A Random Walk Down Main Street: Can Experts Predict Returns on Commercial Real Estate?

2005 ◽  
Vol 27 (2) ◽  
pp. 137-154 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ling David
2017 ◽  
Vol 52 (5) ◽  
pp. 1827-1867 ◽  
Author(s):  
Allen N. Berger ◽  
Raluca A. Roman

We investigate whether saving Wall Street through TARP really saved Main Street during the recent financial crisis. Our difference-in-difference analysis suggests that TARP statistically and economically significantly increased net job creation and net hiring establishments and decreased business and personal bankruptcies. The results are robust, including accounting for endogeneity. The main mechanisms driving the results appear to be increases in commercial real estate lending and off-balance-sheet real estate guarantees. These results suggest that saving Wall Street via TARP may have helped save Main Street, complementing the TARP literature and contributing to the cost–benefit debate.


2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jim Berry ◽  
David Mcilhatton ◽  
Pernille Christensen ◽  
David Chapman

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