scholarly journals MODEL PILIHAN PENUMPANG ANGKUTAN KOTA DAN KERETA REL LISTRIK DI JAKARTA

2019 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
pp. 39-48
Author(s):  
Mezky Matthew Yandito ◽  
Alvinsyah .
Keyword(s):  
Public Transportation ◽  
Choice Model ◽  
Stated Preference ◽  
Mode Choice ◽  
Demand Analysis ◽  
Analysis Tool ◽  
Stated Preference Survey ◽  
Pilot Survey ◽  
Survey Results ◽  
Model Approach

Abstract With the operation of the Electric Rail Train in the Jakarta Kota-Tanjung Priok route at the end of 2015, it is estimated that there is a potential for the transfer of passengers from other modes to the Electric Rail Train. The purpose of this study is to estimate the factors that influence passenger preferences in traveling on the Jakarta Kota-Tanjung Priok route and form a demand analysis tool in the form of a modal choice model. The analysis was carried out using the binomial logit model approach which was developed based on the stated preference survey results on public transportation passengers that traveled on the similar route as the route where the Electric Rail Train operates. The factors included in the stated preference survey were obtained through literature studies and interviews, and through a pilot survey 3 factors were chosen which most influenced the mode choice. Based on the results of the correlation test, it was found that the variable that most influences the mode choice is the tariff. Keywords: passenger preferences, choice model, stated preference, tariff  Abstrak Dengan beroperasinya Kereta Rel Listrik rute Jakarta Kota–Tanjung Priok pada akhir tahun 2015, diperkirakan terdapat potensi perpindahan penumpang dari moda lainnya ke Kereta Rel Listrik. Tujuan penelitian ini adalah untuk memperkirakan faktor-faktor yang memengaruhi preferensi penumpang dalam melakukan perjalanan di rute Jakarta Kota–Tanjung Priok dan membentuk perangkat analisis permintaan berbentuk model pemilihan moda. Analisis dilakukan dengan menggunakan pendekatan model logit binomial yang dikembangkan berdasarkan hasil survei stated preference terhadap penumpang angkot yang melalui rute yang sama dengan rute Kereta Rel Listrik. Faktor-faktor yang dimasukkan dalam survei stated preference diperoleh melalui studi literatur dan wawancara, dan melalui survei pilot dipilih 3 faktor yang dinilai paling memengaruhi pilihan moda. Berdasarkan hasil uji korelasi ditemukan bahwa variabel yang paling berpengaruh terhadap pilihan moda adalah tarif. Kata-kata kunci: preferensi penumpang, model pemilihan, stated preference, tarif

scholarly journals Mode choice analysis using discrete choice model from transport user (Case study: Jakarta LRT, Indonesia)

2018 ◽  
Vol 181 ◽  
pp. 03001
Author(s):  
Dwi Novi Wulansari ◽  
Milla Dwi Astari
Keyword(s):  
Discrete Choice ◽  
Public Transportation ◽  
Choice Model ◽  
Stated Preference ◽  
Mode Choice ◽  
Choice Models ◽  
Discrete Choice Models ◽  
Light Rail ◽  
Choice Analysis ◽  
Mode Choice Model

Jakarta Light Rail Transit (Jakarta LRT) has been planned to be built as one of mass rail-based public transportation system in DKI Jakarta. The objective of this paper is to obtain a mode choice models that can explain the probability of choosing Jakarta LRT, and to estimate the sensitivity of mode choice if the attribute changes. Analysis of the research conducted by using discrete choice models approach to the behavior of individuals. Choice modes were observed between 1) Jakarta LRT and TransJakarta Bus, 2) Jakarta LRT and KRL-Commuter Jabodetabek. Mode choice model used is the Binomial Logit Model. The research data obtained through Stated Preference (SP) techniques. The model using the attribute influences such as tariff, travel time, headway and walking time. The models obtained are reliable and validated. Based on the results of the analysis shows that the most sensitive attributes affect the mode choice model is the tariff.

scholarly journals Pemodelan Pemilihan Moda Rute Medan–Binjai Antara Kereta Api dan Bus dengan Metode Stated Preference

2018 ◽  
pp. 35-43
Author(s):  
Indra Markeshwan Zagoto ◽  
Charles Sitindaon ◽  
Oloan Sitohang
Keyword(s):  
Service Quality ◽  
Choice Model ◽  
Stated Preference ◽  
Mode Choice ◽  
Access Time ◽  
Stated Preference Survey ◽  
User Choice ◽  
Trip Purpose ◽  
Railway Line ◽  
Mode Choice Model

The objective of this research is to construct a user mode choice model between BRT Mebidang and Sri Lelawangsa railway line, and further to test the sensitivity of trip user choice toward certain change in attributes value. Data were collected using stated preference survey, and analysed using logit biner model. Based on user responses, it was found that 50.96% trip purpose is related to family/social matter, while the main reason to travel using both modes is convenience. The tility function of Mebidang bus is given as follow: UBM-KA = 7.256 - 0.565X1 - 0.031X2 + 0.101X3 - 0.071X4 + 0.088X5 where X1 is cost, X2 is time, X3 is headway, X4 is accesstime, dan X5 is service quality. The model shows that cost, time, and access time negatively affect Mebidang bus utility thus will lower the probability of user choosing bus over rail. In terms of sensitivity, access time and service quality are considered more sensitive in affecting the probability of choosing bus.

