Political uncertainty and the US market risk premium

2020 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Richard P. Gregory

PurposeThe purpose of this study is to examine the bi-directional causality between political uncertainty and the market risk premium in the US.Design/methodology/approachI use a theoretical model to motivate signs and then check signs based on a vector autoregression.FindingsI find that political uncertainty has a small positive, delayed effect on the market risk premium. The market risk premium, on the other hand, has a large permanent, negative effect on political uncertainty.Originality/valueThis is the first research paper to consider the bi-directional effects of political uncertainty on the market risk premium and vice versa. It also finds interesting empirical results.

2018 ◽  
Vol 11 (3) ◽  
pp. 284-318 ◽  
Author(s):  
Giacomo Morri ◽  
Karoline Jostov

Purpose This paper aims to investigate the impact of leverage on the total shareholder return of European publicly traded real estate vehicles in three periods: Crisis Period (2007-2009), Rebound Period (2009-2014) and the Whole Period. Design/methodology/approach Cross-sectional analysis is used and the leverage effect on the performance is controlled for seven other independent variables (local market risk premium, size, book-to-market, short-term debt, cash); moreover, regional differences are accounted for. Findings It is established that during the Crisis Period, leverage levels are negatively associated with performance: this relationship also holds throughout the Whole Period, implying that for real estate securities, the cost of financial distress is larger than the potential gain from taxation, although the economic significance of it is limited. The Fama and French (1992) three factors, including size, book-to-market and local market risk premium, are found to be relevant, which is consistent with the literature. In addition, the UK and Sweden regions are identified as significant. Originality/value Even if there is sizeable body of literature on determinants of leverage and determinants of asset returns, little work has been done on how leverage affects the returns of European real estate companies. In addition, this paper takes advantage of observations from a full economic cycle and the possible effects of the crisis period.


2016 ◽  
Vol 42 (11) ◽  
pp. 1125-1135
Author(s):  
Javier Rodriguez ◽  
Herminio Romero

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to contrast market risk exposure and diversification of single-listed American depository receipts (“ADRs”) with those of dual-listed ADRs from the same geographical region during 2004-2012. Design/methodology/approach The study uses orthogonal returns in two-factor models to infer exposure to the US and ADRs’ home markets. Findings The authors found that both ADR types provide no diversification and are significantly exposed to US market risk. The authors also found that portfolios of both single- and dual-listed ADRs behave significantly differently than their home markets. Originality/value Only several academic papers discuss single-listed ADRs, and to the best of the knowledge, this study is the first to assess their diversification value.


2019 ◽  
Vol 14 (7) ◽  
pp. 160
Author(s):  
Antonio Salvi ◽  
Emanuele Teti ◽  
Anastasia Giakoumelou

This paper investigates the relationship between leveraged buyouts (LBOs) and initial public offerings (IPOs) with the market risk premium in the European market. We expand our study to the period spanning from the first quarter of 1999 to the fourth quarter of 2016. Our longitudinal analysis finds evidence of an inverse relationship between market risk premium and the volume of LBOs, as well as a direct relationship between the latter and the stock index STOXX Europe 600. Additionally, our analysis of IPO operations confirms the significance of all factors considered in predicting the IPO trends in Europe, with a persisting accentuated impact generated by the market risk premium and the stock index STOXX Europe 600, also in this case. While previous analyses majorly focused on the US market, this paper is among first attempts to examine the topic of interest in the European context.


2018 ◽  
Vol 19 (4) ◽  
pp. 1-3
Author(s):  
Robert Van Grover

Purpose To summarize and interpret a Risk Alert issued on April 12, 2018 by the US SEC’s Office of Compliance Inspections and Examinations (OCIE) on the most frequent advisory fee and expense compliance issues identified in recent examinations of investment advisers. Design/methodology/approach Summarizes deficiencies identified by the OCIE staff pertaining to advisory fees and expenses in the following categories: fee billing based on incorrect account valuations, billing fees in advance or with improper frequency, applying incorrect fee rates, omitting rebates and applying discounts incorrectly, disclosure issues involving advisory fees, and adviser expense misallocations. Findings In the Risk Alert, OCIE staff emphasized the importance of disclosures regarding advisory fees and expenses to the ability of clients to make informed decisions, including whether or not to engage or retain an adviser. Practical implications In light of the issues identified in the Risk Alert, advisers should assess the accuracy of disclosures and adequacy of policies and procedures regarding advisory fee billing and expenses. As a matter of best practice, advisers should implement periodic forensic reviews of billing practices to identify and correct issues relating to fee billing and expenses. Originality/value Expert guidance from experienced investment management lawyer.


2018 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
pp. 179-190 ◽  
Author(s):  
T.M. Wong

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to identify the teaching innovations that have been implemented in higher education institutions in Asia and the perspectives of educators on them. Design/methodology/approach Semi-structured interviews were conducted with 28 educators who were affiliated with 23 higher education institutions in ten Asian countries/regions. The interviews covered information about the teaching innovations of the participants’ institutions, the characteristics of the innovative practices and the participants’ views on them. The relationships between the characteristics of institutions and their teaching innovations were also examined. Findings The results showed that the teaching innovations included two main categories, namely, those which involved the use of advanced technologies and those which did not. The innovations that involved the use of advanced technologies were mainly from larger institutions, while the other category was mainly from smaller ones and had been practised for less than 1.5 years. Differences were also identified between the two categories in terms of the aims and importance of innovations, innovative features, the evaluation of innovations and improvements needed for them. Originality/value The results highlighted that technology is only one of the many aspects of teaching innovations, which is different from the view prevailing in the literature. They also suggested that differences in the scale of institutions (in terms of number of students) possibly influences the kind of teaching innovations adopted.


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