Post-election violence risk in Uganda set to escalate

2016 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Violence Risk ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Election Violence

Headline UGANDA: Post-election violence risk set to escalate

India's inter-state water disputes will intensify

2016 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Water Scarcity ◽  
Water Storage ◽  
National Government ◽  
Violence Risk ◽  
Water Shortages ◽  
Content Type ◽  
State Water ◽  
The Government ◽  
National Water ◽  
Inter State

Subject Inter-state water disputes. Significance The government has proposed a new national Water Framework bill to overcome deepening conflicts between regional states over shared rivers. No fewer than six bitter inter-state disputes have arisen in recent years, provoking riots and challenges to central authorities. Impacts Water shortages will rise, especially in densely populated cities. Street protests against water scarcity pose a serious violence risk. India’s national government has yet to prioritise investment in water storage facilities.

Gang wars risk wider violence in Brazil

2016 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Criminal Justice ◽  
Federal Government ◽  
Justice System ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Prison Population ◽  
Violence Risk ◽  
Recent Past ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Armed Violence ◽  
Criminal Groups

Subject Gang wars and violence risk. Significance Brazil's two largest criminal groups appear to have entered an uneasy truce, after a 'declaration of war' in September that broke a 23-year alliance. The breakdown in relations has gradually escalated into violence inside Brazil's prisons, where leaders of organised criminal factions still coordinate their transnational empires, and risks increased urban armed violence. Impacts The gang war has added urgency to the nationwide security plan being drafted by the federal government. Some changes in the criminal justice system are expected in order to reduce the prison population. Both groups have shown appetite, in the recent past, for large-scale and highly disruptive attacks, and spill-over is likely.

Liberia's next president faces mounting expectations

2017 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Financial Institutions ◽  
Foreign Investment ◽  
Government Expenditure ◽  
Public Spending ◽  
International Financial Institutions ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Capital Spending ◽  
Election Violence ◽  
Poor Infrastructure

Significance Whoever succeeds outgoing President Ellen Johnson Sirleaf will have to tackle widespread state corruption, cut recurrent government expenditure and boost infrastructure spending to spur economic growth. Impacts Post-election violence could spike if the opposition loses and accuses a partial electoral commission of manipulation. Low capital spending and poor infrastructure will remain a persistent deterrence to long-term private and foreign investment. International financial institutions will pressure the new government to cut public spending. Further delays to a proposed constitutional referendum are likely.

Kenya election controversy increasingly likely

2017 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Political Instability ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Electoral Fraud ◽  
Security Forces ◽  
Content Type ◽  
State Security ◽  
Voter Fraud ◽  
Election Violence ◽  
Ruling Party

Significance Opposition leader Raila Odinga and supporters of his National Super Alliance (NASA) have long since lost faith in the capacity of the IEBC to deliver a free and fair election and have regularly alleged that the ruling party plans to steal the vote. Opposition supporters claim Msando was killed because he was determined to ensure that the technology designed to prevent electoral fraud worked -- his murder lends credibility to Odinga's narrative that the process is being undermined from within. With only a week until the election, attention is focused not on political platforms but on the potential for voter fraud or a contested result. Impacts Electoral controversies and the delegitimisation of the electoral commission increase the risk of post-election violence. Widespread ethnic clashes on the scale of 2007-08 are unlikely due to heavy deployments of state security forces. Political instability, even if limited, will deter tourism and investment, hurting short-term economic growth.

Post-election violence in Guinea could escalate

2015 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Content Type ◽  
Election Violence

Headline GUINEA: Post-election violence could escalate

CAR braces for more post-election violence

2021 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Content Type ◽  
Election Violence

Headline CAR: Nation braces for more post-election violence

Historical and clinical items of the HCR-20 as predictors of risk within an intellectual disability population

2015 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 62-69 ◽  
Author(s):  
Eddie Chaplin ◽  
Mo Eyeoyibo ◽  
Steve Wright ◽  
Kiriakos Xenitidis ◽  
Jane McCarthy
Keyword(s):  
Positive Relationship ◽  
Previous History ◽  
Violence Risk ◽  
Challenging Behaviour ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Significant Positive Relationship ◽  
History Of ◽  
History Of Violence ◽  
Clinical Records ◽  
Overt Aggression Scale

Purpose – The use of violence risk assessment measures within intellectual disabilities (ID) services is now the norm and a growing target for research. The purpose of this paper is to examine the clinical utility of the historical and clinical factors of the HCR-20 in predicting violence. Design/methodology/approach – The study took place within a national low secure service for adults with ID examining all completed admissions over a six-year period, (N=22). Clinical records covering the first three months of admission were examined along with historical reports and incident data recorded at three, six, nine and 12 months admission using the Modified Overt Aggression Scale (MOAS). Findings – Significant positive relationship between Historical score and total number of incidents was established. Patients with challenging behaviour less likely to have a previous history of violence, and more likely to be older at first violent incident than patients without challenging behaviour. Incidents involving patients with autism were less severe and those with no additional psychiatric diagnosis were significantly more likely to have substance misuse problems than those with a diagnosis. Originality/value – The study found the Historical section was predictive of violent incidents and whilst the study is too small to draw any firm conclusions, the significant positive relationship between the Historical Score and number of incidents for those without additional diagnosis needs to be investigated further as well as the potential positive clinical impact of using the HCR-20 in routine clinical practice.

Maldives presidential election raises violence risk

2018 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Supreme Court ◽  
Presidential Election ◽  
Violence Risk ◽  
State Of Emergency ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Military

Significance President Abdulla Yameen, who earlier this year arrested two Supreme Court judges while imposing a state of emergency, will be aiming to retain power. Yameen faces a challenge from Ibrahim Mohamed Solih, who has most of the opposition's support. Impacts Travel warnings ahead of the election will cause tourist cancellations, hitting the economy. Any unrest within the military will affect security at the airport. Instability could encourage Islamist militants to travel to the Maldives.

Ethiopia anti-terrorism law will remain prone to abuse

2020 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Political Expression ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Key Features ◽  
The Law ◽  
The Government ◽  
Election Violence

Subject Revision of Ethiopia's controversial anti-terrorism law. Significance The House of Peoples’ Representatives this month adopted a revised Proclamation to Provide for the Prevention and Suppression of Terrorism, which replaces the much-criticised 2009 Anti-Terrorism Proclamation. While the new law represents an improvement, several key features of the old law that were used to muzzle or deter legitimate criticism and opposition to government remain in place. Impacts The law could be used to designate rogue elements of the Oromo Liberation Front still fighting the government as a terrorist organisation. The threat of application could reduce incitement of pre- and post-election violence. The law may deter controversial political expression, particularly by supporters of ethno-nationalist groups.

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