scholarly journals Anomalous pattern of ocean heat content during different phases of the solar cycle in the tropical Pacific

2016 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 9-16 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wen-Juan HUO ◽  
Zi-Niu XIAO
2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Aleksei Seleznev ◽  
Dmitry Mukhin

Abstract It is well-known that the upper ocean heat content (OHC) variability in the tropical Pacific contains valuable information about dynamics of El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO). Here we combine sea surface temperature (SST) and OHC indices derived from the gridded datasets to construct a phase space for data-driven ENSO models. Using a Bayesian optimization method, we construct linear as well as nonlinear models for these indices. We find that the joint SST-OHC optimal models yield significant benefits in predicting both the SST and OHC as compared with the separate SST or OHC models. It is shown that these models substantially reduces seasonal predictability barriers in each variable – the spring barrier in the SST index and the winter barrier in the OHC index. We also reveal the significant nonlinear relationships between the ENSO variables manifesting on interannual scales, which opens prospects for improving yearly ENSO forecasting.


2019 ◽  
Vol 32 (12) ◽  
pp. 3529-3556 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lijing Cheng ◽  
Kevin E. Trenberth ◽  
John T. Fasullo ◽  
Michael Mayer ◽  
Magdalena Balmaseda ◽  
...  

Abstract As the strongest interannual perturbation to the climate system, El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) dominates the year-to-year variability of the ocean energy budget. Here we combine ocean observations, reanalyses, and surface flux data with Earth system model simulations to obtain estimates of the different terms affecting the redistribution of energy in the Earth system during ENSO events, including exchanges between ocean and atmosphere and among different ocean basins, and lateral and vertical rearrangements. This comprehensive inventory allows better understanding of the regional and global evolution of ocean heat related to ENSO and provides observational metrics to benchmark performance of climate models. Results confirm that there is a strong negative ocean heat content tendency (OHCT) in the tropical Pacific Ocean during El Niño, mainly through enhanced air–sea heat fluxes Q into the atmosphere driven by high sea surface temperatures. In addition to this diabatic component, there is an adiabatic redistribution of heat both laterally and vertically (0–100 and 100–300 m) in the tropical Pacific and Indian oceans that dominates the local OHCT. Heat is also transported and discharged from 20°S–5°N into off-equatorial regions within 5°–20°N during and after El Niño. OHCT and Q changes outside the tropical Pacific Ocean indicate the ENSO-driven atmospheric teleconnections and changes of ocean heat transport (i.e., Indonesian Throughflow). The tropical Atlantic and Indian Oceans warm during El Niño, partly offsetting the tropical Pacific cooling for the tropical oceans as a whole. While there are distinct regional OHCT changes, many compensate each other, resulting in a weak but robust net global ocean cooling during and after El Niño.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yue Wang ◽  
Zhimin Jian ◽  
Haowen Dang ◽  
Zhongfang Liu ◽  
Haiyan Jin ◽  
...  

<p>The ocean is the largest heat capacitor of the earth climate system and a main source of atmospheric moist static energy. Especially, upper ocean heat content changes in the tropics can be taken as the heat engine of global climate. Here we provide an orbital scale perspective on changes in OHC obtained from a transient simulation of the Community Earth System Model under orbital insolation and GHG forcings. Considering the vertical stratification of the upper ocean, we calculate OHC for the mixed layer and the upper thermocline layer according to the isotherm depths of 26℃ and 20℃ respectively. Generally, our simulated OHC are dominated by thickness changes rather than temperature changes of each layer. In details, there are three situations according to different forcings:</p><p>(1) Higher GHG induces positive mixed layer OHC anomalies inside the western Pacific warm pool but with neglected anomalies outside it. For the upper thermocline layer, there are negative OHC anomalies inside the warm pool and positive anomalies in the subtropical Pacific of two hemispheres. For the total OHC above 20℃ isotherm depth, positive anomalies mainly come from the mixed layer between 15ºS-15ºN and from the thermocline between 15º-30º. Lower obliquity induces similar spatial patterns of OHC anomalies as those of higher GHG, but total OHC anomalies are more contributed by upper thermocline anomalies.</p><p>(2) Lower precession results in positive mixed layer OHC anomalies in the core of warm pool (150ºE-150ºW, 20ºS-10ºN) and the subtropical northeastern Pacific, but with negative anomalies in other regions of the tropical Pacific. Upper thermocline layer OHC anomalies have similar patterns but with opposite signs relative to the mixed layer in regions between 15ºN-30ºS. As a combination, positive total OHC anomalies occupy large areas of 130ºE-120ºW from 30ºS to10ºN, while negative anomalies dominate the subtropical north Pacific, the western and eastern ends of the tropical Pacific.</p><p>If confirmed by paleoceanographic proxies, our simulated OHC results can be served as the first guide map of anomalous energetic storage & flows in the earth climate system under orbital forcings.</p>


2012 ◽  
Vol 25 (14) ◽  
pp. 5102-5118 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stergios Misios ◽  
Hauke Schmidt

