Predicting Remaining Useful Life with Uncertainty Using Recurrent Neural Process

Author(s):  
Guozhen Gao ◽  
Zijun Que ◽  
Zhengguo Xu
2005 ◽  
Vol 48 (2) ◽  
pp. 208-217 ◽  
Author(s):  
Matthew Watson ◽  
Carl Byington ◽  
Douglas Edwards ◽  
Sanket Amin

2020 ◽  
Vol 14 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dangbo Du ◽  
Jianxun Zhang ◽  
Xiaosheng Si ◽  
Changhua Hu

Background: Remaining useful life (RUL) estimation is the central mission to the complex systems’ prognostics and health management. During last decades, numbers of developments and applications of the RUL estimation have proliferated. Objective: As one of the most popular approaches, stochastic process-based approach has been widely used for characterizing the degradation trajectories and estimating RULs. This paper aimed at reviewing the latest methods and patents on this topic. Methods: The review is concentrated on four common stochastic processes for degradation modelling and RUL estimation, i.e., Gamma process, Wiener process, inverse Gaussian process and Markov chain. Results: After a briefly review of these four models, we pointed out the pros and cons of them, as well as the improvement direction of each method. Conclusion: For better implementation, the applications of these four approaches on maintenance and decision-making are systematically introduced. Finally, the possible future trends are concluded tentatively.


Author(s):  
Renxiong Liu

Objective: Lithium-ion batteries are important components used in electric automobiles (EVs), fuel cell EVs and other hybrid EVs. Therefore, it is greatly important to discover its remaining useful life (RUL). Methods: In this paper, a battery RUL prediction approach using multiple kernel extreme learning machine (MKELM) is presented. The MKELM’s kernel keeps diversified by consisting multiple kernel functions including Gaussian kernel function, Polynomial kernel function and Sigmoid kernel function, and every kernel function’s weight and parameter are optimized through differential evolution (DE) algorithm. Results : Battery capacity data measured from NASA Ames Prognostics Center are used to demonstrate the prediction procedure of the proposed approach, and the MKELM is compared with other commonly used prediction methods in terms of absolute error, relative accuracy and mean square error. Conclusion: The prediction results prove that the MKELM approach can accurately predict the battery RUL. Furthermore, a compare experiment is executed to validate that the MKELM method is better than other prediction methods in terms of prediction accuracy.


IEEE Access ◽  
2021 ◽  
pp. 1-1
Author(s):  
Bincheng Wen ◽  
Mingqing Xiao ◽  
Guanghao Wang ◽  
Zhao Yang ◽  
Jianfeng Li ◽  
...  

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