scholarly journals Regional-Specific Algorithmic Stand Density Management Diagram for Black Spruce

1998 ◽  
Vol 15 (2) ◽  
pp. 94-97 ◽  
Author(s):  
Peter F. Newton

Abstract A regional-specific algorithmic stand density management diagram was developed for managed upland black spruce (Picea mariana [Mill.] B.S.P.) stands applicable to Newfoundland, New Brunswick, Quebec, and Ontario. Specifically, the IBM-compatible PC-based algorithm (1) graphically illustrates site-specific size-density trajectories for 8 user-specified initial density regimes, (2) calculates and subsequently tabulates periodic yield estimates from 5-50 yr by 5 yr intervals for mean dominant height, density, mean volume, total volume, total merchantable volume, quadratic mean diameter, and basal area, (3) given (2), graphically illustrates empirically derived yield production curves for total merchantable volume per hectare and number of stems per cubic meter with user-specified operability criteria superimposed, and (4) given (3), calculates and subsequently tabulates the minimum time required to attain operability status. The utility of the algorithm is demonstrated within the context of determining site-specific initial densities required to attain user-specified operability criteria. Procedures for acquiring the executable version via the Internet are also included. North. J. Appl. For. 15(2):94-97.

1997 ◽  
Vol 73 (2) ◽  
pp. 257-265 ◽  
Author(s):  
P. F. Newton

Algorithmic versions of stand density management diagrams (SDMDs) were developed for natural and managed black spruce (Picea mariana (Mill.) B.S.P.) stands. Specifically, the IBM-compatible PC-based algorithms (1) graphically illustrate site-specific size-density trajectories for eight user-specified initial density regimes, (2) given (1), calculate and subsequent tabulate periodic yield estimates (mean dominant height, density, mean volume, total volume, total merchantable volume, quadratic mean diameter, and basal area), and (3) given (2), graphically illustrate empirically-derived yield production curves for total merchantable volume ha−1 and stems m−3 with user-specified operability criteria superimposed. Instructions on acquiring the executable algorithmic versions including the required graphical subroutines via the Internet are described. Currently, the algorithms are restricted in applicability to central insular Newfoundland. Key words: stand density management diagrams, black spruce, algorithms, microcomputer, World-Wide Web (WWW), hypertext browser, file transfer protocol (FTP).


1993 ◽  
Vol 69 (4) ◽  
pp. 421-430 ◽  
Author(s):  
P. F. Newton ◽  
G. F. Weetman

A stand density management diagram for black spruce (Picea mariana (Mill.) B.S.P.) was developed using data derived from 49 0.081-ha permanent sample plots and 257 open-grown sample trees located throughout central insular Newfoundland. The diagram illustrated the reciprocal equation of the competition-density effect, self-thinning rule, approximate crown closure line, zone of imminent competition-mortality, and isolines for relative density, quadratic mean diameter and merchantability ratio. Mean prediction error for natural stand trajectories over a 30-projection period were 2.5 dm3 for mean volume, 306 stems/ha for density, 16.1 m3/ha for merchantable volume, 14.3 m3/ha for total volume, and 1.9 m2/ha for basal area. Implementation procedures using a combination of monoareal and polyareal sampling methods were described and the potential application of the diagram for evaluating thinning alternatives was demonstrated. Limitations of the diagram and future research directions were identified. Key words: stand density management diagram, black spruce, natural stands, central Newfoundland


1994 ◽  
Vol 70 (1) ◽  
pp. 65-74 ◽  
Author(s):  
P. F. Newton ◽  
G. F. Weetman

A stand density management diagram for managed black spruce (Picea mariana (Mill.) B.S.P.) stands was developed using data derived from 37 variable-size temporary and permanent sample plots, and 257 open-grown sample trees. The plots were situated within 15 plantations and 4 precommercially thinned stands located throughout central and western Newfoundland, north-western New Brunswick and northern Ontario. The basic components of the diagram included: (1) an approximate crown closure line (2) the self-thinning rule (3) expected size-density trajectories and (4) isolines for dominant height, relative density index, quadratic mean diameter and merchantability ratio. The utility of the diagram was demonstrated by deriving yields for various initial spacings by site class and subsequently evaluating various outcomes in terms of operability criteria. In addition, the potential of estimating the time of crown closure by initial spacing and site class is discussed in relation to minimizing the adverse effects of Kalmia angustifolia (L.) on black spruce growth and development. Key words: stand density management diagram, initial spacing, black spruce, operability, Kalmia angustifolia (L.)


