Dynamic Reliability Indices for Series and Parallel Multi-State System

Author(s):  
Elena Zaitseva ◽  
Stefan Kovalik ◽  
Vitaly Levashenko ◽  
Karol Matiasko
2008 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 353-361
Author(s):  
Zaitseva Elena ◽  
Levashenko Vitaly ◽  
Matiaško Karol

Decomposition and Estimation of Multi-State Systems by Dynamic Reliability IndicesSome typical configurations of Multi-State System and their mathematical descriptions are considered in paper with relation to Reliability Analysis. Multiple-Valued Logic is applied for these descriptions synthesis and Dynamic Reliability Indices are used for Multi-State System reliability estimation. We concentrate on series and parallel systems, because these structures are basic for most of the technical system. We get measures of reliability for the failure and restoration of this system.


Author(s):  
Kailash Kapur ◽  
Elena Zaitseva ◽  
Vitaly Levashenko

The reliability of multi-state system is analyzed in this paper. In a multi-state system, both the system and its components may experience more than two reliability states. We propose dynamic reliability indices for reliability analysis of this system. Mathematical tools of the multiple-valued logic (the Logical Differential Calculus in particular) are exploited for definition of these indices. These indices estimate the effect on the multi-state system reliability by the state of a system component. We concentrate on series and parallel systems, because these structures are basic for many technical systems and get measures of reliability for the failure and restoration of these systems.


2013 ◽  
Vol 347-350 ◽  
pp. 2590-2595 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sheng Zhai ◽  
Shu Zhong Lin

Aiming at the limitations of traditional reliability analysis theory in multi-state system, a method for reliability modeling and assessment of a multi-state system based on Bayesian Network (BN) is proposed with the advantages of uncertain reasoning and describing multi-state of event. Through the case of cell production line system, in this paper we will discuss how to establish and construct a multi-state system model based on Bayesian network, and how to apply the prior probability and posterior probability to do the bidirectional inference analysis, and directly calculate the reliability indices of the system by means of prior probability and Conditional Probability Table (CPT) . Thereby we can do the qualitative and quantitative analysis of the multi-state system reliability, identify the weak links of the system, and achieve assessment of system reliability.


Author(s):  
Linmin Hu ◽  
Rui Peng

In a random environment, state transition probabilities of a multi-state system can change as the environment changes. Thus, a dynamic reliability model with random and dependent transition probabilities is developed for non-repairable discrete-time multi-state system in this article. The dependence among the random state transition probabilities of the system is modeled by a copula function. By probability argument and random process theory, we obtain explicit expressions of some reliability characteristics and joint survival function of random time spent by the system in all working states (partially and completely working states). A special case is considered when the state transition probabilities are dependent random variables with power distribution, and the dependence structure is modeled by Farlie–Gumbel–Morgenstern copula. Numerical examples are also presented to demonstrate the developed model and perform a comparison for the models with random and fixed transition probabilities.


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