Decision analysis defining optimal management of clinical stage 1 high-risk nonseminomatous germ cell testicular cancer with lymphovascular invasion

2018 ◽  
Vol 36 (7) ◽  
pp. 342.e1-342.e6 ◽  
Author(s):  
Svetlana Avulova ◽  
Clayton Allen ◽  
Alicia Morgans ◽  
Kelvin A. Moses
2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
yunlin ye ◽  
Zhuang-fei Chen ◽  
Jun Bian ◽  
Hai-tao Liang ◽  
Zi-ke Qin

Abstract Background: Different from adult clinical stage I (CS1) testicular cancer, surveillance was recommended for CS1 pediatric testicular cancer. For high-risk children, greater than 50% of them suffered relapse and progress during surveillance and adjuvant chemotherapy was administrated. Risk-adapted treatment might reduce chemotherapy exposure for those children.Methods: The decision model was designed and calculated using TreeAge Pro 2011 software. Clinical utilities such as relapse rates of different groups during surveillance or after chemotherapy were collected from literatures. And a survey to urologist was performed to evaluate the toxicity of the first-line and second-line chemotherapy. Using decision analysis model, chemotherapy exposure between risk-adapted treatment and surveillance were compared based on this series of clinical utilities. One-way and two-way tests were administrated to check the feasibility.Results: In base case decision analysis of CS1 pediatric testicular cancer, risk-adapted treatment preferred lower exposure of chemotherapy than surveillance (average: 0.7965 cycle verse 1.3419 cycles). The sensitivity analysis demonstrated that when relapse rate after primary chemotherapy ≤0.10 and the relapse rate of high-risk group ≥0.40, risk-adapted treatment would expose lower chemotherapy, without association of the proportion of low-risk patients, the relapse rate of low-risk group, relapse rate after salvage chemotherapy and toxicity utility of second-line chemotherapy compared to first-line chemotherapy.Conclusions: Using decision analysis, risk-adapted treatment might decrease chemotherapy exposure for these high-risk patients and precious evaluation after orchiectomy was critical to this process. Further clinical study was needed to validate this statement.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
yunlin ye ◽  
Zhuang-fei Chen ◽  
Jun Bian ◽  
Hai-tao Liang ◽  
Zi-ke Qin

Abstract Background: Different from adult clinical stage I (CS1) testicular cancer, surveillance has been recommended for CS1 pediatric testicular cancer. However, among high-risk children, more than 50% suffer a relapse and progression during surveillance, and adjuvant chemotherapy needs to be administered. Risk-adapted treatment might reduce chemotherapy exposure among these children.Methods: A decision model was designed and calculated using TreeAge Pro 2011 software. Clinical utilities such as the relapse rates of different groups during surveillance or after chemotherapy were collected from the literature. A survey of urologists was conducted to evaluate the toxicity of first-line and second-line chemotherapy. Using the decision analysis model, chemotherapy exposure of the risk-adapted treatment and surveillance strategies were compared based on this series of clinical utilities. One-way and two-way tests were applied to check the feasibility.Results: In the base case decision analysis of CS1 pediatric testicular cancer, risk-adapted treatment resulted in a lower exposure to chemotherapy than surveillance (average: 0.7965 cycles verse 1.3419 cycles). The sensitivity analysis demonstrated that when the relapse rate after primary chemotherapy was ≤0.10 and the relapse rate of the high-risk group was ≥0.40, risk-adapted treatment would result in a lower exposure to chemotherapy, without any association with the proportion of low-risk patients, the relapse rate of the low-risk group, the relapse rate after salvage chemotherapy or the toxicity utility of second-line chemotherapy compared to first-line chemotherapy.Conclusions: Based on the decision analysis, risk-adapted treatment might decrease chemotherapy exposure for these high-risk patients, and an evaluation after orchiectomy was critical to this process. Additional clinical studies are needed to validate this statement.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
yunlin ye ◽  
Zhuang-fei Chen ◽  
Jun Bian ◽  
Hai-tao Liang ◽  
Zi-ke Qin

