Size Effect on Reliability Indices and Safety Factors

Author(s):  
Zdenek P. Bazant ◽  
Jia-Liang Le
Author(s):  
Tai Asayama

This paper introduces a methodology for the determination of a complete set of safety factors that maintains consistency between design code and fitness-for-service code of nuclear components. The purpose of the work is to materialize the System Based Code concept, which is indispensable for the development of next generation nuclear reactors. The methodology consists of three principles proposed by the author which should be the basis of code development for new next generation reactors. The principles are; 1) Design to target reliability, 2) Continuous reliability evaluation from design to fitness-for-service, 3) Update of reliability evaluation based on information obtained during construction and operation. Effectiveness of the methodology is demonstrated using a simple example problem. The problem deals with pipe subjected to internal pressure under conditions which is typical in light water reactors. Following the reliability evaluation of current situation which meets the provisions of design code and fitness-for-serve code published from Japan Society of Mechanical Engineers, the three principles are applied step-by-step and safety factors and reliability indices are newly derived. It is shown that a complete application of the three principles could lead to a set of safety factors that assures consistency in terms of reliability in design and fitness-for-service, and improves allowable stresses as well. Technologies to be developed and issues to be discussed for application of the methodology to more complicated and practical situations are described as well.


2013 ◽  
Vol 351-352 ◽  
pp. 1601-1604
Author(s):  
Wei Jiang ◽  
Da Gang Lu

An inverse first order reliability method (FORM) is presented to solve the safety factors for the in-plane creep stability of concrete filled steel tubular (CFST) arches. In the inverse analysis, the safety factors with or without considering the time-dependent behavior of concrete are introduced into limit state equations for the in-plane stability design of CFST arches. For different target reliability indices and steel ratios, the time-independent and time-dependent safety factors are solved. The results show that the inverse FORM is of good efficiency and applicability. The target reliability indices have little effect on the safety factors for the creep stability of CFST arches. The effects of steel ratios are significant which should be considered in design. For the commonly used steel ratios of CFST arches, the in-plane safety factors for creep stability range from 1.17 to 1.43.


2021 ◽  
Vol 33 (6) ◽  
pp. 293-297
Author(s):  
Dong Hyawn Kim ◽  
Jungwon Huh

Calibration of load-resistance factors for the limit state design of front covered caisson breakwaters were presented. Reliability analysis of the breakwaters which are constructed in Korean coast was conducted. Then, partial safety factors and load-resistance factors were sequentially calculated according to target reliability index. Load resistance factors were optimized to give one set of factor for limit state design of breakwater. The breakwaters were redesigned by using the optimal load resistance factor and verified whether reliability indices larger than the target value. Finally, load-resistance factors were compared with foreign country’s code for verification.


2012 ◽  
Vol 28 (4) ◽  
pp. 262-269 ◽  
Author(s):  
Matthias Johannes Müller ◽  
Suzan Kamcili-Kubach ◽  
Songül Strassheim ◽  
Eckhardt Koch

A 10-item instrument for the assessment of probable migration-related stressors was developed based on previous work (MIGSTR10) and interrater reliability was tested in a chart review study. The MIGSTR10 and nine nonspecific stressors of the DSM-IV Axis IV (DSMSTR9) were put into a questionnaire format with categorical and dimensional response options. Charts of 100 inpatients (50 Turkish migrants [MIG], 50 native German patients [CON]) with affective or anxiety disorder were reviewed by three independent raters and MIGSTR10, DSMSTR9, and Global Assessment of Functioning scale (GAF) scores were obtained. Interrater reliability indices (ICC) of items and sum scores were calculated. The prevalence of single migration-related stressors in MIG ranged from 15% to 100% (CON 0–92%). All items of the MIGSTR10 (ICC 0.58–0.92) and the DSMSTR9 (ICC 0.56–0.96) reached high to very high interrater agreement (p < .0005). The item analysis of the MIGSTR10 revealed sufficient internal consistency (Cronbach’s α = 0.68/0.69) and only one item (“family conflicts”) without substantial correlation with the remaining scale. Correlation analyses showed a significant overlap of dimensional MIGSTR10 scores (r² = 0.25; p < .01) and DSMSTR9 scores (r² = 9%; p < .05) with GAF scores in MIG indicating functional relevance. MIGSTR10 is considered a feasible, economic, and reliable instrument for the assessment of stressors potentially related to migration.


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