Background
The current diagnostic delay of chronic thromboembolic pulmonary
hypertension (CTEPH) after pulmonary embolism (PE) is unacceptably long,
causing loss of quality-adjusted life years and excess mortality.
Validated screening strategies for early CTEPH diagnosis are lacking.
Echocardiographic screening among all PE survivors is associated with
overdiagnosis and cost-ineffectiveness. We aimed to validate a simple
screening strategy for excluding CTEPH early after acute PE, limiting
the number of performed echocardiograms.
Methods
In this prospective, international, multicentre management study,
consecutive patients were managed according to a screening algorithm
starting 3 months after acute PE to determine whether echocardiographic
evaluation of pulmonary hypertension (PH) was indicated. If the ‘CTEPH
prediction score’ indicated high pretest probability or matching
symptoms were present, the ‘CTEPH rule-out criteria’ were applied,
consisting of ECG reading and N-terminalpro-brain natriuretic peptide.
Only if these results could not rule out possible PH, the patients were
referred for echocardiography.
Results
424 patients were included. Based on the algorithm, CTEPH was
considered absent in 343 (81%) patients, leaving 81 patients (19%)
referred for echocardiography. During 2-year follow-up, one patient in
whom echocardiography was deemed unnecessary by the algorithm was
diagnosed with CTEPH, reflecting an algorithm failure rate of 0.29% (95%
CI 0% to 1.6%). Overall CTEPH incidence was 3.1% (13/424), of whom 10
patients were diagnosed within 4 months after the PE
presentation.
Conclusions
The InShape II algorithm accurately excluded CTEPH, without the need
for echocardiography in the overall majority of patients. CTEPH was
identified early after acute PE, resulting in a substantially shorter
diagnostic delay than in current practice.