Simulation of the natural history of cerebral aneurysms based on data from the International Study of Unruptured Intracranial Aneurysms

2007 ◽  
Vol 2007 ◽  
pp. 270-272
Author(s):  
G.J. Zipfel
2006 ◽  
Vol 104 (2) ◽  
pp. 188-194 ◽  
Author(s):  
Han Soo Chang

Object Despite recent publications of large-scale study data, controversy over the management of unruptured cerebral aneurysms continues. The low rupture rates in the International Study of Unruptured Intracranial Aneurysms (ISUIA) apparently contradicted surgeons’ experiences with ruptured aneurysms. In the present study, based on data from the ISUIA, a mathematical model describing the natural history of cerebral aneurysms was developed. With this model, the author aimed to examine the validity of data from the ISUIA and to provide a better treatment guideline for unruptured aneurysms. Methods The author made a computer simulation of the natural history of cerebral aneurysms that was used to calculate such figures as the prevalence of unruptured aneurysms, incidence of subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH), and age and size distribution of both unruptured and ruptured aneurysms. The lifetime lesion rupture probability for individual patients with various ages and aneurysm sizes was also computed, thereby providing a useful index to help patients in the medical decision-making process. The computer model produced a sample of unruptured aneurysms in the general population with a prevalence of 4.2% and a median diameter of 5.8 mm. These unruptured aneurysms—affected by the rupture rate reported in the ISUIA—had a yearly SAH incidence of 19.6 per 100,000 persons. The median diameter of these aneurysms was 9.4 mm. Conclusions Findings in the present study validated the results of the ISUIA by showing that the seemingly low rupture rates could explain the statistical data for ruptured aneurysms. With the featured model, the author calculated the lifetime probability of lesion rupture—a useful measure for deciding on the optimal treatment for unruptured aneurysms.


2002 ◽  
Vol 15 (5) ◽  
pp. 589-596
Author(s):  
M. Fontanella ◽  
D. Garbossa ◽  
V. Luparello

Surgery on unruptured intracranial aneurysms (UIAs) could be a good strategy for prevention of haemorrhage, but management decisions require an accurate assessment of the risks of various treatment options, compared with the natural history of subarachnoid haemorrhage (SAH). The International Study for Unruptured Aneurysms (ISUIA) showed that the natural history is different for patients with UIAs who have not experienced SAH, than it is for patients with a history of prior SAH due to a separate aneurysm, in whom the risk is increased. The size of the UIAs is the best predictor of future rupture and the site can also be. The role of elective neuroradiological screening is the subject of discussion. In fact, the possibility of treatment should be considered on the basis of the patient's age and clinical status. Factors that favour surgery include a young patient with a long life expectancy, previously ruptured aneurysms, a familiarity, large and symptomatic aneurysms and low risk of treatment. The role of endovascular treatment is also discussed.


2004 ◽  
Vol 17 (5) ◽  
pp. 1-5 ◽  
Author(s):  
J Mocco ◽  
Ricardo J. Komotar ◽  
Sean D. Lavine ◽  
Philip M. Meyers ◽  
E. Sander Connolly ◽  
...  

Since the publication of preliminary results from the International Study of Unruptured Intracranial Aneurysms in 1998 there has been a great deal of debate concerning the natural history of these lesions and their attendant risk of aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage. Therefore, the authors reviewed a selected number of crucial studies concerning this topic to determine the best evidence-based estimate of a rupture rate for these lesions. Based on this analysis, the yearly risk of bleeding for an unruptured intracranial aneurysm is estimated to be approximately 1% for aneurysms 7 to 10 mm in diameter. This risk of rupture increases with aneurysm size and it likewise diminishes as the size of the lesion decreases. This general rule serves as a reasonable interpretation of the results reported in the current body of literature.


2004 ◽  
Vol 17 (5) ◽  
pp. 1-5 ◽  
Author(s):  
Robert D. Ecker ◽  
L. Nelson Hopkins

Since the publication of the retrospective part of the International Study of Unruptured Intracranial Aneurysms (ISUIA) in 1998, there has been a significant focus in the neurosurgical literature on the natural history of these lesions. The prospective data from the second part of the ISUIA, which was published in 2003, provided further evidence that small, asymptomatic intracranial aneurysms may have a more benign course than previously believed. With the data from the ISUIA as a reference point, in this paper the authors strive to provide a source of practical clinical data to aid cerebrovascular physicians in the initial decision to treat or observe a patient with a small, asymptomatic intracranial aneurysm. The issues covered will include previous rupture, symptoms other than rupture, aneurysm size, site, and aspect ratio. It is the authors' goal to provide a useful practical framework on the relevant clinical issues as an aid to practitioners treating patients who present with intracranial aneurysms.


