scholarly journals From causal loop diagrams to future scenarios: Using the cross-impact balance method to augment understanding of urban health in Latin America

2021 ◽  
pp. 114157
Author(s):  
Stankov Ivana ◽  
Andres Felipe Useche ◽  
Jose David Meisel ◽  
Felipe Montes ◽  
Lidia MO. Morais ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Latin America ◽  
Urban Health ◽  
Balance Method ◽  
Future Scenarios ◽  
Causal Loop ◽  
Causal Loop Diagrams ◽  
The Cross

The most common issues in development of causal-loop diagrams and stock-and-flow diagrams

2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (5/6) ◽  
pp. 419
Author(s):  
Vladimír Bureš ◽  
Tereza Otčenášková ◽  
Marek Zanker ◽  
Martin Nehéz
Keyword(s):  
Causal Loop ◽  
Flow Diagrams ◽  
Causal Loop Diagrams

scholarly journals Analysis of the cross-border mobility of students between China and Latin America in the context of higher education internationalization

2021 ◽  
Vol 3 (3) ◽  
pp. 20-38
Author(s):  
Yan Li
Keyword(s):  
Higher Education ◽  
Latin America ◽  
Educación Superior ◽  
Educacion Superior ◽  
Cross Border ◽  
The Cross ◽  
America Latina ◽  
Higher Education Internationalization

En la actualidad, a medida que se van acelerando el desarrollo la economía y el conocimiento, la internacionalización de la educación superior llega a ser una tendencia común en el desarrollo de la educación, con la movilidad estudiantil internacional como indicador importante. En el periodo que comprende el inicio del siglo XXI hasta el brote de la epidemia de COVID-19, el flujo transfronterizo de estudiantes ha mostrado un importante desarrollo de escala y velocidad de crecimiento; y los intercambios humanísticos cada vez más estrechos entre China y América Latina están intensificando aún más la cooperación e interacción entre ambas partes en el ámbito de la educación superior. En la nueva era del desarrollo constructivo entre China y América Latina, sería de gran importancia estratégica realizar un análisis profundo de la situación actual, pasando por la trayectoria histórica, factores favorables y desfavorables, así como problemas existentes y perspectivas de la movilidad estudiantil transfronteriza, con el fin de seguir fomentando la cooperación integral de las dos regiones y promover el papel que desempeñan los talentos sino-latinoamericanos.

scholarly journals Evaluación del efecto tamaño de empresa en los mercados bursátiles de América Latina

2013 ◽  
Vol 17 (37) ◽  
pp. 5-28
Author(s):  
Juan Benjamín Duarte Duarte ◽  
Zulay Yesenia Ramírez León ◽  
Katherine Julieth Sierra Suárez
Keyword(s):  
Latin America ◽  
Size Effect ◽  
Cross Section ◽  
Latin American ◽  
Stock Markets ◽  
The Cross ◽  
America Latina

This paper assesses the existence of the size effect on the most important stock markets in Latin America (Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Mexico and Peru) for the period between 2002 and 2012, using the cross-section contrast methodology of the size effect in the CAPM context. Results show that there is reversed effect in some of the Latin American markets.

Use of co-created causal loop diagrams and fuzzy-cognitive scenario analysis for water quality management

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Samaneh Seifollahi-Aghmiuni ◽  
Zahra Kalantari ◽  
Georgia Destouni
Keyword(s):  
Water Quality ◽  
Quality Management ◽  
Baltic Sea ◽  
Coastal Water ◽  
Scenario Analysis ◽  
Water Quality Management ◽  
Coastal Water Quality ◽  
Causal Loop ◽  
Causal Loop Diagrams ◽  
Quality Issues

<p>Current understanding is fragmented of the environmental, economic, and social processes involved in water quality issues. The fragmentation is particularly evident for coastal water quality, impacted both by local land catchment and larger-scale marine pressures and impacts. Research and policy so far has primarily addressed coastal water quality issues from either a land-based or a sea-based perspective, which does not support integrated management of the coupled land-coast-sea systems affecting coastal waters. For example, mitigation measures for improving the severe Baltic Sea eutrophication have mostly focused on land-based drivers, and not yet managed to sufficiently improve coastal or marine water quality. The strong human dimension involved in these water quality issues also highlights a need for participatory approaches to facilitate knowledge integration and drive synergistic strategic planning for sustainable management of coastal water quality. Considering the Swedish water management district of Northern Baltic Proper, including its main Norrström drainage basin and surrounding coastal catchment areas and waters, this study has used a participatory approach to evaluate various land-sea water quality interactions and associated management measures. A causal loop diagram has been co-created with different stakeholder groups, following a problem-oriented system thinking approach. This has been further used in fuzzy-cognitive scenario analysis to assess integrated land-coast-sea system behavior under changing human pressures and hydro-climatic conditions. Results show that synergy of several catchment measures is needed to improve coastal water quality locally, while cross-system/sector cooperation is also needed among all contributing national catchments to mitigate coastal eutrophication at the scale of the whole Baltic Sea. Furthermore, large-scale hydro-climatic changes and long-lived nutrient legacy sources also need to be accounted for in water quality management strategies and measures. System dynamics modelling, based on co-created causal loop diagrams and fuzzy-cognitive scenario analysis like those developed in this study, can support further quantification and analysis of the impacts of various mitigation strategies and measures on regional water quality problems and their possible sustainable solutions.</p>

Complexity Theory and System Dynamics for Project Risk Management

2017 ◽  
pp. 152-176 ◽  
Author(s):  
Robert J. Chapman
Keyword(s):  
System Dynamics ◽  
Systems Thinking ◽  
Complexity Theory ◽  
Systems Dynamics ◽  
Risk And Uncertainty ◽  
Causal Loop ◽  
General Systems ◽  
Big Picture ◽  
Causal Loop Diagrams ◽  
Managing Risk

As a consequence of the consensus that projects are growing in complexity from ever ambitious goals there is a perpetual search for methods aimed at pinpointing and describing the source of complexity with the objective of subsequently reducing uncertainty, managing risk and improving project performance. An area of study that has engaged enquiring minds for over fifty years but has not yet been accepted into mainstream project management is the study and application of systems thinking and system dynamics. The purpose of this chapter is to promulgate the view that the mapping of projects as systems should be re-examined as a means of articulating and responding to complexity. The chapter examines general systems theory, systems thinking and systems dynamics with examples of causal loop diagrams as an aid to describe and respond to risk exposure. It includes simple causal loop diagrams as a means of illustrating how risks may be identified and addressed. The emphasis is on seeing the ‘big picture' to avoid gaps and omissions in the management of risk and uncertainty.

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