scholarly journals Evaluation of factors related to the survival of hospitalized patients with COVID-19: Survival analysis with frailty approach

Author(s):  
Parvin Sarbakhsh ◽  
Saba Ghaffary ◽  
Elnaz Shaseb

Abstract Introduction: Considering that covid-19 is an emerging disease and results in very different outcomes-from complete recovery to death, it is important to determine the factors affecting the survival of patients. Given the lack of knowledge about effective factors and the existence of differences in the outcome of individuals with similar values of the observed covariates, this study aimed to investigate the factors affecting the survival of patients with COVID-19 by the parametric survival model with the frailty approach. Methods: The data of 139 patients with COVID-19 hospitalized in Imam Reza Hospital in Tabriz were analyzed by the Gompertz survival model with gamma frailty effect. At first, variables with p-value<.1 in univariable analysis were included in the multivariable analysis, and then the stepwise method was used for variable selection. Results: Diabetes mellitus (p-value =.021) was significantly related to the survival of hospitalized patients. The rest of the investigated variables were not significant. The frailty effect was significant (p-value=.019). Conclusion: In the investigated sample of patients with covid19, diabetes was an important variable related to patient survival. Also, the significant frailty effect indicates the existence of unobserved heterogeneity that cause individuals with a similar value of the observed covariates to have different survival distributions.

2018 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Weiwei Duan ◽  
Ruyang Zhang ◽  
Yang Zhao ◽  
Sipeng Shen ◽  
Yongyue Wei ◽  
...  

Cancers ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 137
Author(s):  
Naru Kim ◽  
In Woong Han ◽  
Youngju Ryu ◽  
Dae Wook Hwang ◽  
Jin Seok Heo ◽  
...  

The survival of patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is closely related to recurrence. It is necessary to classify the risk factors for early recurrence and to develop a tool for predicting the initial outcome after surgery. Among patients with resected resectable PDAC at Samsung Medical Center (Seoul, Korea) between January 2007 and December 2016, 631 patients were classified as the training set. Analyses identifying preoperative factors affecting early recurrence after surgery were performed. When the p-value estimated from univariable Cox’s proportional hazard regression analysis was <0.05, the variables were included in multivariable analysis and used for establishing the nomogram. The established nomogram predicted the probability of early recurrence within 12 months after surgery in resectable PDAC. One thousand bootstrap resamplings were used to validate the nomogram. The concordance index was 0.665 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.637–0.695), and the incremental area under the curve was 0.655 (95% CI, 0.631–0.682). We developed a web-based calculator, and the nomogram is freely available at http://pdac.smchbp.org/. This is the first nomogram to predict early recurrence after surgery for resectable PDAC in the preoperative setting, providing a method to allow proceeding to treatment customized according to the risk of individual patients.


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