SOME NEW RELIABILITY BOUNDS FOR SUMS OF NBUE RANDOM VARIABLES

2010 ◽  
Vol 25 (1) ◽  
pp. 83-102
Author(s):  
Steven G. From

In this article, we discuss some new upper and lower bounds for the survivor function of the sum of n independent random variables each of which has an NBUE (new better than used in expectation) distribution. In some cases, only the means of the random variables are assumed known. These bounds are compared to the sharp bounds given in Cheng and Lam [6], which requires both means and variances known. Although the new bounds are not sharp, they often produce better upper bounds for the survivor function in the extreme right tail of many NBUE lifetime distributions, an important special case in applications. Moreover, a lower bound exists in one case not handled by the lower bounds of Theorem 3 in Cheng and Lam [6]. Numerical studies are presented along with theoretical discussions.

2020 ◽  
Vol 178 (3-4) ◽  
pp. 655-698
Author(s):  
Dmitry Beliaev ◽  
Michael McAuley ◽  
Stephen Muirhead

Abstract The Nazarov–Sodin constant describes the average number of nodal set components of smooth Gaussian fields on large scales. We generalise this to a functional describing the corresponding number of level set components for arbitrary levels. Using results from Morse theory, we express this functional as an integral over the level densities of different types of critical points, and as a result deduce the absolute continuity of the functional as the level varies. We further give upper and lower bounds showing that the functional is at least bimodal for certain isotropic fields, including the important special case of the random plane wave.


2020 ◽  
Vol 26 (2) ◽  
pp. 131-161
Author(s):  
Florian Bourgey ◽  
Stefano De Marco ◽  
Emmanuel Gobet ◽  
Alexandre Zhou

AbstractThe multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) method developed by M. B. Giles [Multilevel Monte Carlo path simulation, Oper. Res. 56 2008, 3, 607–617] has a natural application to the evaluation of nested expectations {\mathbb{E}[g(\mathbb{E}[f(X,Y)|X])]}, where {f,g} are functions and {(X,Y)} a couple of independent random variables. Apart from the pricing of American-type derivatives, such computations arise in a large variety of risk valuations (VaR or CVaR of a portfolio, CVA), and in the assessment of margin costs for centrally cleared portfolios. In this work, we focus on the computation of initial margin. We analyze the properties of corresponding MLMC estimators, for which we provide results of asymptotic optimality; at the technical level, we have to deal with limited regularity of the outer function g (which might fail to be everywhere differentiable). Parallel to this, we investigate upper and lower bounds for nested expectations as above, in the spirit of primal-dual algorithms for stochastic control problems.


1996 ◽  
Vol 33 (01) ◽  
pp. 184-195 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiaodong Lin

Bounds on the tail of compound distributions are considered. Using a generalization of Wald's fundamental identity, we derive upper and lower bounds for various compound distributions in terms of new worse than used (NWU) and new better than used (NBU) distributions respectively. Simple bounds are obtained when the claim size distribution is NWUC, NBUC, NWU, NBU, IMRL, DMRL, DFR and IFR. Examples on how to use these bounds are given.


1980 ◽  
Vol 17 (01) ◽  
pp. 102-111 ◽  
Author(s):  
Arthur V. Peterson ◽  
Richard A. Kronmal

We obtain a representation of an arbitrary discrete distribution with n mass points by an equiprobable mixture of r distributions, each of which has no more than a (≧2) mass points, where r is the smallest integer greater than or equal to (n – 1)/(a – 1). An application to the generation of discrete random variables on a computer is described, which has as an important special case Walker's (1977) alias method.


2014 ◽  
Vol 25 (07) ◽  
pp. 877-896 ◽  
Author(s):  
MARTIN KUTRIB ◽  
ANDREAS MALCHER ◽  
MATTHIAS WENDLANDT

We investigate the descriptional complexity of deterministic one-way multi-head finite automata accepting unary languages. It is known that in this case the languages accepted are regular. Thus, we study the increase of the number of states when an n-state k-head finite automaton is simulated by a classical (one-head) deterministic or nondeterministic finite automaton. In the former case upper and lower bounds that are tight in the order of magnitude are shown. For the latter case we obtain an upper bound of O(n2k) and a lower bound of Ω(nk) states. We investigate also the costs for the conversion of one-head nondeterministic finite automata to deterministic k-head finite automata, that is, we trade nondeterminism for heads. In addition, we study how the conversion costs vary in the special case of finite and, in particular, of singleton unary lanuages. Finally, as an application of the simulation results, we show that decidability problems for unary deterministic k-head finite automata such as emptiness or equivalence are LOGSPACE-complete.


2012 ◽  
Vol 29 (3) ◽  
pp. 642-658 ◽  
Author(s):  
Benedikt M. Pötscher

Upper and lower bounds on the order of magnitude of $\sum\nolimits_{t = 1}^n {\lefttnq#x007C; {x_t } \righttnq#x007C;^{ - \alpha } } $, where xt is an integrated process, are obtained. Furthermore, upper bounds for the order of magnitude of the related quantity $\sum\nolimits_{t = 1}^n {v_t } \lefttnq#x007C; {x_t } \righttnq#x007C;^{ - \alpha } $, where vt are random variables satisfying certain conditions, are also derived.


2015 ◽  
Vol 47 (01) ◽  
pp. 27-36 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stefan Steinerberger

Let X 1, X 2, …, X n be independent and uniformly distributed random variables in the unit square [0, 1]2, and let L(X 1, …, X n ) be the length of the shortest traveling salesman path through these points. In 1959, Beardwood, Halton and Hammersley proved the existence of a universal constant β such that lim n→∞ n −1/2 L(X 1, …, X n ) = β almost surely. The best bounds for β are still those originally established by Beardwood, Halton and Hammersley, namely 0.625 ≤ β ≤ 0.922. We slightly improve both upper and lower bounds.


2020 ◽  
Vol 12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Timothy McNicholl

We consider the question as to whether the exponent of a computably presentable Lebesgue space whose dimension is at least 2 must be computable.  We show this very natural conjecture is true when the exponent is at least 2 or when the space is finite-dimensional.  However, we also show there is no uniform solution even when given upper and lower bounds on the exponent.  The proof of this result leads to some basic results on the effective theory of stable random variables.  


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