Abstract Background: Different from adult clinical stage I (CS1) testicular cancer, surveillance was recommended for CS1 pediatric testicular cancer. For high-risk children, greater than 50% of them suffered relapse and progress during surveillance and adjuvant chemotherapy was administrated. Risk-adapted treatment might reduce chemotherapy exposure for those children. Methods: The decision model was designed and calculated using TreeAge Pro 2011 software. Clinical utilities such as relapse rates of different groups during surveillance or after chemotherapy were collected from literatures. And a survey to urologist was performed to evaluate the toxicity of the first-line and second-line chemotherapy. Using decision analysis model, chemotherapy exposure between risk-adapted treatment and surveillance were compared based on this series of clinical utilities. One-way and two-way tests were administrated to check the feasibility. Results: In base case decision analysis of CS1 pediatric testicular cancer, risk-adapted treatment preferred lower exposure of chemotherapy than surveillance (average: 0.7965 cycle verse 1.3419 cycles). The sensitivity analysis demonstrated that when relapse rate after primary chemotherapy ≤0.10 and the relapse rate of high-risk group ≥0.40, risk-adapted treatment would expose lower chemotherapy, without association of the proportion of low-risk patients, the relapse rate of low-risk group, relapse rate after salvage chemotherapy and toxicity utility of second-line chemotherapy compared to first-line chemotherapy. Conclusions: Using decision analysis, risk-adapted treatment might decrease chemotherapy exposure for these high-risk patients and precious evaluation after orchiectomy was critical to this process. Further clinical study was needed to validate this statement.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
yunlin ye ◽  
Zhuang-fei Chen ◽  
Jun Bian ◽  
Hai-tao Liang ◽  
Zi-ke Qin

Abstract Background Different from adult clinical stage I (CS1) testicular cancer, surveillance was recommended for CS1 pediatric testicular cancer. For high-risk children, greater than 50% of them suffered relapse and progress during surveillance and adjuvant chemotherapy was administrated. Risk-adapted treatment might reduce chemotherapy burden for those children.Methods Using decision analysis model, we collected clinical utilities from literature and survey and compared chemotherapy exposure between risk-adapted treatment and surveillance.Results In base case decision analysis of CS1 pediatric testicular cancer, risk-adapted treatment preferred lower exposure of chemotherapy than surveillance (average: 0.7965 cycle verse 1.3419 cycles). The sensitivity analysis demonstrated that when relapse rate after primary chemotherapy ≤ 0.10 and the relapse rate of high-risk group ≥ 0.40, risk-adapted treatment would expose lower chemotherapy, without association of the proportion of low-risk patients, the relapse rate of low-risk group, relapse rate after salvage chemotherapy and toxicity utility of second-line chemotherapy compared to salvage chemotherapy.Conclusions Risk-adapted treatment might decrease chemotherapy-related toxicity for these high-risk patients and further clinical study was needed.


2008 ◽  
Vol 26 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 5034-5034 ◽  
Author(s):  
T. Tandstad ◽  
D. Olav ◽  
G. Cohn-Cedermark ◽  
E. Cavallin-Stahl ◽  
U. K. Stierner ◽  
...  

2009 ◽  
Vol 27 (13) ◽  
pp. 2122-2128 ◽  
Author(s):  
Torgrim Tandstad ◽  
Olav Dahl ◽  
Gabriella Cohn-Cedermark ◽  
Eva Cavallin-Stahl ◽  
Ulrika Stierner ◽  
...  

PurposeTo offer minimized risk-adapted adjuvant treatment on a nationwide basis for patients with clinical stage 1 (CS1) nonseminomatous germ-cell testicular cancer (NSGCT). The aim was to reduce the risk of relapse and thereby reducing the need of later salvage chemotherapy while maintaining a high cure rate.Patients and MethodsFrom 1998 to 2005, 745 Norwegian and Swedish patients were included into a prospective, community-based multicenter Swedish and Norwegian Testicular Cancer Project (SWENOTECA) management program. Treatment strategy depended on the presence or absence of vascular tumor invasion (VASC). VASC-positive patients were recommended brief adjuvant chemotherapy (ACT) with bleomycin, etoposide, and cisplatin (BEP), whereas VASC-negative patients could choose between ACT and surveillance.ResultsAt a median follow-up of 4.7 years, there have been 51 relapses. On surveillance, 41.7% of VASC+ patients relapsed, compared with 13.2% of VASC− patients. After one course of BEP, 3.2% of VASC+ and 1.3% of VASC− patients relapsed. The toxicity of adjuvant BEP was low. Eight patients have died, none died from progressive disease.ConclusionOne course of adjuvant BEP reduces the risk of relapse by approximately 90% in both VASC+ and VASC− CS1 NSGCT, and may be a new option as initial treatment for all CS1 NSGCT. One course of adjuvant BEP for VASC+ CS1 reduces the total burden of chemotherapy compared with surveillance or two courses of BEP. SWENOTECA currently recommends one course of BEP as standard treatment of VASC+ CS1 NSGCT, whereas both surveillance and one course of BEP are options for VASC− CS1 NSGCT.


2008 ◽  
Vol 179 (4S) ◽  
pp. 174-174
Author(s):  
Carvell T Nguyen ◽  
Alex Z Fu ◽  
Timothy D Gilligan ◽  
Michael W Kattan ◽  
Brian J Wells ◽  
...  

2010 ◽  
Vol 28 (1) ◽  
pp. 119-125 ◽  
Author(s):  
Carvell T. Nguyen ◽  
Alex Z. Fu ◽  
Timothy D. Gilligan ◽  
Brian J. Wells ◽  
Eric A. Klein ◽  
...  