scholarly journals Identification of cumulative prospect theory parameters for mode choice model

2019 ◽  
Vol 270 ◽  
pp. 03012
Author(s):  
Sylvia Indriany ◽  
Ade Sjafruddin ◽  
Aine Kusumawati ◽  
Widyarini Weningtyas
Keyword(s):  
Prospect Theory ◽  
Travel Time ◽  
Public Transportation ◽  
Reference Point ◽  
Choice Model ◽  
Stated Preference ◽  
Mode Choice ◽  
Cumulative Prospect Theory ◽  
Transportation Risk ◽  
Mode Choice Model

The use of Cumulative Prospect Theory (CPT) in decision making related to transportation risk is still much debated. Mainly because of the travel and socio-economic characteristics of the traveller it possible for different responses to the specified Reference Point (RP) as well as the loss aversion. This difference can be seen from the value of Cumulative Prospect Theory parameters. Therefore, this paper will discuss about the determination of parameters CPT which affect public transportation mode choice model in the course of work trip activity. The reference point as an essential part of this study is determined based on the average travel time of commuter worker from South Tangerang City to Jakarta. Data obtained from stated preference survey, Feeder Busway/Busway and Commuter Line Jabodetabek as mode alternative and travel time attribute as a risk factor. The Binomial Logit model which has transformed utility distribution and probability with CPT and the Least Square Method to be obtained the parameters. Finally, some conclusions can be drawn that the CPT parameters produced by this study, have closed the range of value requirements in the CPT theory. So that the parameter value can be used to model the probability of mode choice with the risk of travel time in the study area.

scholarly journals Commuter Train Mode Choice Modelling Using Binary Logit Model

2019 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Ryan Septiady Nugraha
Keyword(s):  
Public Transportation ◽  
Choice Model ◽  
Mode Choice ◽  
Leisure Activity ◽  
Proper Solution ◽  
Choice Modelling ◽  
School Work ◽  
Trip Purpose ◽  
Public Transport System ◽  
Binary Logit

Car production in Malaysia increasing dramatically. This situation created serious impact such as pollution and congestion. The Malaysian government should find a proper solution to prevent the vehicles growth by controlling them and improve public transportation services. The only way to get people to switch to public transportation is by improving the public transport system becomes more efficient. To find out the solution, an understanding of traveler behavior by applying to mode choice model using binary logit approach is necessary. Stated preferences method was adopted in order to construct hypothetical choice in current and future situations. A total of 250 respondents were selected as the sample based on the research study. This research employed a discrete choice analysis to examine the relationship between the independent variables (travel time, fares, comfort and safety). With variation of trip purpose (school, work, leisure activity, and shopping), model has been developed and tested to check the validity. The result shows that the potential of new train services to compete with the current commuter (KTM) and private car user are quite competitive. This is no doubt due to the characteristics of the respondent to choose a good level of services especially a better comfortability and safety with an affordable price (fares). It can be concluded that scenario 2 has great potential to be implemented since forecasting demand reached above 90%.

scholarly journals The Impact of Perception toward the Built Environment in Airport Access Mode Choice Using Hybrid Choice Modeling

2017 ◽  
Vol 2017 ◽  
pp. 1-13 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mahdi Yazdanpanah ◽  
Mansour Hadji Hosseinlou
Keyword(s):  
Built Environment ◽  
Latent Variable ◽  
Choice Model ◽  
Stated Preference ◽  
Mode Choice ◽  
Residential Areas ◽  
Education Experience ◽  
Access Mode ◽  
Airport Access ◽  
The Impact

Built environment (BE), as an objective variable, plays a substantial role in urban residents’ behavior. However, the perception toward a BE, as a subjective variable, varies among people. To identify the role of perception toward BE, we used a stated preference (SP) survey conducted in January–February 2015 at the Imam Khomeini International Airport (IKIA), Tehran, Iran. The data was drawn from 641 individuals; 359 of them were residents of Tehran. For the estimation of the model, a hybrid discrete choice model was used to capture the latent variable, in addition to mode attributes and trip conditions, with 1795 SP observations. Psychometric questions concerned the perception of ease in access to main streets or highways and good traffic conditions within their residential areas. The results showed that the latent variable (positive perception toward built environment or PBE) had a significant positive effect on people’s willingness to park at the airport. Moreover, the gender, age, marital status, level of education, experience living in a foreign country, and income level also influenced the formation of perception toward the BE and airport transportation mode choice.

