Testing conditional heteroscedasticity with systematic sampling of time series

Author(s):  
Paulo Teles
2009 ◽  
Vol 3 (6) ◽  
Author(s):  
Wenfang Su ◽  
Rui Shan ◽  
Jun Zhang ◽  
Yan Gao

Author(s):  
M. Jonas

Before satellite-based augmentation systems (SBAS) such as the Wide Area Augmentation System (WAAS) in the USA, and the European Geostationary Navigation Overlay Service (EGNOS), will be used in railway safety-related applications, it is necessary to determine reliability attributes of these systems as quality measures from the user’s point of view. It is necessary to find new methods of processing data from the SBAS system in accordance with strict railway standards. For this purposes data from the SBAS receiver with the Safety of Life Service was processed by means of the time series theory. At first, a basic statistic exploration analysis by means of histograms and boxplot graphs was done. Then correlation analysis by autocorrelation (ACF), and partial autocorrelation functions (PACF), was done. Statistical tests for the confirmation of non-stationarity, and conditional heteroscedasticity of time series were done. Engle’s ARCH test confirmed that conditional heteroscedasticity is contained. ARMA/GARCH models were constructed, and their residuals were analyzed. Autocorrelation functions and statistical tests of models residuals were done. The analysis implies that the models well cover the variance volatility of investigated time series and so it is possible to use the ARMA/GARCH models for the modeling of SBAS receiver outputs.


1989 ◽  
Vol 1 ◽  
pp. 61-98 ◽  
Author(s):  
John R. Freeman

Systematic sampling and temporal aggregation are the practices of sampling a time series at regular intervals and of summing or averaging time series observations over a time interval, respectively. Both practices are a source of statistical error and faulty inference. The problems that systematic sampling and temporal aggregation create for the construction of strongly specified and weakly specified models are discussed. The seriousness of these problems then is illustrated with respect to the debate about superpower rivalry. The debate is shown to derive, in part, from the fact that some researchers employ highly temporally aggregated measures of U.S. and Soviet foreign policy behavior. The larger methodological lessons are that we need to devote more time to determining the natural time unit of our theories and to conducting robustness checks across levels of temporal aggregation.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document