Further insights into the oil and equity market relationship

2019 ◽  
Vol 36 (2) ◽  
pp. 291-310 ◽  
Author(s):  
Olfa Belhassine ◽  
Amira Ben Bouzid
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Price Volatility ◽  
Oil Price ◽  
Subprime Crisis ◽  
Oil Price Shocks ◽  
Price Shocks ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Asymmetric Effects ◽  
Oil Price Volatility ◽  
The Impact

Purpose This paper aims to assess the asymmetric effects of oil price shocks and the impact of oil price volatility on the Eurozone’s supersector returns, with a particular emphasis on the impact of the subprime crisis and the euro debt crisis (EDC) on this relationship. Design/methodology/approach Empirical data consist of daily observations of the 19 EURO STOXX supersector indices and the Brent crude oil price index for the period January 2001 to August 2015. This paper uses a non-linear multifactor market model. This model accounts for heteroscedasticity and breakpoints that are identified by the Bai and Perron (1998, 2003) tests. Findings The results show that supersector returns are sensitive to oil price shocks. However, in most cases, their responsiveness to oil price volatility is not significant. The relationship between oil price shocks and supersector returns changes through time and depends on the sector. Financial turbulence affects the oil-stock market nexus. In most cases, the subprime crisis has had a positive impact on the oil-stock market relationship, whereas the EDC has had an overall negative effect. Before the subprime crisis, there is an evidence of asymmetric effects for some supersectors. Meanwhile, for most sectors, the asymmetric effects disappear after 2008. Originality/value The study improves understanding of the interaction between oil price risk and the Eurozone sector indices returns. Furthermore, it enables global investors to manage the risk inherent to the portfolio managers’ positions.

THE IMPACT OF OIL PRICE SHOCKS ON THE U.S. STOCK MARKET

2009 ◽  
Vol 50 (4) ◽  
pp. 1267-1287 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lutz Kilian ◽  
Cheolbeom Park
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Oil Price ◽  
Oil Price Shocks ◽  
Price Shocks ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The U.S

The impact of global oil price shocks on the Lebanese stock market

Energy ◽  
2013 ◽  
Vol 63 ◽  
pp. 366-374 ◽  
Author(s):  
Leila Dagher ◽  
Sadika El Hariri
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Oil Price ◽  
Oil Price Shocks ◽  
Price Shocks ◽  
The Impact

OIL PRICE FLUCTUATIONS AND STOCK MARKET BEHAVIOR IN A RESOURCE-DOMINANT ECONOMY: CASE OF KAZAKHSTAN

2020 ◽  
pp. 1-25
Author(s):  
MOLDIR MUKAN ◽  
YESSENGALI OSKENBAYEV ◽  
NIKI NADERI ◽  
YERGALI DOSMAGAMBET
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Aggregate Demand ◽  
Price Volatility ◽  
Oil Prices ◽  
Oil Price ◽  
Stock Index ◽  
Stock Market Index ◽  
Oil Price Volatility ◽  
Positive Shock ◽  
The Impact

During the past 10 years, the oil market has been very unpredictable and volatile, which created uneasy conditions for market participants. The remedy of increasing oil prices is considered as a positive factor for the economy of the Republic of Kazakhstan as an oil-exporting country. Using structural decomposition of vector autoregression (VAR), this study aims to examine how the whole financial system in Kazakhstan is depending on oil prices. The results suggest that the strongest factor affecting the stock index is aggregate demand, and the impact of oil production shocks on the equity market is, on average, insignificant. Such shocks can be discounted while a fall in oil prices affects financial conditions as a whole, damaging the solvency of Kazakhstan, an oil-exporting country. With the positive shock of aggregate demand, the stock market index tends to rise. There is also an effect of oil price volatility on changes in currency value, which also influences the financial situation of the country. Moreover, oil-exporting countries such as Kazakhstan can secure and support their economies with the help of “stable aggregate demand”. The focus on Kazakhstan as one of the oil-producing countries is interesting for at least two reasons. Importantly, oil-exporting countries supply oil to really strong countries concentrating on manufacturing and other industries. Besides, this study provides useful insights for countries with similar economic conditions, including similar stock market development.

Oil price volatility and firm profitability: an empirical analysis of Shariah-compliant and non-Shariah-compliant firms

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Abdullah Bugshan ◽  
Walid Bakry ◽  
Yongqing Li
Keyword(s):  
Firm Performance ◽  
Fixed Effects ◽  
Price Volatility ◽  
Oil Price ◽  
Bankruptcy Risk ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Financial Firms ◽  
Oil Price Volatility ◽  
Firm Profitability ◽  
The Impact

PurposeThis study examines the impact of oil price volatility on firm profitability. As Shariah-compliant firms operate under restrictions, the study also explores whether oil price volatility affects Shariah-compliant firms differently from their non-Shariah-compliant counterparts.Design/methodology/approachThe study sample includes all non-financial firms listed on Gulf Cooperation Council stock exchanges from 2005 to 2019. In evaluating the oil price volatility–profitability relationship, static (panel fixed effects) and dynamic (system generalised method of moments) models were used.FindingsOil price volatility significantly depresses firm profitability. In addition, Shariah-compliant firms are more significantly affected by oil price volatility than their non-Shariah-compliant peers. The results suggest that high oil price volatility exposes Shariah-compliant firms to higher bankruptcy risk than non-Shariah-compliant firms and that positive and negative oil price shocks have asymmetric effects on firm performance.Research limitations/implicationsThe findings of the paper call for more economic diversification by supporting non-oil sectors in the region and raise the need for more development of Islam-compliant products that compete with traditional instruments to help Shariah-compliant firms cope with uncertainty. Moreover, managers need to prepare quick alert and response procedures to reduce the negative impacts of oil price volatility on profitability.Originality/valueTo the best of the authors’ knowledge, this study is the first to explore the relationship between oil price volatility and profitability of non-financial firms. Further, the study extends prior Islamic corporate finance literature by enhancing the understanding of how Islamic corporate decisions affect firm performance during instability.

scholarly journals The Impact of Oil Price Shocks on the U.S. Stock Market: A Note on the Roles of U.S. and Non-U.S. Oil Production

2015 ◽  
Vol 2015 (249) ◽  
Author(s):  
Wensheng Kang ◽  
◽  
Ronald A. Ratti ◽  
Joaquin Vespignani ◽  
◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Oil Production ◽  
Oil Price ◽  
Oil Price Shocks ◽  
Price Shocks ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The U.S

scholarly journals HOW DOES STOCK MARKET VOLATILITY REACT TO OIL PRICE SHOCKS?

2017 ◽  
Vol 22 (3) ◽  
pp. 666-682 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andrea Bastianin ◽  
Matteo Manera
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Crude Oil ◽  
Aggregate Demand ◽  
Model Identification ◽  
Oil Price ◽  
Market Volatility ◽  
Oil Price Shocks ◽  
Stock Market Volatility ◽  
Price Shocks ◽  
The Impact

We study the impact of oil price shocks on the U.S. stock market volatility. We jointly analyze three different structural oil market shocks (i.e., aggregate demand, oil supply, and oil-specific demand shocks) and stock market volatility using a structural vector autoregressive model. Identification is achieved by assuming that the price of crude oil reacts to stock market volatility only with delay. This implies that innovations to the price of crude oil are not strictly exogenous, but predetermined with respect to the stock market. We show that volatility responds significantly to oil price shocks caused by unexpected changes in aggregate and oil-specific demand, whereas the impact of supply-side shocks is negligible.

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