Asset Price Bubbles and Systemic Risk

2020 ◽  
Vol 33 (9) ◽  
pp. 4272-4317
Author(s):  
Markus Brunnermeier ◽  
Simon Rother ◽  
Isabel Schnabel

Abstract We analyze the relationship between asset price bubbles and systemic risk, using bank-level data covering almost 30 years. Banks’ systemic risk already rises during a bubble’s buildup and even more so during its bust. The increase in risk strongly differs across banks and by bubble. It depends on bank characteristics (especially bank size) and bubble characteristics and can become very large: in a median real estate bust, systemic risk increases by almost 70% of the median for banks with unfavorable characteristics. These results emphasize the importance of bank-level factors in the buildup of financial fragility during bubble episodes. Authors have furnished an Internet Appendix, which is available on the Oxford University Press Web site next to the link to the final published paper online.

2005 ◽  
Vol 192 ◽  
pp. 57-67 ◽  
Author(s):  
Franklin Allen

Financial instability can have large adverse effects on an economy. One major cause of instability is asset price bubbles. This paper starts by considering how such bubbles can arise due to the expansion of money and credit. The ways in which subsequent financial instability occurs are then discussed. Banking crises can arise due to panics or as a result of the business cycle. Contagion and financial fragility can cause small disturbances to have large effects. Finally, policy issues are touched upon.


2015 ◽  
Vol 66 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Julia Freese

AbstractThe recent U.S. house price bubble and the subsequent deep financial crisis have renewed the interest in reliable identification methods for asset price bubbles. While there is a growing number of studies focussing on the detection of U.S. regional bubbles, estimations of the likely starting points in different local U.S. markets are still rare. Using regional data from 1990 to 2010 methods of Statistical Process Control (SPC) are used to test for house price bubbles in 17 major U.S. cities. Based on the EWMA control chart we also present estimations of the likely starting point of the regional bubbles. As a result, we find indications of house price bubbles in all 17 considered cities. Interestingly enough, the recent bubble was not a homogeneous event since regional starting points range from 1996 to 2002.


2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Markus Brunnermeier ◽  
Simon Rother ◽  
Isabel Schnabel

2015 ◽  
Vol 17 (3) ◽  
pp. 35-56 ◽  
Author(s):  
Robert Jarrow ◽  
Felipe Bastos G. Silva

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