2019 ◽  
Vol 24 (2) ◽  
pp. 184-189 ◽  
Author(s):  
Daniel-Alexandre Bisson ◽  
Peter Dirks ◽  
Afsaneh Amirabadi ◽  
Manohar M. Shroff ◽  
Timo Krings ◽  
...  

OBJECTIVEThere are little data in the literature on the characteristics and natural history of unruptured intracranial aneurysms in children. The authors analyzed their experience with unruptured intracranial aneurysms in the pediatric population at their tertiary care pediatric institution over the last 18 years. The first objective was to assess the imaging characteristics and natural history of these aneurysms in order to help guide management strategies in the future. A second objective was to evaluate the frequency of an underlying condition when an incidental intracranial aneurysm was detected in a child.METHODSThe authors conducted a Research Ethics Board–approved retrospective review of incidental intracranial aneurysms in patients younger than 18 years of age who had been treated at their institution in the period from 1998 to 2016. Clinical (age, sex, syndrome) and radiological (aneurysm location, type, size, thrombus, mass effect) data were recorded. Follow-up imaging was assessed for temporal changes.RESULTSSixty intracranial aneurysms occurred in 51 patients (36 males, 15 females) with a mean age of 10.5 ± 0.5 years (range 9 months–17 years). Forty-five patients (88.2%) had a single aneurysm, while 2 and 3 aneurysms were found in 3 patients each (5.8%). Syndromic association was found in 22 patients (43.1%), most frequently sickle cell disease (10/22 [45.5%]). Aneurysms were saccular in 43 cases (71.7%; mean size 5.0 ± 5.7 mm) and fusiform in the remaining 17 (28.3%; mean size 6.5 ± 2.7 mm). Thirty-one aneurysms (51.7%) arose from the internal carotid artery (right/left 1.4), most commonly in the cavernous segment (10/31 [32.3%]). Mean size change over the entire follow-up of 109 patient-years was a decrease of 0.6 ± 4.2 mm (range −30.0 to +4.0 mm, rate −0.12 ± 9.9 mm/yr). Interval growth (2.0 ± 1.0 mm) was seen in 8 aneurysms (13.3%; 4 saccular, 4 fusiform). An interval decrease in size (8.3 ± 10.7 mm) was seen in 6 aneurysms (10%). There was an inverse relationship between aneurysm size and growth rate (r = −0.82, p < 0.00001). One aneurysm was treated endovascularly with internal carotid artery sacrifice.CONCLUSIONSUnruptured pediatric intracranial aneurysms are most frequently single but can occur in multiples in a syndromic setting. None of the cases from the study period showed clinical or imaging signs of rupture. Growth over time, although unusual and slow, can occur in a proportion of these patients, who should be identified for short-term imaging surveillance.


2018 ◽  
Vol 27 (3) ◽  
pp. 184-191
Author(s):  
Jun C. Takahashi ◽  
Hiroharu Kataoka ◽  
Tetsu Satow ◽  
Hisae Mori

1981 ◽  
Vol 304 (12) ◽  
pp. 696-698 ◽  
Author(s):  
David O. Wiebers ◽  
Jack P. Whisnant ◽  
W. Michael O'Fallon

2015 ◽  
Vol 59 (1) ◽  
pp. 11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hyoung Soo Byoun ◽  
Won Huh ◽  
Chang Wan Oh ◽  
Jae Seung Bang ◽  
Gyojun Hwang ◽  
...  

2021 ◽  
pp. 429-439
Author(s):  
Robert D. Brown

Knowledge of the natural history of unruptured intracranial aneurysms and vascular malformations of the brain is important because this information can be weighed against the morbidity and death rates of intervention to decide on the most appropriate treatment of an individual patient. This chapter reviews the epidemiologic factors and natural history of common intracranial vascular abnormalities.


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