):

Mainland China ◽

Foot And Mouth Disease ◽

Mouth Disease ◽

Foot And Mouth

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Impact of the coronavirus disease 2019 interventions on the incidence of hand, foot, and mouth disease in mainland China

The Lancet Regional Health - Western Pacific ◽

10.1016/j.lanwpc.2021.100362 ◽

2022 ◽

Vol 20 ◽

pp. 100362

Author(s):

Zheng Zhao ◽

Canjun Zheng ◽

Hongchao Qi ◽

Yue Chen ◽

Michael P. Ward ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Mainland China ◽

Foot And Mouth Disease ◽

Mouth Disease ◽

Foot And Mouth

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Assessment of foot-and-mouth disease risk areas in mainland China based spatial multi-criteria decision analysis

BMC Veterinary Research ◽

10.1186/s12917-021-03084-5 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 17 (1) ◽

Author(s):

Wang Haoran ◽

Xiao Jianhua ◽

Ouyang Maolin ◽

Gao Hongyan ◽

Bie Jia ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Risk Factors ◽

Decision Analysis ◽

Disease Risk ◽

Mainland China ◽

Foot And Mouth Disease ◽

Mouth Disease ◽

Multi Criteria Decision Analysis ◽

Foot And Mouth ◽

Risk Areas ◽

And Control

Abstract Background Foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) is a highly contagious viral disease of cloven-hoofed animals. As a transboundary animal disease, the prevention and control of FMD are important. This study was based on spatial multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA) to assess FMD risk areas in mainland China. Ten risk factors were identified for constructing risk maps by scoring, and the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) was used to calculate the criteria weights of all factors. Different risk factors had different units and attributes, and fuzzy membership was used to standardize the risk factors. The weighted linear combination (WLC) and one-at-a-time (OAT) were used to obtain risk and uncertainty maps as well as to perform sensitivity analysis. Results Four major risk areas were identified in mainland China, including western (parts of Xinjiang and Tibet), southern (parts of Yunnan, Guizhou, Guangxi, Sichuan and Guangdong), northern (parts of Gansu, Ningxia and Inner Mongolia), and eastern (parts of Hebei, Henan, Anhui, Jiangsu and Shandong). Spring is the main season for FMD outbreaks. Risk areas were associated with the distance to previous outbreak points, grazing areas and cattle density. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis indicated that the risk map had good predictive power (AUC=0.8634). Conclusions These results can be used to delineate FMD risk areas in mainland China, and veterinary services can adopt the targeted preventive measures and control strategies.

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