2003 ◽  
Vol 33 (3) ◽  
pp. 490-499 ◽  
Author(s):  
P F Newton

The objectives of this study were to (i) quantify the prediction error associated with estimating density (N (stems/ha)), quadratic mean diameter (Dq (cm)), basal area (G (m2/ha)), total volume (Vt (m3/ha)), and merchantable volume (Vm (m3/ha)) using a stand density management decision-support program (SDMDSP) developed for black spruce (Picea mariana (Mill.) BSP) plantations and (ii) given objective i, assess model adequacy by examining the relationship between prediction error and model input variables (prediction period, site index, initial density, and number of thinning treatments) by yield variate. Specifically, the SDMDSP was evaluated by comparing its yield predictions with corresponding measured values (n = 44) within 19 black spruce plantations. The resultant tolerance intervals indicated that 95% of the relative errors associated with future predictions would be within the following limits 95% of the time (minimum–maximum): (i) –27.3 to 29.7% for N, (ii) –26.1 to 14.3% for Dq, (iii) –48.3 to 26.1% for G, (iv) –64.3 to 37.7% for Vt, and (v) –87.0 to 73.0% for Vm. Graphical analysis indicated that errors for Vt and Vm were associated with the data from thinned plantations. This result is discussed within the context of residual stand structure variation and response delay from which recommendations for model improvement are derived.


2004 ◽  
Vol 80 (3) ◽  
pp. 349-358 ◽  
Author(s):  
P F Newton ◽  
Y. Lei ◽  
S Y Zhang

The objectives of this study were to develop and subsequently demonstrate a parameter prediction approach for estimating black spruce (Picea mariana (Mill. ) BSP) diameter frequency distributions within the context of a stand density management diagram (SDMD). The approach consisted of three sequential steps: (1) obtaining maximum likelihood estimates for the location, scale and shape parameters of the Weibull probability density function for 153 empirical diameter frequency distributions; (2) developing and evaluating parameter prediction equations in which the Weibull parameter estimates were expressed as functions of stand-level variables based on step-wise regression and seemingly unrelated regression techniques; and (3) explicitly incorporating the parameter prediction equations into the SDMD modelling framework. The results indicated that the Weibull function was successful in characterizing the diameter distributions within the sample stands: the fitted distributions exhibited no significant (p ≤ 0. 05) differences in relation to their corresponding observed distributions, based on the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test. The parameter prediction equations described 94, 94 and 89% of the variation in the location, scale and shape parameter estimates, respectively. Furthermore, evaluation of the recovered distributions in terms of prediction error indicated minimal biases and acceptable accuracy. As demonstrated, incorporating the parameter prediction equations into an algorithmic version of the SDMD enabled the prediction of the temporal dynamics of the diameter frequency distribution by initial density regime and site quality. Additionally, an executable version of the resultant algorithm with instructions on acquiring it via the Internet is provided. Key words: 3-parameter Weibull probability density function, stepwise and seemingly unrelated regression, predictive error, product value, algorithm, Internet


2004 ◽  
Vol 80 (4) ◽  
pp. 495-506 ◽  
Author(s):  
V. Lacerte ◽  
G R Larocque ◽  
M. Woods ◽  
W J Parton ◽  
M. Penner

The Lake States variant of the FVS (Forest Vegetation Simulator) model (LS-FVS), also known as the LS-TWIGS variant of FVS, was validated for black spruce (Picea mariana (Mill.) BSP), white spruce (Picea glauca (Moench) Voss), jack pine (Pinus banksiana Lamb.) and trembling aspen (Populus tremuloides Michx.) forests in northern Ontario. Individual-tree data from 537 remeasured sample plots were used. This dataset included different combinations of site index, stand density and age. It was possible to compare observations and predictions for different projection length periods. The validation exercise included a biological consistency analysis, the computation of mean percent difference (MPD) for stand density, stand basal area, top height and quadratic mean diameter (QMD) and the comparison of observed and predicted individual-tree dbh. The biological consistency analysis indicated that LS-FVS logically predicted the effect of site index on top height, stand basal area and QMD for black spruce and jack pine. However, the decrease in stand basal area at young ages was inconsistent with the normal development pattern of the forest stands under study and was attributed to deficiencies in the prediction of mortality. LS-FVS was found to underpredict stand density, stand basal area and top height and to over-predict QMD. Even though there were large errors in the prediction of change in stand density, LS-FVS was nevertheless consistent in the prediction of the shape of the dbh size distribution. Key words: FVS, Forest Vegetation Simulator, validation, biological consistency analysis


1983 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 126-136 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chadwick Dearing Oliver ◽  
Marshall D. Murray

