Religious tensions will rise in India’s Uttar Pradesh

Significance The nationally ruling, Hindu nationalist Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) aims to retain its majority in the legislative assembly. Meanwhile, petitions have been filed with courts in certain districts of the state seeking removal of mosques which the plaintiffs say were constructed illegally on sites where Hindu temples formerly stood. Impacts BJP strategists will in the coming months step up efforts to appeal to the party’s Hindu nationalist base in UP. Victory for the BJP in the UP elections would boost the party’s morale after mixed results in 2021 state polls. UP Chief Minister Yogi Adityanath could be a future prime ministerial candidate.

Significance The ruling National Democratic Alliance (NDA), led by Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), has retained a parliamentary majority and the BJP has extended its single-party majority. During campaigning, Modi emphasised nationalist themes, ranging from Hindu nationalism to national security, while deflecting criticism over problems such as the country’s jobless growth. Impacts The BJP’s pledge to spend 100 trillion rupees (1.4 trillion dollars) on infrastructure will likely prompt a widening of the fiscal deficit. Leading BJP figures such as party President Amit Shah and Uttar Pradesh Chief Minister Yogi Adityanath may aim to succeed Modi in 2024. Rahul Gandhi will highly likely relinquish leadership of the main opposition Congress party.


Subject The movement to create a separate Gorkhaland out of West Bengal state. Significance After Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s government last month abrogated Jammu and Kashmir’s special constitutional status, and divided the state into two union territories, speculation grew that the Modi administration might try to hive off West Bengal state’s Gorkhaland region, currently administered by a semi-autonomous Gorkhaland Territorial Administration (GTA). Modi’s Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is aiming to strengthen its position in West Bengal, currently governed by Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee’s All India Trinamool Congress (TMC). Impacts Agitation in Gorkhaland could set back tourism, a major source of income for the area, and India’s tea industry, a major employer there. The alleged exclusion of 100,000 Gorkhas from Assam state’s National Register of Citizens may hurt the BJP’s image in northern West Bengal. Gorkha politicians who have turned to the BJP may desert the party if higher-level officials continue to prevaricate over Gorkhaland.


Significance Meanwhile, the nationally ruling, Hindu nationalist Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP)’s policy agenda for the restive, majority-Muslim state includes scrapping its special constitutional status and possibly reshaping its electoral boundaries. Impacts BJP attempts to revoke Article 370 and Article 35A of the constitution would attract opposition in parliament and in Jammu and Kashmir. The BJP’s delimitation plans for Jammu and Kashmir would likely pave the way for the state to have its first Hindu chief minister. Pakistan will appeal to other majority-Muslim countries to support its position on Kashmir.


Significance The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP)-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) has 314 seats in the 545-member parliamentary lower house. Congress, which leads the United Progressive Alliance (UPA), has 48 seats, short of the 10% minimum required for it to nominate the leader of the opposition. Regionally influential politicians such as West Bengal Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee and former Uttar Pradesh (UP) Chief Minister Mayawati have called for a broad anti-BJP alliance ahead of the general election due early next year. Impacts Modi’s personality will be a critical factor in election campaigning. The opposition will try to undermine Modi by highlighting the jobless growth and religious discord under BJP rule. The BJP and its opponents will try to project themselves as the champions of farmers in a bid to increase their rural support.


Subject The nationally ruling Bharatiya Janata Party's ambitions in West Bengal state. Significance West Bengal Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee last month issued a fresh challenge to Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), as she turned attention to the 2021 state election. In the recent general election, the BJP won just four fewer parliamentary seats in West Bengal than Banerjee’s All India Trinamool Congress (TMC). Impacts There will be frequent outbreaks of violence between TMC and BJP cadres in West Bengal. Banerjee will encourage external investment in the state and promise new jobs, hoping to appeal to voters. The BJP’s rhetoric over immigration could strain India’s relations with Bangladesh.