PurposeThere is equipoise regarding the optimal treatment of clinical stage (CS) I nonseminomatous germ cell testicular cancer (NSGCT). Formal mechanisms that enable patients to consider cancer outcomes, treatment-related morbidity, and personal preferences are needed to facilitate decision making between retroperitoneal lymph node dissection (RPLND), primary chemotherapy, and surveillance.MethodsDecision analysis was performed using a Markov model that incorporated likelihoods of survival, treatment-related morbidity, and utilities for seven undesired post-treatment health states to estimate the quality-adjusted survival (QAS) for each treatment option. Utilities were obtained from 24 hypothetical NSGCT patients using a visual analog (rating) scale and standard gamble.ResultsOverall, QAS associated with each treatment was high and differences in QAS were small. Surveillance was the preferred intervention for patients with a risk of relapse less than 33% and 37% using the rating scale and standard-gamble method of utility assessment, respectively. Active treatment was favored over surveillance for patients with relapse risk on surveillance greater than 33% and 37% by the rating scale (RPLND preferred) and standard-gamble methods (primary chemotherapy preferred), respectively. Substantial differences in average utilities were seen depending on the method used. By the rating scale, patients substantially devalued life in six of seven undesired health states but they were surprisingly tolerant of treatment-related morbidity using standard gamble.ConclusionA decision model has been developed for CS I NSGCT that estimates QAS for RPLND, primary chemotherapy, and surveillance by considering cancer outcomes, morbidity, and patient preferences. Surveillance was the preferred intervention for all except those patients at high risk for relapse.


2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yunlin Ye ◽  
Hong-chao Li ◽  
Ji Zhang ◽  
Hai-tao Liang ◽  
Zike Qin ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Different from adult clinical stage I (CS1) testicular cancer, surveillance was recommended for CS1 pediatric testicular cancer. This study was to compare chemotherapy exposure between risk-adapted treatment and surveillance in CS1 pediatric testicular cancer.Methods We collected clinical utilities from literature and survey. Using decision analysis model, we compared chemotherapy exposure between risk-adapted treatment and surveillance and sensitivity analysis was performed.Results In base case decision analysis of CS1 pediatric testicular cancer, risk-adapted treatment preferred lower exposure of chemotherapy than surveillance (average: 0.7965 cycle verse 1.3419 cycles). The sensitivity analysis demonstrated that when relapse rate after primary chemotherapy ≤0.10 and the relapse rate of high-risk group ≥0.40, risk-adapted treatment would expose lower chemotherapy, without association of the proportion of low-risk patients, the relapse rate of low-risk group, relapse rate after salvage chemotherapy and toxicity utility of second-line chemotherapy compared to salvage chemotherapy.Conclusion Decision analysis demonstrated that risk-adapted treatment was associated with lower exposure of chemotherapy for patients with CS1 pediatric testicular cancer. This might decrease chemotherapy-related toxicity for these high-risk patients and further clinical study was needed.


2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Yun-lin Ye ◽  
Zhuang-fei Chen ◽  
Jun Bian ◽  
Hai-tao Liang ◽  
Zi-ke Qin

Abstract Background Different from adult clinical stage I (CS1) testicular cancer, surveillance has been recommended for CS1 pediatric testicular cancer. However, among high-risk children, more than 50% suffer a relapse and progression during surveillance, and adjuvant chemotherapy needs to be administered. Risk-adapted treatment might reduce chemotherapy exposure among these children. Methods A decision model was designed and calculated using TreeAge Pro 2011 software. Clinical utilities such as the relapse rates of different groups during surveillance or after chemotherapy were collected from the literature. A survey of urologists was conducted to evaluate the toxicity of first-line and second-line chemotherapy. Using the decision analysis model, chemotherapy exposure of the risk-adapted treatment and surveillance strategies were compared based on this series of clinical utilities. One-way and two-way tests were applied to check the feasibility. Results In the base case decision analysis of CS1 pediatric testicular cancer, risk-adapted treatment resulted in a lower exposure to chemotherapy than surveillance (average: 0.7965 cycles verse 1.3419 cycles). The sensitivity analysis demonstrated that when the relapse rate after primary chemotherapy was ≤ 0.10 and the relapse rate of the high-risk group was ≥ 0.40, risk-adapted treatment would result in a lower exposure to chemotherapy, without any association with the proportion of low-risk patients, the relapse rate of the low-risk group, the relapse rate after salvage chemotherapy or the toxicity utility of second-line chemotherapy compared to first-line chemotherapy. Conclusions Based on the decision analysis, risk-adapted treatment might decrease chemotherapy exposure for these high-risk patients, and an evaluation after orchiectomy was critical to this process. Additional clinical studies are needed to validate this statement.


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