Limit theorems and price changes in financial markets

1998 ◽  
Vol 77 (5) ◽  
pp. 1353-1356
Author(s):  
Rosario N. Mantegna, H. Eugene Stanley
1998 ◽  
Vol 77 (5) ◽  
pp. 1353-1356 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rosario N. Mantegna ◽  
H. Eugene Stanley

2011 ◽  
Vol 4 (3) ◽  
pp. 15
Author(s):  
James A. Seifert ◽  
David E. Mielke

This study reports on the financial markets reaction to the defeasance of corporate debt and whether the market perceives a changes in risk as a result of this activity. The prices of seventeen bonds both before and after defeasance were analyzed using t-tests to determine if any significant price changes related to the act of defeasance occurred between these two time periods. Contrary to what might be expected no significant differences were found.


2016 ◽  
Vol 51 (5) ◽  
pp. 1545-1574 ◽  
Author(s):  
Celso Brunetti ◽  
Bahattin Büyükşahin ◽  
Jeffrey H. Harris

We use data from 2005–2009 that uniquely identify categories of traders to test how speculators such as hedge funds and swap dealers relate to volatility and price changes. In examining various subperiods where price trends are strong, we find little evidence that speculators destabilize financial markets. To the contrary, hedge fund position changes are negatively related to volatility in corn, crude oil, and natural gas futures markets. Additionally, swap dealer activity is largely unrelated to contemporaneous volatility. Our evidence is consistent with the hypothesis that hedge funds provide valuable liquidity and largely serve to stabilize futures markets.


2011 ◽  
Vol 2 (6) ◽  
pp. 252-258
Author(s):  
Amaresh Das

Efficient market theory states that financial markets can process information instantly. Empirical observations have challenged the stricter form of the efficient market hypothesis (EMH). These empirical observations and theoretical considerations show that price changes are difficult to predict if one starts from the time series of price changes. This paper provides an explanation in terms of algorithmic complexity theory of Kolmogorov that makes a clearer connection between the efficient market hypothesis and the unpredictable character of stock returns.


2004 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 176-190 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jean-Philippe Bouchaud ◽  
Yuval Gefen ◽  
Marc Potters ◽  
Matthieu Wyart

2016 ◽  
Vol 47 (2) ◽  
pp. 172-194 ◽  
Author(s):  
Donald MacKenzie

This article contains the first detailed historical study of one of the new high-frequency trading (HFT) firms that have transformed many of the world’s financial markets. The study, of Automated Trading Desk (ATD), one of the earliest and most important such firms, focuses on how ATD’s algorithms predicted share price changes. The article argues that political-economic struggles are integral to the existence of some of the ‘pockets’ of predictable structure in the otherwise random movements of prices, to the availability of the data that allow algorithms to identify these pockets, and to the capacity of algorithms to use these predictions to trade profitably. The article also examines the role of HFT algorithms such as ATD’s in the epochal, fiercely contested shift in US share trading from ‘fixed-role’ markets towards ‘all-to-all’ markets.


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