Wind power prediction based on a convolutional neural network

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anwen Zhu ◽  
Xiaohui Li ◽  
Zhiyong Mo ◽  
Ruaren Wu
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Convolutional Neural Network ◽  
Wind Power ◽  
Power Prediction ◽  
Wind Power Prediction

scholarly journals Deterministic and Probabilistic Wind Power Forecasting Based on Bi-Level Convolutional Neural Network and Particle Swarm Optimization

2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (9) ◽  
pp. 1794 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yang ◽  
Zhang ◽  
Yang ◽  
Lv
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Particle Swarm Optimization ◽  
Convolutional Neural Network ◽  
Wind Power ◽  
Particle Swarm ◽  
Power Prediction ◽  
Swarm Optimization ◽  
Wind Power Forecasting ◽  
Interval Prediction ◽  
Wind Power Prediction

The intermittency and uncertainty of wind power result in challenges for large-scale wind power integration. Accurate wind power prediction is becoming increasingly important for power system planning and operation. In this paper, a probabilistic interval prediction method for wind power based on deep learning and particle swarm optimization (PSO) is proposed. Variational mode decomposition (VMD) and phase space reconstruction are used to pre-process the original wind power data to obtain additional details and uncover hidden information in the data. Subsequently, a bi-level convolutional neural network is used to learn nonlinear features in the pre-processed wind power data for wind power forecasting. PSO is used to determine the uncertainty of the point-based wind power prediction and to obtain the probabilistic prediction interval of the wind power. Wind power data from a Chinese wind farm and modeled wind power data provided by the United States Renewable Energy Laboratory are used to conduct extensive tests of the proposed method. The results show that the proposed method has competitive advantages for the point-based and probabilistic interval prediction of wind power.

Long-Term Wind Power Prediction Based on Rough Set

2013 ◽  
Vol 329 ◽  
pp. 411-415 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shuang Gao ◽  
Lei Dong ◽  
Xiao Zhong Liao ◽  
Yang Gao
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Wind Power ◽  
Rough Set ◽  
Wind Farm ◽  
Rough Set Theory ◽  
Prediction Method ◽  
Key Factors ◽  
Power Prediction ◽  
Wind Power Prediction

In long-term wind power prediction, dealing with the relevant factors correctly is the key point to improve the prediction accuracy. This paper presents a prediction method with rough set analysis. The key factors that affect the wind power prediction are identified by rough set theory. The chaotic characteristics of wind speed time series are analyzed. The rough set neural network prediction model is built by adding the key factors as the additional inputs to the chaotic neural network model. Data of Fujin wind farm are used for this paper to verify the new method of long-term wind power prediction. The results show that rough set method is a useful tool in long-term prediction of wind power.

Short-term wind power prediction based on improved small-world neural network

2018 ◽  
Vol 31 (7) ◽  
pp. 3173-3185 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shuang-Xin Wang ◽  
Meng Li ◽  
Long Zhao ◽  
Chen Jin
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Wind Power ◽  
Small World ◽  
Power Prediction ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Wind Power Prediction

Forecast of Short-Term Wind Power Based on GA Optimized Elman Neural Network

2014 ◽  
Vol 536-537 ◽  
pp. 470-475
Author(s):  
Ye Chen
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Power Systems ◽  
Wind Power ◽  
Wind Farm ◽  
Wind Farms ◽  
Power Prediction ◽  
Elman Neural Network ◽  
Wind Power Prediction ◽  
Forecasting Method ◽  
Safety And Stability

Due to the features of being fluctuant, intermittent, and stochastic of wind power, interconnection of large capacity wind farms with the power grid will bring about impact on the safety and stability of power systems. Based on the real-time wind power data, wind power prediction model using Elman neural network is proposed. At the same time in order to overcome the disadvantages of the Elman neural network for easily fall into local minimum and slow convergence speed, this paper put forward using the GA algorithm to optimize the weight and threshold of Elman neural network. Through the analysis of the measured data of one wind farm, shows that the forecasting method can improve the accuracy of the wind power prediction, so it has great practical value.

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