On application of machine learning method for history matching and forecasting of times series data from hydrocarbon recovery process using water flooding

Author(s):  
Mayur Pal
PLoS ONE ◽  
2022 ◽  
Vol 17 (1) ◽  
pp. e0262131
Author(s):  
Adil Aslam Mir ◽  
Kimberlee Jane Kearfott ◽  
Fatih Vehbi Çelebi ◽  
Muhammad Rafique

A new methodology, imputation by feature importance (IBFI), is studied that can be applied to any machine learning method to efficiently fill in any missing or irregularly sampled data. It applies to data missing completely at random (MCAR), missing not at random (MNAR), and missing at random (MAR). IBFI utilizes the feature importance and iteratively imputes missing values using any base learning algorithm. For this work, IBFI is tested on soil radon gas concentration (SRGC) data. XGBoost is used as the learning algorithm and missing data are simulated using R for different missingness scenarios. IBFI is based on the physically meaningful assumption that SRGC depends upon environmental parameters such as temperature and relative humidity. This assumption leads to a model obtained from the complete multivariate series where the controls are available by taking the attribute of interest as a response variable. IBFI is tested against other frequently used imputation methods, namely mean, median, mode, predictive mean matching (PMM), and hot-deck procedures. The performance of the different imputation methods was assessed using root mean squared error (RMSE), mean squared log error (MSLE), mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), percent bias (PB), and mean squared error (MSE) statistics. The imputation process requires more attention when multiple variables are missing in different samples, resulting in challenges to machine learning methods because some controls are missing. IBFI appears to have an advantage in such circumstances. For testing IBFI, Radon Time Series Data (RTS) has been used and data was collected from 1st March 2017 to the 11th of May 2018, including 4 seismic activities that have taken place during the data collection time.


2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hironori Takemoto ◽  
Tsubasa Goto ◽  
Yuya Hagihara ◽  
Sayaka Hamanaka ◽  
Tatsuya Kitamura ◽  
...  

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