Asymptotic Properties of a Recursive Procedure for Simultaneous Estimation

1990 ◽  
Vol 4 (4) ◽  
pp. 461-475
Author(s):  
Martin I. Reiman

In this paper we consider a problem that arises in estimating the heavy traffic limit of a sojourn time distribution in a queueing network during the course of a medium traffic simulation. We need to estimate α = E[f(γ, M)], where γ is an unknown constant and M a random variable. More specifically, we are given an iid sequence of random vectors {(Xi, Mi), 1 ≤ i ≤ n}, with γ = E[Xi] and Mi having the same distribution as M.For known γ, we have a standard estimation problem, which we describe here. The standard estimate is unbiased and asymptotically (as n → 8 ) consistent. There is also a central limit theorem for this estimator. For unknown γ, we provide two estimation procedures, one that requires two passes through the data (as well as storage of {Mi, 1 ≤ i ≤ n}), and another one, which is recursive, requiring only one pass through and bounded storage. The estimators obtained from these two procedures are shown to be strongly consistent, and central limit theorems are also proven for them.

1978 ◽  
Vol 10 (04) ◽  
pp. 852-866
Author(s):  
A. J. Stam

Let be a family of random walks with For ε↓0 under certain conditions the random walk U (∊) n converges to an oscillating random walk. The ladder point distributions and expectations converge correspondingly. Let M ∊ = max {U (∊) n , n ≧ 0}, v 0 = min {n : U (∊) n = M ∊}, v 1 = max {n : U (∊) n = M ∊}. The joint limiting distribution of ∊2σ∊ –2 v 0 and ∊σ∊ –2 M ∊ is determined. It is the same as for ∊2σ∊ –2 v 1 and ∊σ–2 ∊ M ∊. The marginal ∊σ–2 ∊ M ∊ gives Kingman's heavy traffic theorem. Also lim ∊–1 P(M ∊ = 0) and lim ∊–1 P(M ∊ < x) are determined. Proofs are by direct comparison of corresponding probabilities for U (∊) n and for a special family of random walks related to MI/M/1 queues, using the central limit theorem.


1992 ◽  
Vol 24 (01) ◽  
pp. 172-201 ◽  
Author(s):  
Søren Asmussen ◽  
Reuven Y. Rubinstein

This paper studies computer simulation methods for estimating the sensitivities (gradient, Hessian etc.) of the expected steady-state performance of a queueing model with respect to the vector of parameters of the underlying distribution (an example is the gradient of the expected steady-state waiting time of a customer at a particular node in a queueing network with respect to its service rate). It is shown that such a sensitivity can be represented as the covariance between two processes, the standard output process (say the waiting time process) and what we call the score function process which is based on the score function. Simulation procedures based upon such representations are discussed, and in particular a control variate method is presented. The estimators and the score function process are then studied under heavy traffic conditions. The score function process, when properly normalized, is shown to have a heavy traffic limit involving a certain variant of two-dimensional Brownian motion for which we describe the stationary distribution. From this, heavy traffic (diffusion) approximations for the variance constants in the large sample theory can be computed and are used as a basis for comparing different simulation estimators. Finally, the theory is supported by numerical results.


1989 ◽  
Vol 21 (02) ◽  
pp. 451-469 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhang Hanqin ◽  
Wang Rongxin

The queueing system considered in this paper consists of r independent arrival channels and s independent service channels, where, as usual, the arrival and service channels are independent. In the queueing system, each server of the system has his own queue and arriving customers join the shortest line in the system. We give functional central limit theorems for the stochastic processes characterizing this system after appropriately scaling and translating the processes in traffic intensity ρ > 1.


1978 ◽  
Vol 10 (4) ◽  
pp. 852-866
Author(s):  
A. J. Stam

Let be a family of random walks with For ε↓0 under certain conditions the random walk U(∊)n converges to an oscillating random walk. The ladder point distributions and expectations converge correspondingly. Let M∊ = max {U(∊)n, n ≧ 0}, v0 = min {n : U(∊)n = M∊}, v1 = max {n : U(∊)n = M∊}. The joint limiting distribution of ∊2σ∊–2v0 and ∊σ∊–2M∊ is determined. It is the same as for ∊2σ∊–2v1 and ∊σ–2∊M∊. The marginal ∊σ–2∊M∊ gives Kingman's heavy traffic theorem. Also lim ∊–1P(M∊ = 0) and lim ∊–1P(M∊ < x) are determined. Proofs are by direct comparison of corresponding probabilities for U(∊)n and for a special family of random walks related to MI/M/1 queues, using the central limit theorem.


2000 ◽  
Vol 37 (01) ◽  
pp. 212-223 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stephen R. E. Turner

We prove a new heavy traffic limit result for a simple queueing network under a ‘join the shorter queue’ policy, with the amount of traffic which has a routeing choice tending to zero as heavy traffic is approached. In this limit, the system considered does not exhibit state space collapse as in previous work by Foschini and Salz, and Reiman, but there is nevertheless some resource pooling gain over a policy of random routeing.


1992 ◽  
Vol 24 (1) ◽  
pp. 172-201 ◽  
Author(s):  
Søren Asmussen ◽  
Reuven Y. Rubinstein

This paper studies computer simulation methods for estimating the sensitivities (gradient, Hessian etc.) of the expected steady-state performance of a queueing model with respect to the vector of parameters of the underlying distribution (an example is the gradient of the expected steady-state waiting time of a customer at a particular node in a queueing network with respect to its service rate). It is shown that such a sensitivity can be represented as the covariance between two processes, the standard output process (say the waiting time process) and what we call the score function process which is based on the score function. Simulation procedures based upon such representations are discussed, and in particular a control variate method is presented. The estimators and the score function process are then studied under heavy traffic conditions. The score function process, when properly normalized, is shown to have a heavy traffic limit involving a certain variant of two-dimensional Brownian motion for which we describe the stationary distribution. From this, heavy traffic (diffusion) approximations for the variance constants in the large sample theory can be computed and are used as a basis for comparing different simulation estimators. Finally, the theory is supported by numerical results.


1989 ◽  
Vol 21 (2) ◽  
pp. 451-469 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhang Hanqin ◽  
Wang Rongxin

The queueing system considered in this paper consists of r independent arrival channels and s independent service channels, where, as usual, the arrival and service channels are independent. In the queueing system, each server of the system has his own queue and arriving customers join the shortest line in the system. We give functional central limit theorems for the stochastic processes characterizing this system after appropriately scaling and translating the processes in traffic intensity ρ > 1.


2000 ◽  
Vol 37 (1) ◽  
pp. 212-223 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stephen R. E. Turner

We prove a new heavy traffic limit result for a simple queueing network under a ‘join the shorter queue’ policy, with the amount of traffic which has a routeing choice tending to zero as heavy traffic is approached. In this limit, the system considered does not exhibit state space collapse as in previous work by Foschini and Salz, and Reiman, but there is nevertheless some resource pooling gain over a policy of random routeing.


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