scholarly journals Forecasting COVID-19 cases using Machine Learning models

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yuan Tian ◽  
Ishika Luthra ◽  
Xi Zhang
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Markov Chain Model ◽  
Error Rates ◽  
Hierarchical Bayes ◽  
Public Health Issue ◽  
Chain Model ◽  
Learning Models ◽  
Hierarchical Bayes Model ◽  
Bayes Model ◽  
Machine Learning Models

As of April 26, 2020, more than 2,994,958 cases of COVID-19 infection have been confirmed globally, raising a challenging public health issue. A predictive model of the disease would help allocate medical resources and determine social distancing measures more efficiently. In this paper, we gathered case data from Jan 22, 2020 to April 14 for 6 countries to compare different models' proficiency in COVID-19 cases prediction. We assessed the performance of 3 machine learning models including hidden Markov chain model (HMM), hierarchical Bayes model, and long-short-term-memory model (LSTM) using the root-mean-square error (RMSE). The LSTM model had the consistently smallest prediction error rates for tracking the dynamics of incidents cases in 4 countries. In contrast, hierarchical Bayes model provided the most realistic prediction with the capability of identifying a plateau point in the incidents growth curve.

scholarly journals Methods, New Software Tools, and Best Practices for Developing High-quality Training Data for Machine Learning-based Image Analysis in Biodiversity Research

2019 ◽  
Vol 3 ◽  
Author(s):  
Brian Stucky ◽  
Laura Brenskelle ◽  
Robert Guralnick
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Image Annotation ◽  
Image Data ◽  
Error Rates ◽  
Training Data ◽  
Data Sets ◽  
Learning Models ◽  
High Quality ◽  
Biodiversity Research ◽  
Machine Learning Models

Recent progress in using deep learning techniques to automate the analysis of complex image data is opening up exciting new avenues for research in biodiversity science. However, potential applications of machine learning methods in biodiversity research are often limited by the relative scarcity of data suitable for training machine learning models. Development of high-quality training data sets can be a surprisingly challenging task that can easily consume hundreds of person-hours of time. In this talk, we present the results of our recent work implementing and comparing several different methods for generating annotated, biodiversity-oriented image data for training machine learning models, including collaborative expert scoring, local volunteer image annotators with on-site training, and distributed, remote image annotation via citizen science platforms. We discuss error rates, among-annotator variance, and depth of coverage required to ensure highly reliable image annotations. We also discuss time considerations and efficiency of the various methods. Finally, we present new software, called ImageAnt (currently under development), that supports efficient, highly flexible image annotation workflows. ImageAnt was created primarily in response to the challenges we discovered in our own efforts to generate image-based training data for machine learning models. ImageAnt features a simple user interface and can be used to implement sophisticated, adaptive scripting of image annotation tasks.

Improving XGBoost with Imagination Sampling

2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 3-6
Author(s):  
Eric Holloway
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
General System ◽  
Learning Models ◽  
Starting Point ◽  
Machine Learning Models

Imagination Sampling is the usage of a person as an oracle for generating or improving machine learning models. Previous work demonstrated a general system for using Imagination Sampling for obtaining multibox models. Here, the possibility of importing such models as the starting point for further automatic enhancement is explored.

Epigenetic Target Prediction with Accurate Machine Learning Models

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Norberto Sánchez-Cruz ◽  
Jose L. Medina-Franco
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Small Molecules ◽  
Predictive Models ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Target Prediction ◽  
Quantitative Measure ◽  
Learning Models ◽  
Discovery Research ◽  
Drug Discovery Research ◽  
Machine Learning Models

<p>Epigenetic targets are a significant focus for drug discovery research, as demonstrated by the eight approved epigenetic drugs for treatment of cancer and the increasing availability of chemogenomic data related to epigenetics. This data represents a large amount of structure-activity relationships that has not been exploited thus far for the development of predictive models to support medicinal chemistry efforts. Herein, we report the first large-scale study of 26318 compounds with a quantitative measure of biological activity for 55 protein targets with epigenetic activity. Through a systematic comparison of machine learning models trained on molecular fingerprints of different design, we built predictive models with high accuracy for the epigenetic target profiling of small molecules. The models were thoroughly validated showing mean precisions up to 0.952 for the epigenetic target prediction task. Our results indicate that the herein reported models have considerable potential to identify small molecules with epigenetic activity. Therefore, our results were implemented as freely accessible and easy-to-use web application.</p>

Utilizing Blockchain Technology in Social Media Bot Identification

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shreya Reddy ◽  
Lisa Ewen ◽  
Pankti Patel ◽  
Prerak Patel ◽  
Ankit Kundal ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Social Media ◽  
Gold Standard ◽  
The Internet ◽  
Learning Models ◽  
Current Time ◽  
Machine Learning Methods ◽  
Blockchain Technology ◽  
Modern Age ◽  
Machine Learning Models

<p>As bots become more prevalent and smarter in the modern age of the internet, it becomes ever more important that they be identified and removed. Recent research has dictated that machine learning methods are accurate and the gold standard of bot identification on social media. Unfortunately, machine learning models do not come without their negative aspects such as lengthy training times, difficult feature selection, and overwhelming pre-processing tasks. To overcome these difficulties, we are proposing a blockchain framework for bot identification. At the current time, it is unknown how this method will perform, but it serves to prove the existence of an overwhelming gap of research under this area.<i></i></p>

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