scholarly journals Identification of cumulative prospect theory parameters for mode choice model

2019 ◽  
Vol 270 ◽  
pp. 03012
Author(s):  
Sylvia Indriany ◽  
Ade Sjafruddin ◽  
Aine Kusumawati ◽  
Widyarini Weningtyas
Keyword(s):  
Prospect Theory ◽  
Travel Time ◽  
Public Transportation ◽  
Reference Point ◽  
Choice Model ◽  
Stated Preference ◽  
Mode Choice ◽  
Cumulative Prospect Theory ◽  
Transportation Risk ◽  
Mode Choice Model

The use of Cumulative Prospect Theory (CPT) in decision making related to transportation risk is still much debated. Mainly because of the travel and socio-economic characteristics of the traveller it possible for different responses to the specified Reference Point (RP) as well as the loss aversion. This difference can be seen from the value of Cumulative Prospect Theory parameters. Therefore, this paper will discuss about the determination of parameters CPT which affect public transportation mode choice model in the course of work trip activity. The reference point as an essential part of this study is determined based on the average travel time of commuter worker from South Tangerang City to Jakarta. Data obtained from stated preference survey, Feeder Busway/Busway and Commuter Line Jabodetabek as mode alternative and travel time attribute as a risk factor. The Binomial Logit model which has transformed utility distribution and probability with CPT and the Least Square Method to be obtained the parameters. Finally, some conclusions can be drawn that the CPT parameters produced by this study, have closed the range of value requirements in the CPT theory. So that the parameter value can be used to model the probability of mode choice with the risk of travel time in the study area.

scholarly journals Mode choice analysis using discrete choice model from transport user (Case study: Jakarta LRT, Indonesia)

2018 ◽  
Vol 181 ◽  
pp. 03001
Author(s):  
Dwi Novi Wulansari ◽  
Milla Dwi Astari
Keyword(s):  
Discrete Choice ◽  
Public Transportation ◽  
Choice Model ◽  
Stated Preference ◽  
Mode Choice ◽  
Choice Models ◽  
Discrete Choice Models ◽  
Light Rail ◽  
Choice Analysis ◽  
Mode Choice Model

Jakarta Light Rail Transit (Jakarta LRT) has been planned to be built as one of mass rail-based public transportation system in DKI Jakarta. The objective of this paper is to obtain a mode choice models that can explain the probability of choosing Jakarta LRT, and to estimate the sensitivity of mode choice if the attribute changes. Analysis of the research conducted by using discrete choice models approach to the behavior of individuals. Choice modes were observed between 1) Jakarta LRT and TransJakarta Bus, 2) Jakarta LRT and KRL-Commuter Jabodetabek. Mode choice model used is the Binomial Logit Model. The research data obtained through Stated Preference (SP) techniques. The model using the attribute influences such as tariff, travel time, headway and walking time. The models obtained are reliable and validated. Based on the results of the analysis shows that the most sensitive attributes affect the mode choice model is the tariff.

scholarly journals Travel mode choice preferences of urban commuters in Kuching City, Malaysia based on stated preference data

2018 ◽  
Vol 181 ◽  
pp. 02007
Author(s):  
Resdiansyah
Keyword(s):  
Travel Time ◽  
Public Transport ◽  
Public Transportation ◽  
Stated Preference ◽  
Mode Choice ◽  
Travel Behaviour ◽  
Transportation Systems ◽  
Choice Modelling ◽  
Public Transport System ◽  
Bus Services

