Recent Rebounding of the Post‐landfall Hurricane Wind Decay Period over the Continental United States

Author(s):  
Yi‐Jie Zhu ◽  
Jennifer M. Collins
2013 ◽  
Vol 141 (8) ◽  
pp. 2577-2596 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lixion A. Avila ◽  
Stacy R. Stewart

Abstract The 2011 Atlantic season was marked by above-average tropical cyclone activity with the formation of 19 tropical storms. Seven of the storms became hurricanes and four became major hurricanes (category 3 or higher on the Saffir–Simpson hurricane wind scale). The numbers of tropical storms and hurricanes were above the long-term averages of 12 named storms, 6 hurricanes, and 3 major hurricanes. Despite the high level of activity, Irene was the only hurricane to hit land in 2011, striking both the Bahamas and the United States. Other storms, however, affected the United States, eastern Canada, Central America, eastern Mexico, and the northeastern Caribbean Sea islands. The death toll from the 2011 Atlantic tropical cyclones is 80. National Hurricane Center mean official track forecast errors in 2011 were smaller than the previous 5-yr means at all forecast times except 120 h. In addition, the official track forecast errors set records for accuracy at the 24-, 36-, 48-, and 72-h forecast times. The mean intensity forecast errors in 2011 ranged from about 6 kt (~3 m s−1) at 12 h to about 17 kt (~9 m s−1) at 72 and 120 h. These errors were below the 5-yr means at all forecast times.


1995 ◽  
Vol 121 (11) ◽  
pp. 1691-1699 ◽  
Author(s):  
Peter J. Vickery ◽  
Lawrence A. Twisdale

1980 ◽  
Author(s):  
Martin E Batts ◽  
Mrtin R Cordes ◽  
Larry R Russell ◽  
James R Shaver ◽  
Emil Simiu

1980 ◽  
Vol 106 (10) ◽  
pp. 2001-2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Martin E. Batts ◽  
Emil Simiu ◽  
Larry R. Russell

2005 ◽  
Vol 44 (12) ◽  
pp. 1807-1826 ◽  
Author(s):  
Peter J. Vickery

Abstract Modeling the increase in the central pressure of tropical cyclones following landfall plays a critical role in the estimation of the hurricane wind hazard at locations removed from the coastline. This paper describes the development of simple empirical models for estimating the rate at which tropical cyclones decay after making landfall. For storms making landfall along the Gulf of Mexico Coast and the coast of the Florida Peninsula, it is shown that the rate of storm filling is proportional to the central pressure difference and translation speed at the time of landfall and is inversely proportional to the radius to maximum winds. Along the Atlantic Coast the effect of radius to maximum winds does not play as significant a role in the rate of storm decay as compared with that seen in Florida and along the Gulf Coast. The models developed here can readily be included in any hurricane simulation model designed for estimating wind speeds in the United States.


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