Compression and Conditional Effects: A Product Term Is Essential When Using Logistic Regression to Test for Interaction

2015 ◽  
Vol 4 (3) ◽  
pp. 621-639 ◽  
Author(s):  
Carlisle Rainey
Keyword(s):  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Regression Model ◽  
Logistic Regression Model ◽  
Simulation Studies ◽  
Political Methodology ◽  
Conditional Effects ◽  
Product Term

Previous research in political methodology argues that researchers do not need to include a product term in a logistic regression model to test for interaction if they suspect interaction due to compression alone. I disagree with this claim and offer analytical arguments and simulation evidence that when researchers incorrectly theorize interaction due to compression, models without a product term bias the researcher, sometimes heavily, toward finding interaction. However, simulation studies also show that models with a product term fit a broad range of non-interactive relationships surprisingly well, enabling analysts to remove most of the bias toward finding interaction by simply including a product term.

scholarly journals Some New Robust Estimators for Circular Logistic Regression Model with Applications on Meteorological and Ecological Data

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-15
Author(s):  
Shokrya S. Alshqaq ◽  
Abdullah A. Ahmadini ◽  
Ali H. Abuzaid
Keyword(s):  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Regression Model ◽  
Regression Models ◽  
Logistic Regression Model ◽  
Likelihood Estimation ◽  
Simulation Studies ◽  
Robust Estimators ◽  
Finite Sample ◽  
Ecological Data ◽  
Logistic Regression Models

Maximum likelihood estimation ( MLE ) is often used to estimate the parameters of the circular logistic regression model due to its efficiency under a parametric model. However, evidence has shown that the classical MLE extremely affects the parameter estimation in the presence of outliers. This article discusses the effect of outliers on circular logistic regression and extends four robust estimators, namely, Mallows, Schweppe, Bianco and Yohai estimator BY , and weighted BY estimators, to the circular logistic regression model. These estimators have been successfully used in linear logistic regression models for the same purpose. The four proposed robust estimators are compared with the classical MLE through simulation studies. They demonstrate satisfactory finite sample performance in the presence of misclassified errors and leverage points. Meteorological and ecological datasets are analyzed for illustration.

scholarly journals Work absence and multimorbidity in Portugal: results from the 1st National Health Examination Survey

2020 ◽  
Vol 30 (Supplement_5) ◽  
Author(s):  
J Matos ◽  
C Matias Dias ◽  
A Félix
Keyword(s):  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Regression Model ◽  
Chronic Diseases ◽  
National Health ◽  
Logistic Regression Model ◽  
Health Examination ◽  
Work Absence ◽  
Health Examination Survey ◽  
Absence From Work ◽  
The Impact

Abstract Background Studies on the impact of patients with multimorbidity in the absence of work indicate that the number and type of chronic diseases may increase absenteeism and that the risk of absence from work is higher in people with two or more chronic diseases. This study analyzed the association between multimorbidity and greater frequency and duration of work absence in the portuguese population between the ages of 25 and 65 during 2015. Methods This is an epidemiological, observational, cross-sectional study with an analytical component that has its source of information from the 1st National Health Examination Survey. The study analyzed univariate, bivariate and multivariate variables under study. A multivariate logistic regression model was constructed. Results The prevalence of absenteeism was 55,1%. Education showed an association with absence of work (p = 0,0157), as well as professional activity (p = 0,0086). It wasn't possible to verify association between the presence of chronic diseases (p = 0,9358) or the presence of multimorbidity (p = 0,4309) with absence of work. The prevalence of multimorbidity was 31,8%. There was association between age (p < 0,0001), education (p < 0,001) and yield (p = 0,0009) and multimorbidity. There is no increase in the number of days of absence from work due to the increase in the number of chronic diseases. In the optimized logistic regression model the only variables that demonstrated association with the variable labor absence were age (p = 0,0391) and education (0,0089). Conclusions The scientific evidence generated will contribute to the current discussion on the need for the health and social security system to develop policies to patients with multimorbidity. Key messages The prevalence of absenteeism and multimorbidity in Portugal was respectively 55,1% and 31,8%. In the optimized model age and education demonstrated association with the variable labor absence.

scholarly journals Using Convolutional Neural Network and Candlestick Representation to Predict Sports Match Outcomes

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (14) ◽  
pp. 6594
Author(s):  
Yu-Chia Hsu
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Pattern Recognition ◽  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Regression Model ◽  
Convolutional Neural Network ◽  
Logistic Regression Model ◽  
National Football League ◽  
Performance Metrics ◽  
Betting Market

The interdisciplinary nature of sports and the presence of various systemic and non-systemic factors introduce challenges in predicting sports match outcomes using a single disciplinary approach. In contrast to previous studies that use sports performance metrics and statistical models, this study is the first to apply a deep learning approach in financial time series modeling to predict sports match outcomes. The proposed approach has two main components: a convolutional neural network (CNN) classifier for implicit pattern recognition and a logistic regression model for match outcome judgment. First, the raw data used in the prediction are derived from the betting market odds and actual scores of each game, which are transformed into sports candlesticks. Second, CNN is used to classify the candlesticks time series on a graphical basis. To this end, the original 1D time series are encoded into 2D matrix images using Gramian angular field and are then fed into the CNN classifier. In this way, the winning probability of each matchup team can be derived based on historically implied behavioral patterns. Third, to further consider the differences between strong and weak teams, the CNN classifier adjusts the probability of winning the match by using the logistic regression model and then makes a final judgment regarding the match outcome. We empirically test this approach using 18,944 National Football League game data spanning 32 years and find that using the individual historical data of each team in the CNN classifier for pattern recognition is better than using the data of all teams. The CNN in conjunction with the logistic regression judgment model outperforms the CNN in conjunction with SVM, Naïve Bayes, Adaboost, J48, and random forest, and its accuracy surpasses that of betting market prediction.

scholarly journals 5-Hydroxymethylcytosine profiles of cfDNA are highly predictive of R-CHOP treatment response in diffuse large B cell lymphoma patients

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Hang-Yu Chen ◽  
Wei-Long Zhang ◽  
Lei Zhang ◽  
Ping Yang ◽  
Fang Li ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Regression Model ◽  
B Cell ◽  
Treatment Response ◽  
Logistic Regression Model ◽  
Cell Lymphoma ◽  
B Cell Lymphoma ◽  
Invasive Approach ◽  
Large B Cell Lymphoma ◽  
Large B Cell

Abstract Background Although R-CHOP (rituximab, cyclophosphamide, doxorubicin, vincristine, and prednisone) remains the standard chemotherapy regimen for diffuse large B cell lymphoma (DLBCL) patients, not all patients are responsive to the scheme, and there is no effective method to predict treatment response. Methods We utilized 5hmC-Seal to generate genome-wide 5hmC profiles in plasma cell-free DNA (cfDNA) from 86 DLBCL patients before they received R-CHOP chemotherapy. To investigate the correlation between 5hmC modifications and curative effectiveness, we separated patients into training (n = 56) and validation (n = 30) cohorts and developed a 5hmC-based logistic regression model from the training cohort to predict the treatment response in the validation cohort. Results In this study, we identified thirteen 5hmC markers associated with treatment response. The prediction performance of the logistic regression model, achieving 0.82 sensitivity and 0.75 specificity (AUC = 0.78), was superior to existing clinical indicators, such as LDH and stage. Conclusions Our findings suggest that the 5hmC modifications in cfDNA at the time before R-CHOP treatment are associated with treatment response and that 5hmC-Seal may potentially serve as a clinical-applicable, minimally invasive approach to predict R-CHOP treatment response for DLBCL patients.

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