One aspect of Kuching City that has not progressed in tandem with the rest of the city is the public transport system, which is relatively old and almost non-existent. Transport and City planners seem to be at their wit’s end in coming up with satisfactory solutions to Kuching’s public transportation woes. In current situation, many proposals, but none have proven workable. As a result, representative buses remain a rare sight on Kuching city’s roads. To achieve a sustainable public transport industry, the old buses need to be regenerated and replaced with modern buses. The objectives of the intended study are to explore the consumer’s travel behaviour by employing mode choice modelling. Consequently, a study was conducted in Kuching City Area by using stated preference technique, analysed and compiled by using SPSS.17 multiple linear regressions analysis. In this context, discrete choice analysis was used to examine the relationship between independent variables (travel time, waiting time, fares and comfort) and dependent variables (choice of respondent whether to consume old bus or choose new bus services). A total of 2000 respondents were interviewed. The findings showed that for the trips purpose, fares and comfortability were the primary factors that reflected the decision or behaviour of the respondents asked. It was discovered that there is a significant relationship between the choice of the respondents and comfortability. It also appeared that longer travel time did not affect for the traveler’s choice at this stage. Hence, the study suggests that the local authority and the bus operators should establish a “quality partnership” and working together in order to come out with a much better and appropriate transport policy and schemes for the existing public transportation systems, especially bus services.

scholarly journals Challenges in Behaviour Modelling of Mode Choice Model - A Peek into Indian Scenario

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (VI) ◽  
pp. 3612-3615
Author(s):  
Sreeparvathy C M
Keyword(s):  
Public Transportation ◽  
Model Building ◽  
Choice Model ◽  
Mode Choice ◽  
Individual Choice ◽  
True Nature ◽  
Transportation Demand ◽  
Choice Making ◽  
Mode Choice Model ◽  
Indian Scenario

Mode choice model is one of the crucial steps in the process for Transportation demand modelling. It fore-tell the share of trips attracted to public transportation. Mode choice models compacts very closely with the human choice making behaviour and this continues to attract researchers for further exploration of individual choice making process. The objective of this paper is to observe keenly on the challenges that a modeller will face in Indian scenario. A variety of models are available for prediction. But with the close review it is observed that all these models work either at aggregate level or disaggregate level which works on certain assumptions. This is definitely not going to reflect the actual mode choice behaviour. The particular characters that makes a difference from the world scenario discussed in this paper are diversity in decision making of individual, diversity in socio-economic characteristics, pride and prejudices in mindset that affect the false representation of data, concept of ridesharing and the inhibition in acceptance of the same, travel distance and mode availability in urban and rural scenario. It can be concluded that selecting a model that depict the true nature of commuter is a challenging process. The well-known models available can be trained and calibrated to suit to the need of Indian scenario. Use of machine learning and data mining could be a very useful tool in this model building as all the required changes can be incorporated efficiently

scholarly journals Pemodelan Pemilihan Moda Rute Medan–Binjai Antara Kereta Api dan Bus dengan Metode Stated Preference

2018 ◽  
pp. 35-43
Author(s):  
Indra Markeshwan Zagoto ◽  
Charles Sitindaon ◽  
Oloan Sitohang
Keyword(s):  
Service Quality ◽  
Choice Model ◽  
Stated Preference ◽  
Mode Choice ◽  
Access Time ◽  
Stated Preference Survey ◽  
User Choice ◽  
Trip Purpose ◽  
Railway Line ◽  
Mode Choice Model

The objective of this research is to construct a user mode choice model between BRT Mebidang and Sri Lelawangsa railway line, and further to test the sensitivity of trip user choice toward certain change in attributes value. Data were collected using stated preference survey, and analysed using logit biner model. Based on user responses, it was found that 50.96% trip purpose is related to family/social matter, while the main reason to travel using both modes is convenience. The tility function of Mebidang bus is given as follow: UBM-KA = 7.256 - 0.565X1 - 0.031X2 + 0.101X3 - 0.071X4 + 0.088X5 where X1 is cost, X2 is time, X3 is headway, X4 is accesstime, dan X5 is service quality. The model shows that cost, time, and access time negatively affect Mebidang bus utility thus will lower the probability of user choosing bus over rail. In terms of sensitivity, access time and service quality are considered more sensitive in affecting the probability of choosing bus.

scholarly journals MODEL PILIHAN PENUMPANG ANGKUTAN KOTA DAN KERETA REL LISTRIK DI JAKARTA

2019 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
pp. 39-48
Author(s):  
Mezky Matthew Yandito ◽  
Alvinsyah .
Keyword(s):  
Public Transportation ◽  
Choice Model ◽  
Stated Preference ◽  
Mode Choice ◽  
Demand Analysis ◽  
Analysis Tool ◽  
Stated Preference Survey ◽  
Pilot Survey ◽  
Survey Results ◽  
Model Approach

