Time to Prostate-Specific Antigen Nadir After Androgen Suppression Therapy for Postoperative or Postradiation PSA Failure and Risk of Prostate Cancer-Specific Mortality

Purpose: To determine whether pretreatment risk groups shown to predict time to prostate cancer–specific mortality (PCSM) after treatment at a single institution retained that ability in a multi-institutional setting. Patients and Methods: From 1988 to 2002, 7,316 patients treated in the United States at 44 institutions with either surgery (n = 4,946) or radiation (n = 2,370) for clinical stage T1c-2, N0 or NX, M0 prostate cancer made up the study cohort. A Cox regression analysis was performed to determine the ability of pretreatment risk groups to predict time to PCSM after treatment. The relative risk (RR) of PCSM and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated for the intermediate- and high-risk groups relative to the low-risk group. Results: Estimates of non-PCSM 8 years after prostate-specific antigen (PSA) failure were 4% v 15% (surgery versus radiation; Plog rank = .002) compared with 13% v 18% (surgery versus radiation; Plog rank = .35) for patients whose age at the time of PSA failure was less than 70 as compared with ≥ 70 years, respectively. The RR of PCSM after treatment for surgery-managed patients with high- or intermediate-risk disease was 14.2 (95% CI, 5.0 to 23.4; PCox < .0001) and 4.9 (95% CI, 1.7 to 8.1; PCox = .0037), respectively. These values were 14.3 (95% CI, 5.2 to 24.0; PCox < .0001) and 5.6 (95% CI, 2.0 to 9.3; PCox = .0012) for radiation-managed patients. Conclusion: This study provided evidence to support the prediction of time to PCSM after surgery or radiation on the basis of pretreatment risk groups for patients with clinically localized prostate cancer managed during the PSA era.

Download Full-text

Prostate-Specific Antigen Nadir and Cancer-Specific Mortality Following Hormonal Therapy for Prostate-Specific Antigen Failure

Journal of Clinical Oncology ◽

10.1200/jco.2005.20.966 ◽

2005 ◽

Vol 23 (27) ◽

pp. 6556-6560 ◽

Cited By ~ 76

Author(s):

Alexandra J. Stewart ◽

Howard I. Scher ◽

Ming-Hui Chen ◽

David G. McLeod ◽

Peter R. Carroll ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Prostate Cancer ◽

Prostate Specific Antigen ◽

Cox Regression ◽

Specific Antigen ◽

Study Cohort ◽

Psa Failure ◽

Specific Mortality ◽

Cancer Specific Mortality ◽

Psa Nadir ◽

Clinically Significant

Purpose For men receiving androgen-suppression therapy (AST) for a rising postoperative or postradiation prostate-specific antigen (PSA), we evaluated whether a PSA nadir of more than 0.2 ng/mL was significantly associated with prostate cancer–specific mortality (PCSM). Patients and Methods The study cohort comprised 747 men with rising PSA and negative bone scan after surgery (n = 486) or radiation therapy (n = 261) who were treated with AST. Cox regression was used to evaluate whether a significant association existed between the PSA nadir level after 8 months of AST and the time to PCSM, controlling for treatment and known prognostic factors. Results The post-AST PSA nadir (pCox < .0001), the pre-AST PSA doubling time (DT) (pCox = .002), PSA level (P = .0001), and Gleason eight to 10 cancers (pCox = .01) were significantly associated with time to PCSM. The adjusted hazard ratio for PCSM was 20 (95% CI, 7 to 61; pCox < .0001), for men with a PSA nadir of more than 0.2 ng/mL as compared with all others. A PSA DT of less than 3 months was observed in 30% (224 of 747) of the study cohort. Of the 28 observed prostate cancer deaths, 21 (75%) occurred in men whose PSA nadir was more than 0.2 ng/mL and who had a PSA DT of less than 3 months. Conclusion A PSA nadir of more than 0.2 ng/mL after 8 months of AST given for postoperative or postradiation PSA failure is significantly associated with PCSM and is clinically significant because it accounted for 75% of the cancer deaths observed in this study.

Download Full-text