Attitudinal Market Segmentation Approach to Mode Choice and Ridership Forecasting: Structural Equation Modeling

2003 ◽  
Vol 1854 (1) ◽  
pp. 32-42 ◽  
Author(s):  
Maren L. Outwater ◽  
Steve Castleberry ◽  
Yoram Shiftan ◽  
Moshe Ben-Akiva ◽  
Yu Shuang Zhou ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Structural Equation Modeling ◽  
San Francisco ◽  
Structural Equation ◽  
Choice Model ◽  
Stated Preference ◽  
Mode Choice ◽  
Choice Models ◽  
Equation Modeling ◽  
Research Strategies ◽  
Market Segments

The San Francisco Bay Area Water Transit Authority is evaluating expanded ferry service, as required by the California Legislature. As part of this process, Cambridge Systematics developed forecasts using a combination of market research strategies and the addition of nontraditional variables into the mode choice modeling process. The focus of this work was on expanding the mode choice model to recognize travelers' attitudes and different market segments. Structural equation modeling was used to simultaneously identify the attitudes of travel behaviors and the causal relationships between traveler's socioeconomic profile and traveler attitudes. Six attitudinal factors were extracted, and three of these were used to partition the ferry-riding market into eight segments. These market segments were used to estimate stated preference mode choice models for 14 alternative modes, which separated the travelers' reactions to time savings by market segment and which recognized that mode choices are different for market segments that are sensitive to travel stress or the desire to help the environment. The new mode choice models were applied within the framework of the Metropolitan Transportation Commission's regional travel model and calibrated to match modal shares, modes of access to each ferry terminal, ridership by route and time period, and person trips by mode at screening line crossings. Additional validation tests of significant changes in ferry service in recent years were used to confirm the reasonableness of the stated preference model. The model has been applied for three future year alternatives and to test the sensitivities of pricing, service changes, and alternative transit modes.

scholarly journals Travel mode choice preferences of urban commuters in Kuching City, Malaysia based on stated preference data

2018 ◽  
Vol 181 ◽  
pp. 02007
Author(s):  
Resdiansyah
Keyword(s):  
Travel Time ◽  
Public Transport ◽  
Public Transportation ◽  
Stated Preference ◽  
Mode Choice ◽  
Travel Behaviour ◽  
Transportation Systems ◽  
Choice Modelling ◽  
Public Transport System ◽  
Bus Services

One aspect of Kuching City that has not progressed in tandem with the rest of the city is the public transport system, which is relatively old and almost non-existent. Transport and City planners seem to be at their wit’s end in coming up with satisfactory solutions to Kuching’s public transportation woes. In current situation, many proposals, but none have proven workable. As a result, representative buses remain a rare sight on Kuching city’s roads. To achieve a sustainable public transport industry, the old buses need to be regenerated and replaced with modern buses. The objectives of the intended study are to explore the consumer’s travel behaviour by employing mode choice modelling. Consequently, a study was conducted in Kuching City Area by using stated preference technique, analysed and compiled by using SPSS.17 multiple linear regressions analysis. In this context, discrete choice analysis was used to examine the relationship between independent variables (travel time, waiting time, fares and comfort) and dependent variables (choice of respondent whether to consume old bus or choose new bus services). A total of 2000 respondents were interviewed. The findings showed that for the trips purpose, fares and comfortability were the primary factors that reflected the decision or behaviour of the respondents asked. It was discovered that there is a significant relationship between the choice of the respondents and comfortability. It also appeared that longer travel time did not affect for the traveler’s choice at this stage. Hence, the study suggests that the local authority and the bus operators should establish a “quality partnership” and working together in order to come out with a much better and appropriate transport policy and schemes for the existing public transportation systems, especially bus services.

Investigating the Strategies for Reducing Motorcycle Mode Choice in Urban Trips: Case Study of Tehran City

2019 ◽  
Vol 2673 (10) ◽  
pp. 58-69 ◽  
Author(s):  
Babak Mirbaha ◽  
Fatemeh Mohajeri
Keyword(s):  
Choice Behavior ◽  
Stated Preference ◽  
Mode Choice ◽  
Noise Pollution ◽  
Nested Logit ◽  
Master Plan ◽  
Logit Models ◽  
Maintenance Costs ◽  
Survey Results

Motorcycles in Iran, especially in metropolises such as Tehran, are used extensively for various reasons such as low maintenance costs, high maneuverability, and the possibility of entering congestion priced zones without paying a toll. Nevertheless, motorcycles are involved in 25% of accidents and produce almost 30% of air and 50% of noise pollution in Tehran. Current research aims to investigate possible scenarios for reducing the use of motorcycles in Tehran’s traffic and transportation master plan strategies. After designing the scenarios, a stated preference method is used for gathering the required data from various groups of motorcycle riders in Tehran. More than 2,000 questionnaires were completed of which 1,766 were deemed acceptable for data entering and further analysis. Increasing the price of motorcycle maintenance and charging motorcycles to enter the congestion priced zone of Tehran (CPZT) were two main scenarios which were considered in this research. Multinomial and nested logit models were applied to analyze the trip choice behavior of motorcycle riders who had participated in the survey. Results indicated that strategies such as increasing motorcycle maintenance costs could be effective in reducing the use of motorcycles. For instance, increasing motorcycle maintenance costs by 4.7 times and imposing a 70,000 IRR toll price to enter the CP zone resulted in a 66% reduction in motorcycle mode choice by motorcycle riders.

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