Significance Each of these states except Punjab has a government led by Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP). Punjab is one of just three states with a chief minister that belongs to India’s main opposition Congress party. Impacts A poor showing by Congress would further reduce its leverage with other opposition parties in talks over forming a broad anti-Modi alliance. Victory in UP would enhance Chief Minister Yogi Adityanath’s national profile. Election campaigning will likely lead to a spike in COVID-19 cases.


2020 ◽  
Vol 62 (6) ◽  
pp. 591-606
Author(s):  
Shalini Aggarwal ◽  
Praveen Kumar ◽  
Vikas Garg

Purpose This paper aims to explore the factors for self-help groups (SHGs) women empowerment in the state of Uttar Pradesh using the primary data. Design/methodology/approach The primary data have been collected by a household survey in the four districts of Uttar Pradesh. Factor analysis is used to estimate the odd of improving women empowerment after participating in SHG. Findings Factor analysis extracted four factors which were economic development, improvement in family matters, decision to use public amenities and political empowerment. Also, analysis of variance and t-test was used employing SPSS. The results, therefore, show that education has a significant impact on all the aspects of SHGs people. Practical implications The findings of the study can help policymakers to adopt appropriate policies that integrate empowerment in development projects with women. Social implications The results of this research could encourage more women to participate in SHG activities and development projects. Originality/value This research provides the most updated data from a primary survey in the state of Uttar Pradesh.


2015 ◽  
Vol 35 (3/4) ◽  
pp. 252-272 ◽  
Author(s):  
Srinivas Goli ◽  
Nagendra Kumar Maurya ◽  
Manoj Kumar Sharma

Purpose – A continuous mixed opinion on the relevance of caste-based reservations and caste as a factor of socioeconomic disparity in the recent period demands update of evidence on socioeconomic inequalities among caste groups for effective policy making. The purpose of this paper is to investigate whether the caste inequalities in terms of socioeconomic opportunities and poverty are still persisting in rural Uttar Pradesh based on village census surveys? Design/methodology/approach – This study used data primarily collected from four village census surveys under the project rural transformation in Uttar Pradesh, 2013. Bivariate analyses, human opportunity index (HOI), multidimensional poverty index (MPI) and inequality decomposition analyses used as methods of analyses. Findings – The authors findings suggest that in spite of more than six decades of welfare policies and major political mobilization movements among lower castes in the state, the huge inequalities in terms of critical socioeconomic indicators such as landholding, higher education and wealth distribution and multi-dimensional poverty across the castes are still persisting in the state. Decomposition results suggest that between group inequalities contribute more to the total inequality in landholding whereas within group inequalities contribute maximum to total inequality in education and wealth status of different castes in rural Uttar Pradesh. However, within inequalities much less in general castes compared to SCs/OBCs. Originality/value – Based on its latest empirical evidence, this study strengthens the argument that caste still matters in socioeconomic achievements of the population in India even after decades of planning and financing of social welfare schemes to uplift the lower castes in India. Thus, provides critical inputs to current debates on the relevance of caste as a determinant of socioeconomic status in India.


Subject India's efforts to modernise its police. Significance India is seeking to overhaul its police system. High-profile blunders and extra-judicial killings are raising fresh concerns about police quality and conduct. Impacts The Central Bureau of Investigation (CBI), which covers special criminal cases, will face similar calls for reform. India’s prisons are likely to come under greater scrutiny over alleged human rights violations. Uttar Pradesh (UP) Chief Minister Yogi Adityanath may emerge as Modi’s heir-apparent, based on an anti-crime reputation.


Significance Meanwhile, extrajudicial killings frequently take place in staged police confrontations with suspected criminals. There has rarely been much effort by the judiciary to clamp down on unlawful police violence. Impacts Yogi Adityanath, chief minister of Uttar Pradesh state, may be a future prime ministerial candidate. Pressure will grow on parliament to pass anti-lynching legislation. The Supreme Court is unlikely to push back much on decisions made by the federal government.


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