A Douglas-fir (Pseudotsugamenziesii (Mirb.) Franco) thinning study was established in 1959 in a stand begun after logging in 1930. Thinnings to set basal area densities were done in 1959, 1962, 1966, and 1970. On each plot both large and small trees were removed since average basal area per tree was kept constant before and after thinning. Volume growth varied greatly between plots of the same age, initial basal area, and site because of differences in stand structure. Large trees on a plot grew more per tree and per basal area than small trees. Stand basal area, stand volume, number of stems, or number of dominant and codominant trees were not closely related to volume growth per hectare, although density indexes giving weight to larger trees showed the closest relation. The lack of close relation between stand density indexes and growth found here and elsewhere probably means the indexes do not uniquely define stand structures; it does not necessarily mean that thinning will not increase volume growth per hectare. Volume growth per hectare after thinning to a given basal area density will be greater and probably more consistent if larger trees are left and enough time is allowed for the stand to recover following thinning.


2007 ◽  
Vol 24 (1) ◽  
pp. 22-29 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mahadev Sharma ◽  
S.Y. Zhang

Abstract A stand density management diagram was developed for jack pine (Pinus banksiana Lamb.) stands using the data obtained from 125 permanent sample plots (PSPs) established in Ontario and 232 PSPs in Quebec, Canada. The diagram was evaluated using data from 40 PSPs established in Ontario. Recently developed and efficient models have been used in constructing the diagram to estimate diameters and heights for the trees for which no diameters or heights were recorded at the time of stand inventory. Relative density indices of 0.15, 0.40, and 0.55 were used, corresponding to the line of approximate crown closure, the limit of productive zone, and the lower limit of competition-related mortality, respectively. If two stand characteristics are known, including mean total tree volume, quadratic mean diameter, trees per hectare, and average dominant height, the others can be readily obtained using the diagram. The consequences of various thinning scenarios can be plotted and visualized in the field without the need for computer simulation.


Forests ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (4) ◽  
pp. 448
Author(s):  
Peter F. Newton

The objectives of this study were to develop a stand density management decision-support software suite for boreal conifers and demonstrate its potential utility in crop planning using practical deployment exemplifications. Denoted CPDSS (CroPlanner Decision-support Software Suite), the program was developed by transcribing algorithmic analogues of structural stand density management diagrams previously developed for even-aged black spruce (Picea mariana (Mill) BSP.) and jack pine (Pinus banksiana Lamb.) stand-types into an integrated software platform with shared commonalities with respect to computational structure, input requirements and generated numerical and graphical outputs. The suite included 6 stand-type-specific model variants (natural-origin monospecific upland black spruce and jack pine stands, mixed upland black spruce and jack pine stands, and monospecific lowland black spruce stands, and plantation-origin monospecific upland black spruce and jack pine stands), and 4 climate-sensitive stand-type-specific model variants (monospecific upland black spruce and jack pine natural-origin and planted stands). The underlying models which were equivalent in terms of their modular structure, parameterization analytics and geographic applicability, were enabled to address a diversity of crop planning scenarios when integrated within the software suite (e.g., basic, extensive, intensive and elite silvicultural regimes). Algorithmically, the Windows® (Microsoft Corporation, Redmond, WA, USA) based suite was developed by recoding the Fortran-based algorithmic model variants into a collection of VisualBasic.Net® (Microsoft Corporation, Redmond, WA, USA) equivalents and augmenting them with intuitive graphical user interfaces (GUIs), optional computer-intensive optimization applications for automated crop plan selection, and interactive tabular and charting reporting tools inclusive of static and dynamic stand visualization capabilities. In order to address a wide range of requirements from the end-user community and facilitate potential deployment within provincially regulated forest management planning systems, a participatory approach was used to guide software design. As exemplified, the resultant CPDSS can be used as an (1) automated crop planning searching tool in which computer-intensive methods are used to find the most appropriate precommercial thinning, commercial thinning and (or) initial espacement (spacing) regime, according to a weighted multivariate scoring metric reflective of attained mean tree size, operability status, volumetric productivity, and economic viability, and a set of treatment-related constraints (e.g., thresholds regarding intensity and timing of thinning events, and residual stocking levels), as specified by the end-user, or (2) iterative gaming-like crop planning tool where end-users simultaneously contrast density management regimes using detailed annual and rotational volumetric yield, end-product and ecological output measures, and (or) an abbreviate set of rotational-based performance metrics, from which they determine the most applicable crop plan required for attaining their specified stand-level objective(s). The participatory approach, modular computational structure and software platform used in the formulation of the CPDSS along with its exemplified utility, collectively provides the prerequisite foundation for its potential deployment in boreal crop planning.


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