Abstract It is debated whether the response of the tropical Pacific Ocean to the 11-yr solar cycle forcing resembles a La Niña– or El Niño–like signal. To address this issue, ensemble simulations employing an atmospheric general circulation model with and without ocean coupling are conducted. The coupled simulations show no evidence for a La Niña–like cooling in solar maxima. Instead, the tropical sea surface temperature rises almost in phase with the 11-yr solar cycle. A basinwide warming of about 0.1 K is simulated in the tropical Pacific, whereas the warming in the tropical Indian and Atlantic Oceans is weaker. In the western Pacific, the region of deep convection shifts to the east, thus reducing the surface easterlies. This shift is independent of the ocean coupling because deep convection moves to the east in the uncoupled simulations too. The reduced surface easterlies cool the subsurface but warm the surface due to the reduction of heat transport divergence. The latter mechanism operates together with water vapor feedback, resulting in a stronger tropical Pacific warming relative to the warming over the tropical Indian and Atlantic Oceans. These results suggest that the atmospheric response to the 11-yr solar cycle drives the tropical Pacific response, which is amplified by atmosphere–ocean feedbacks operating on decadal time scales. Based on the coupled simulations, it is concluded that the tropical Pacific Ocean should warm when the sun is more active.


2003 ◽  
Vol 16 (13) ◽  
pp. 2138-2158 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gerald A. Meehl ◽  
Julie M. Arblaster ◽  
Johannes Loschnigg

Abstract The transitions (from relatively strong to relatively weak monsoon) in the tropospheric biennial oscillation (TBO) occur in northern spring for the south Asian or Indian monsoon and northern fall for the Australian monsoon involving coupled land–atmosphere–ocean processes over a large area of the Indo-Pacific region. Transitions from March–May (MAM) to June–September (JJAS) tend to set the system for the next year, with a transition to the opposite sign the following year. Previous analyses of observed data and GCM sensitivity experiments have demonstrated that the TBO (with roughly a 2–3-yr period) encompasses most ENSO years (with their well-known biennial tendency). In addition, there are other years, including many Indian Ocean dipole (or zonal mode) events, that contribute to biennial transitions. Results presented here from observations for composites of TBO evolution confirm earlier results that the Indian and Pacific SST forcings are more dominant in the TBO than circulation and meridional temperature gradient anomalies over Asia. A fundamental element of the TBO is the large-scale east–west atmospheric circulation (the Walker circulation) that links anomalous convection and precipitation, winds, and ocean dynamics across the Indian and Pacific sectors. This circulation connects convection over the Asian–Australian monsoon regions both to the central and eastern Pacific (the eastern Walker cell), and to the central and western Indian Ocean (the western Walker cell). Analyses of upper-ocean data confirm previous results and show that ENSO El Niño and La Niña events as well as Indian Ocean SST dipole (or zonal mode) events are often large-amplitude excursions of the TBO in the tropical Pacific and Indian Oceans, respectively, associated with anomalous eastern and western Walker cell circulations, coupled ocean dynamics, and upper-ocean temperature and heat content anomalies. Other years with similar but lower-amplitude signals in the tropical Pacific and Indian Oceans also contribute to the TBO. Observed upper-ocean data for the Indian Ocean show that slowly eastward-propagating equatorial ocean heat content anomalies, westward-propagating ocean Rossby waves south of the equator, and anomalous cross-equatorial ocean heat transports contribute to the heat content anomalies in the Indian Ocean and thus to the ocean memory and consequent SST anomalies, which are an essential part of the TBO.


2006 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
pp. 69-87 ◽  
Author(s):  
Francisco Alvarez-Garcia ◽  
William Cabos Narvaez ◽  
Maria J. Ortiz Bevia

Abstract This study investigates the physical mechanisms involved in the generation and decay of El Niño–Southern Oscillation episodes in a coupled GCM simulation. Warm and cold events found in a 100-yr-long record are separated into groups by means of a clustering technique that objectively discriminates common features in the evolution of the tropical Pacific heat content anomalies leading to the event’s peak. Through an analysis of the composites obtained from this classification, insight is gained as to the processes responsible for the presence of different behaviors. Three classes of warm events were identified. The first is characterized by the westward propagation of warm heat content anomalies north of the equator before the onset of the episode. This propagation characteristic of the delayed oscillator paradigm appears weakened in the decay of the episode. In the second class, local development of heat content anomalies in the northwest tropical Pacific, associated with overlying wind stress curl anomalies, dominates both the generation and the decay of the warm event. In addition, subsurface cold anomalies form in the equatorial western Pacific in association with the poleward flow considered by the recharge–discharge oscillator model. The third class is characterized by a relatively quick development of the warm episode. Attention is focused on the first two classes. The suitability of different conceptual models to explain them is addressed. Previous analyses of the simulation are reviewed throughout this work. Differences between the classes are related to a regime shift that occurs toward the middle of the record.


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