Abstract With the operation of the Electric Rail Train in the Jakarta Kota-Tanjung Priok route at the end of 2015, it is estimated that there is a potential for the transfer of passengers from other modes to the Electric Rail Train. The purpose of this study is to estimate the factors that influence passenger preferences in traveling on the Jakarta Kota-Tanjung Priok route and form a demand analysis tool in the form of a modal choice model. The analysis was carried out using the binomial logit model approach which was developed based on the stated preference survey results on public transportation passengers that traveled on the similar route as the route where the Electric Rail Train operates. The factors included in the stated preference survey were obtained through literature studies and interviews, and through a pilot survey 3 factors were chosen which most influenced the mode choice. Based on the results of the correlation test, it was found that the variable that most influences the mode choice is the tariff. Keywords: passenger preferences, choice model, stated preference, tariff  Abstrak Dengan beroperasinya Kereta Rel Listrik rute Jakarta Kota–Tanjung Priok pada akhir tahun 2015, diperkirakan terdapat potensi perpindahan penumpang dari moda lainnya ke Kereta Rel Listrik. Tujuan penelitian ini adalah untuk memperkirakan faktor-faktor yang memengaruhi preferensi penumpang dalam melakukan perjalanan di rute Jakarta Kota–Tanjung Priok dan membentuk perangkat analisis permintaan berbentuk model pemilihan moda. Analisis dilakukan dengan menggunakan pendekatan model logit binomial yang dikembangkan berdasarkan hasil survei stated preference terhadap penumpang angkot yang melalui rute yang sama dengan rute Kereta Rel Listrik. Faktor-faktor yang dimasukkan dalam survei stated preference diperoleh melalui studi literatur dan wawancara, dan melalui survei pilot dipilih 3 faktor yang dinilai paling memengaruhi pilihan moda. Berdasarkan hasil uji korelasi ditemukan bahwa variabel yang paling berpengaruh terhadap pilihan moda adalah tarif. Kata-kata kunci: preferensi penumpang, model pemilihan, stated preference, tarif

Large-Scale Application of a Combined Destination and Mode Choice Model Estimated with Mixed Stated and Revealed Preference Data

2017 ◽  
Vol 2669 (1) ◽  
pp. 31-40 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael Heilig ◽  
Nicolai Mallig ◽  
Tim Hilgert ◽  
Martin Kagerbauer ◽  
Peter Vortisch
Keyword(s):  
Large Scale ◽  
Travel Demand ◽  
Choice Model ◽  
Stated Preference ◽  
Mode Choice ◽  
Revealed Preference ◽  
Demand Model ◽  
Agent Based ◽  
Preference Data ◽  
Mode Choice Model

The diffusion of new modes of transportation, such as carsharing and electric vehicles, makes it necessary to consider them along with traditional modes in travel demand modeling. However, there are two main challenges for transportation modelers. First, the new modes’ low share of usage leads to a lack of reliable revealed preference data for model estimation. Stated preference survey data are a promising and well-established approach to close this gap. Second, the state-of-the-art model approaches are sometimes stretched to their limits in large-scale applications. This research developed a combined destination and mode choice model to consider these new modes in the agent-based travel demand model mobiTopp. Mixed revealed and stated preference data were used, and new modes (carsharing, bikesharing, and electric bicycles) were added to the mode choice set. This paper presents both challenges of the modeling process, mainly caused by large-scale application, and the results of the new combined model, which are as good as those of the former sequential model although it also takes the new modes into consideration.

scholarly journals A Mode Choice Model Separating Taste Variation and Stated Preference Reporting Error

1998 ◽  
Vol 15 ◽  
pp. 609-617
Author(s):  
Yoriyasu SUGIE ◽  
Junyi ZHANG ◽  
Akimasa FUJIWARA ◽  
Takeshi MIYAJI
Keyword(s):  
Choice Model ◽  
Stated Preference ◽  
Mode Choice ◽  
Reporting Error ◽  
Mode Choice Model
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